2024 Mock Draft of First 2 Rounds

Submitted by wildbackdunesman on December 26th, 2023 at 10:23 AM

Mock Draft of the first 2 rounds of the 2024 NFL Draft of Michigan and their 3 biggest opponents.

Ohio State:
#3 MHJ WR
#25 Emeka Egbuka WR
#26 Michael Hall DT
#34 TreVeyon Henderson RB
#38 JT Tuimoloau DE
#62 Jack Sawyer DE

Alabama:
#5 Dallas Turner OLB
#9 JC Latham OT
#24 Terrion Arnold CB
#50 Kool-Aid McKinstry CB
#59 Chris Braswell OLB
#64 JaCorey Brooks WR

Michigan:
#10 JJ McCarthy QB
#37 Kris Jenkins DT

Penn State:
#11 Olumuyiwa Fashanu OT
#16 Chop Robinson OLB/DE
#31 Johnny Dixon CB
#52 Kalen King CB

Mock Draft by a random Charlie Campbell. LINK here.  He claims to be accurate on his Draft Predictions.
 

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wildbackdunesman

December 26th, 2023 at 10:24 AM ^

*Assuming* this is accurate, we don't have as much of the top draft talent as our biggest opponents this year, but we still found a way to win.  We should have a lot of Round 3 through 7 players get drafted.

Zinter would have been a top 2 round guy.

Joined: 07/16/2008

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Bo Harbaugh

December 26th, 2023 at 10:46 AM ^

Zinter will still go in top 2 rounds.  He didn't tear any ligaments and was a clean break - "best" type of injury you can have.  After rehab and regaining strength and flexibility, should have no long term effect.  Should be completely back, at worst, midway through next season, but probably 90% much, much earlier.

Joined: 08/03/2019

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Red is Blue

December 26th, 2023 at 10:50 AM ^

Approximate annual value of rookie contract in parentheses.  Unless a player expects a marked jump in draft status, seems like NIL would have to at least come close to this for a player to even entertain returning and even then player is leaving value in the table ( still 4 years away from 2nd contract, risk of failing draft stock...)

#3 MHJ WR  ($10M)

#25 Emeka Egbuka WR ($3.5M)

#26 Michael Hall DT ($3.5 M)

#34 TreVeyon Henderson RB ($2.5M)

#38 JT Tuimoloau DE ($2.5M)

 

Joined: 05/13/2010

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Bo Harbaugh

December 26th, 2023 at 10:59 AM ^

Absolute paper tigers.  Maybe Ryan Day really is just that shitty a coach, but if its not a WR, I'm not trusting OSU recruits.  

JT and Sawyer?  These guys getting drafted on their recruiting rankings?  JT is a good run defender, average pass rusher. 

How much better does he grade out than Jaylen Harrel?

Sawyer?  Didn't hear his name once the past 3 years in the game.  

Henderson is basically Donovan Edwards, but hurt more.  Sprinter with meh vision.

Hall over Jenkins?, lol. 

MHJ is legit a special talent - the rest are guys with great "potential"

Joined: 08/03/2019

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JonnyHintz

December 26th, 2023 at 11:07 AM ^

I think you’re missing the fact that the NFL drafts largely on potential and measurables. Not college production. 
 

You’re trying to compare Sawyer/JTT to Harrell… those guys are 20-30 lbs heavier than Harrell and are true DE’s. Harrell is basically a linebacker and the biggest knock on him has been his pass rushing ability. Not sure what we’re doing there. 
 

OSU recruits guys who project as NFL players. Michigan recruits good football players and turn many of them into NFL players. I’d rather get the guys who win in college, I don’t really care if or where they’re drafted. But I don’t get the surprise when OSU gets more guys drafted early. 

Joined: 01/11/2015

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JonnyHintz

December 26th, 2023 at 11:23 AM ^

I wouldn’t go as far as to say that. They’ve lost 3 in a row to Michigan, and we’ve essentially tailored our entire team around winning THAT game. We’ve been successful in doing so. OSU was also a shanked field goal from beating Georgia in the playoff last year and, in all likelihood, winning a national title.

They haven’t won fewer than 11 games (excluding going 7-1 in 2020) since 2011, and 2008 before that. They haven’t won fewer than 10 games since 2004. OSU has won a lot of games with their strategy, and won a lot of big games along the way. They’re an extremely talented program with a Michigan problem, not a winning one. 

