ESPN FPI Team Efficiencies Update, Wk. 14
The penultimate FPI team efficiency ratings have been posted. Following the various conference championship games taking place around the country whil Michigan stood idle, the results end up with Michigan slipping one spot to #3 after being #2 for three consecutive weeks. The team that moved ahead of M is not OSU, who remains at the #4 spot. It's the Washington Huskies who advance to #2, leapfrogging both M and OSU.
The U-M splits all declined by one spot. They are offense, #12 (down from #11); defense, #3 (down from #2); and special teams, #8 (down from #7).
Of U-M's 2016 opponents, Colorado slipped to #12 from #11, one behind #11 Florida State, who is one behind #10 Wisconsin. UCF remains rated above 6 of Michigan's other opponents this season, including Sparty. Sparty holds on to #70 and retains the title of Third Best Team in the State of Michigan. Meanwhile Western Michigan slips to #17 from #13, but has punched its ticket to the Cotton Bowl game.
Here's the selectively abbreviated synopsis of the ratings. Click the link above to see the whole list &/or sort by category:
RK | TEAM | OFF | DEF | S/T | O'ALL |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Alabama, SEC | 71.5 | 98.0 | 55.8 | 94.2 |
2 | Washington, Pac-12 | 86.0 | 85.8 | 55.5 | 91.3 |
3 | Michigan, Big Ten | 77.8 | 89.2 | 71.7 | 90.9 |
4 | OSU, Big Ten | 75.0 | 89.4 | 50.1 | 87.8 |
5 | Clemson, ACC | 78.7 | 80.8 | 47.7 | 84.6 |
6 | USC, Pac-12 | 76.6 | 73.6 | 68.7 | 82.7 |
7 | Louisville, ACC | 83.7 | 75.4 | 30.9 | 82.2 |
8 | Oklahoma, Big 12 | 91.1 | 58.1 | 45.0 | 81.6 |
9 | LSU, SEC | 72.6 | 83.9 | 33.8 | 81.1 |
10 | Wisconsin, Big Ten | 63.1 | 86.7 | 44.2 | 79.5 |
11 | FSU, ACC | 79.7 | 72.6 | 36.3 | 79.2 |
12 | Colorado, Pac-12 | 64.3 | 85.3 | 33.7 | 77.5 |
17 | W Michigan, MAC | 79.5 | 58.6 | 55.7 | 76.1 |
19 | Penn State, Big Ten | 68.4 | 67.0 | 59.8 | 73.0 |
27 | Iowa, Big Ten | 55.1 | 68.8 | 72.0 | 69.6 |
63 | UCF, American | 24.1 | 72.1 | 65.6 | 51.0 |
68 | Maryland, Big Ten | 54.2 | 40.6 | 64.9 | 48.9 |
70 | Michigan State, Big Ten | 53.2 | 43.1 | 50.5 | 47.9 |
71 | Indiana, Big Ten | 39.5 | 61.7 | 38.0 | 47.8 |
92 | E Michigan, MAC | 40.2 | 36.1 | 60.4 | 37.5 |
95 | Cent Michigan, MAC | 37.0 | 44.4 | 39.0 | 36.2 |
101 | Illinois, Big Ten | 27.6 | 44.4 | 38.1 | 31.3 |
103 | Hawai'i, MW | 31.5 | 32.7 | 51.2 | 28.7 |
116 | Rutgers, Big Ten | 16.2 | 43.0 | 37.6 | 21.9 |
December 5th, 2016 at 2:47 PM ^
Penn State at 19 - two spots behind Western Michigan but DAMMIT THEY DESERVE A CHANCE IN THE FINAL FOUR!
They are gonna get so killed by USC......
December 5th, 2016 at 2:58 PM ^
I hope every big ten team not named OSU and MSU win their bowl games. Fortunately we don't have to worry about MSU this year.
