Ajcoss

March 3rd, 2018 at 5:01 PM ^

Lets take another shot at arguably the best team in Big 10. Most say it was them & msu. Lets not shy away from beating every big 10 team this year. Plus, somehow we do lose, I like Purdue better then PSU.

J.

March 3rd, 2018 at 5:06 PM ^

Tough to say, really.  Purdue's the better team, but (a) Michigan owes them, (b) Michigan seems to be playing its best basketball of the season, whereas Purdue really isn't, and (c) seeding-wise, a game vs. Purdue is essentially house money; you might go up with a win but you won't drop with a loss.

I do like the idea of setting the record for overtimes in the World's Most Famous Arena™, though.  I believe it's six... :)

J.

March 3rd, 2018 at 5:10 PM ^

KenPom just updated.  Michigan now up to #10 in his system.  Up to #9 (!) in Torvik.  Defense #6 in KenPom and #5 in Torvik.

If these trends continue...

pinkfloyd2000

March 3rd, 2018 at 5:18 PM ^

Bank on it.

Should be a great game. We shoulda had em in AA, and it was really, really close at their house.

Let's not pull an OSU and lose to the same team three times in one season.

 

 

pinkfloyd2000

March 3rd, 2018 at 5:29 PM ^

If they lose today...are they in the tourney?

They do have quality Ws over OSU, OSU and OSU, for sure...but what else do they have? 13 losses is gonna stick out like a sore thumb. 

J.

March 3rd, 2018 at 5:33 PM ^

Their RPI (~70 with a loss) is very low for an at-large bid, even though the advanced metrics suggest they're a lot better than the RPI suggests.  And they've got a couple of awful losses, including Rider and post-Lynch-supension Minnesota, both at home.  (They also have a Wisconsin loss at home, and Wisconsin is down to 109 in the RPI so that's a quadrant 3 loss).

They'd need every other bubble team to lose in their tournament, and no bid theives, and they might still need some luck.

PSU might be in with a win and a loss to Michigan, but realistically I think they need the autobid.

aiglick

March 3rd, 2018 at 5:34 PM ^

No way. Too many other teams. I think they may need to win the whole thing although a hypothetical Purdue win would probably put them in 50-60 RPI range which is in contention. They would be sweating next week if they don’t win the tourney.

J.

March 3rd, 2018 at 6:09 PM ^

I tossed them into RPI Wizard (at rpiforecast.com) and got an RPI of 65 with a Purdue win and a Michigan loss (since with a Michigan win they don't need an at-large bid).  And that's with other teams around them having a chance to pass them.  First Four at best, and they'd have to be rooting hard for every other bubble team to lose.

mi93

March 3rd, 2018 at 5:35 PM ^

is 12 OTs.

Purdue, at their peak, is probably the best team in the country, but Painter never gets them ready at the right time, and we're going the other direction.

Penn St has a LOT to prove after getting waxed by us on Sr. day.

Regardless, we can take either.

mi93

March 3rd, 2018 at 6:15 PM ^

like Purdue should be up double digits but it's only 5.  This could turn into quite the finish if PS can get their shtuff together.