BB: NCAA Baseball CWS Bracketology
Here are some projections of the field:
http://www.houseofsparky.com/2016/5/29/11807538/ncaa-baseball-bracketol… (#2 seed vs. North Carolina in the Conway regional)
http://www.cowboysrideforfree.com/2016/5/27/11787206/college-baseball-b… (#2 seed vs. Wright State in the Louisville regional)
Selection Show is tomorrow at noon on ESPNU
I'll about take anything at this point. Making it as an at-large would be a step forward, though we didn't win the B1G this year.
We wouldn't have gotten an at-large last year if we didn't win the B1G Tournament so this would be progress.
If I had to choose, Conway.
Is Michigan really still in the top 32? Not according to RPI--they are #37, which is a high 3-seed. Also, North Carolina is #17 in the RPI. I just don't see anything to support giving Michigan a 2-seed in the same regional where North Carolina is a 3-seed.
I guess this surprises me; they are more optimistic about Michigan's chances of getting into the field than I am. I still think there's an outside chance that the committee passes on them.
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If MGoBlog is kicking you in the dick, Brian and Seth need to fix that ASAP.
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they haven't gotten "over the hump" of a trip to Omaha, but they are at least beyond their mid-2000s (2005 & 2007) days of not winning regionals as a #1 seed.
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OSU beat Iowa for the championship and auto bid, so Iowa's out (with an RPI of 71). Michigan's RPI is now 38, second in the Big Ten to OSU, at 35; next highest is Nebraska at 48.
I wouldn't put a lot of stock in projections that have Michigan as a 2 seed. The better-known sites have had them as a 3 seed for some time now.
Aaron Fitt of D1Baseball has the Big Ten with three tourney teams: OSU, Minnesota, and Nebraska.
Bingo. I’ve got Michigan and Maryland on the wrong side of the bubble. https://t.co/EqUg0TyKvP
— Aaron Fitt (@aaronfitt) May 29, 2016
because if a 3rd Big team gets in its going to be Michigan over Nebraska ..A team Michigan SWEPT and a win over the Reg season Champs Minnesota in the tourney.... and the 2nd highets RPI in the conference right behind OSU..Were IN..barely but were in
As Alton has pointed out, the committee can take how a team did over its last 15 games into account, and on that score, Nebraska (11-4) is in much better shape than Michigan (6-9).
Also, heading into the Big Ten tourney, Baseball America had Nebraska as a 2 seed and Michigan as a 3. Does Michigan going 1-2 in the BTT jump them ahead of Nebraksa, which went 0-2? Seems unlikely.
The end of season record is THE ONLY comparison Neb wins...Head to head, RPI, Tourney wins, Michigan Win..And our one tourney win was a big one against the Conference ChampsI just cant see Nebraska getting in at our expense..maybe both get in but M will get in over Neb
Some are saying Michigan is a 2-seed and others saying we're on the outside looking in? Doesn't make sense. If we were projected to be a 4 or maybe even 3, sure, but that seems odd
I've posted below to include a link a projection made this morning (May 30). Some of the earlier projections, such as the May 24 projection from Baseball America, couldn't account for bid stealers that have won conference tournaments and other teams like Michigan that might've needed to have better performances in their conference tournaments, in order to make the field of 64.
It's likely that those early projections that included Michigan in the field of 64, and even had them as a two seed, were made with the expectations that a team with the best RPI in its conference and among the top 40 in the nation would play well enough down the stretch to deserve selection for the final field.
SPOILER ALERT: Here's a bracket out this morning that has only two Big Ten teams in the field: tournament champion Ohio State (a two seed in Louisville's region) and regular season champion Minnesota (a three seed in the region hosted by Miami of Coral Gables.)
There's a podcast discussing the projected field. LINK The Big Ten discussion starts at about 26:26 into the podcast. SPOILER ALERT: They conclude that Michigan's terrible finish will keep the Wolverines out of the field.
Our last 4 in: Ga Tech, Southeastern La., Wake Forest, South Alabama. First 4 out: UNC, WVU, Nebraska, Marshall. https://t.co/lMawipoZJt
— Aaron Fitt (@aaronfitt) May 30, 2016
Michigan not even among the first four out.
EDIT: Baseball America's final projection has both Michigan and Nebraska among the first four out, with Minnesota barely squeaking in as one of the last four in. Looking like the poor finish plus a weak Big Ten have doomed Michigan's chances.