December 5th, 2016 at 3:01 PM ^
But man, it's hard to be supportive of penn st
December 5th, 2016 at 4:10 PM ^
Yes! Outside of the whole Sandusky thing, their fans have been obnoxious (although I'm sure we have been as well). Every PSU fan on Reddit decided that since they beat Ohio State and Iowa and we didn't, they were a better team.
Why did we beat them 49-10, then?
All of their LBs were injured and if they just had those guys, it would've been different.
When I brought up that their offense only scored 3 points before garbage time against us and to my knowledge LBs don't usually play offense (Peppers exempt), they didn't really have anything to say.
They were also mean to Brian when he said they reminded him a lot of last year's State team who was super lucky and not really a great team.
December 5th, 2016 at 4:45 PM ^
"Our linebackers would have returned 3 fumbles and 3 INTs for touchdowns!"
-PSU'd
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December 5th, 2016 at 5:28 PM ^
PSU fans are such idiots. I saw many talking shit to UM fans after winning the Big Ten. Uh, ok. UM still beat the living fuck out of PSU and would again.
December 5th, 2016 at 3:03 PM ^
Poor damn Rutgers.
December 5th, 2016 at 5:34 PM ^
A 16.2 offensive rating is just...offensive.
December 5th, 2016 at 3:21 PM ^
We are efficient.
December 5th, 2016 at 3:27 PM ^
Indeed. Ruthlessly efficient.
December 5th, 2016 at 3:25 PM ^
Not surprising.
Matches my own estimate of the top 4.
December 5th, 2016 at 3:38 PM ^
We're coming for you next year Western!
December 5th, 2016 at 4:20 PM ^
This is just depressing.
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December 5th, 2016 at 4:59 PM ^
Makes sense with how Washington destroyed CU. Everyone was debating whether Washington should be in but the odd team out is actually Clemson.
December 5th, 2016 at 4:59 PM ^
Offensive and defensive stats and rankings in FBS for Michigan from TeamRankings:
Offense
|
Value (rank) | Defense | Value (rank) |
Points/Game | 41.0 (#12) | Opp Points/Game | 12.5 (#1) |
Yards/Game | 439.3 (#41) | Opp Yards/Game | 252.7 (#1) |
Points/Play | 0.554 (#10) | Opp Points/Play | 0.190 (#2) |
Yards/Play | 5.9 (#42) | Opp Yards/Play | 3.8 (#2) |
3D Conversion % | 44.17% (#29) | Opp 3D Conv % | 20.86% (#1) |
4D Conversion % | 66.67% (#10) | Opp 4D Conv % | 38.46% (#27) |
RZ Scoring % | 90.62% (#16) | Opp RZ Scoring % | 68.00% (#2) |
Rush Play % | 60.59% (#19) | Opp Rush Play % | 56.46% (#92) |
Yards/Rush | 5.0 (#41) | Opp Yards/Rush | 3.1 (#5) |
Rushes/Game | 44.8 (#21) | Opp Rushes/Game | 37.2 (#47) |
Rush Yards/Game | 223.2 (#28) | Opp Rush Yards/Game | 116.8 (#12) |
Pass Play % | 39.41% (#110) | Opp Pass Play % | 43.54% (#37) |
Completion % | 62.35% (#23) | Opp Completion % | 44.52% (#1) |
Yards/Pass | 7.8 (#40) | Opp Yards/Pass | 5.4 (#1) |
Passes/Game | 27.7 (#98) | Opp Passes/Game | 25.1 (#10) |
Pass Yards/Game | 216.1 (#78) | Opp Pass Yards/Game | 135.9 (#1) |
Int Thrown % | 1.81% (#20) | Opp Int Thrown % | 3.99% (#18) |
QB Sacked % | 5.14% (#36) | Sack % | 12.50% (#1) |
December 5th, 2016 at 5:26 PM ^
God damn I hate OSU. Ref-paying pricks.
December 5th, 2016 at 6:51 PM ^
but LSU at 9? Your metric isn't passing the eye test ESPN