Joined: 01/11/2015

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RAH

December 26th, 2023 at 12:01 PM ^

They would have been ion the 4 team playoffs every year for the last 3 except for Michigan beating them. And they may well have won one or more. Last year they would have beaten eventual champ Georgia if their field goal kicker was competent. They can play evenly with all the elite teams in the country. Except for Michigan, That makes it even more satisfying when we keep them out of the playoffs! 

Joined: 02/23/2018

MGoPoints: 7600

Bo Harbaugh

December 26th, 2023 at 11:41 AM ^

My point was exactly that.  Harrell has been good against the run and a meh pass rusher.  JT and Sawyer have been the same...therefore, Harrell is a much better value pick in round 5 or 6 than JT and Sawyer in round 1 or 2.  If a DE hasn't flashed as an edge demon pass rusher in college, very unlikely it happens in the NFL.

IE. JT and Sawyer should go ahead of Harrell due to size and measurables, but don't give the value of a 1st or 2nd round edge. 

Chop Robinson, on the other hand is worthy of a 1st round pick.  He's no Micah Parsons, but he's disruptive as hell and teams need to plan for him.

The last truly impactful DE's at OSU were on Meyer's teams...both Bosa brothers and Chase Young.

Hutch and Ojabo are better than anything OSU has put in the league at DE the past 5 years. 

 

Joined: 08/03/2019

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JonnyHintz

December 26th, 2023 at 1:31 PM ^

But again, you’re basing your analysis of two (well, three) different players who play different positions on what their college production was like. Why are you comparing a quasi-linebacker to two true DEs in the first place? Apples to oranges. 
 

You’re entirely ignoring that the NFL values measurables, they value potential, they value how you project to the NFL game. Not what you did in college. 
 

You then go on to cite Hutchinson and Ojabo, who are exactly the type of athletic specimen/high potential guys the NFL craves. Not sure what you’re trying to say there. 

Joined: 01/11/2015

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alum96

December 26th, 2023 at 2:45 PM ^

Glass houses too - we had Rashan Gary who had college stats similar to those guys in college but has been unleashed in the pros and hit his potential.  People wondered why he was drafted so high vs other guys with more college production - well some dudes in the NFL like the measurables as you cannot teach those.

As others have noted these 5* are special athletes.  NFL GMs salivate other them.  Many of them and coaches think they can get the most out of them as the ball of clay is bursting with potential.  Jacksonville GM took Walker over Hutch based on that (Walker was a top 5 guy overall in his class)

Unrelated - I know he was a rental but who the hell had Mike Danna being such an impact NFL player on draft night?

Joined: 04/28/2012

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UcheWallyWally

December 26th, 2023 at 10:42 AM ^

Charlie Campbell is a complete joke just like his pal Walt.  Always claiming to have the most accurate mocks lol. They have zero sources. They always randomly refer to team sources they have no access to. They’ve been banned from the combine as well lol
 

JaCorey Brooks just transferred to Louisville after having a 3 catch 30 yard season for Bama.  Always on top Chuckles keep those accurate mocks coming.  Clown show

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RobSk

December 26th, 2023 at 6:34 PM ^

I love Zak Zinter, but to me picking a guy who is seriously injured to end their college career in the first round is taking on risk that is too high. A big part of drafting high is taking players that are certainties. Coming off a major injury makes that certainty less, even with a great player like ZZ. See Williams, Jameson as one example.

Obviously, sometimes injuries heal and the player is great. That’s why it’s a risk question not a hard and fast certainty.

if I’m the Lions I’m thrilled to get ZZ in the 4th. That’s a great risk reward.

 

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buddhafrog

December 26th, 2023 at 12:04 PM ^

We have a ton of older players who have somewhat maximized their ability and don't have the same upside of talent. There was a lot of talk last year whether this was true for Hutch as well. We have a ton of players who will be drafted in rounds 3-7 and especially UDFAs

2025 though we will have a few at least 3 1st rounders though: Will Johnson, Graham, Grant.

Next year we will actually be loaded still - except for the mysterious position of QB. Will JJ come back? We will get a high end transfer? Could Jaden Davis be able to play as a Fr? Do we have that guy on the team already? Is it possible Orji could have a huge role and we'll look like a very different offense than this year? If we can answer this question, next year could be as big as this year. 

Joined: 09/28/2009

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