Evaluating every FBS program's stance on satellite camps
(Note: I'm not sure how to insert links for all the quotes, but if someone can tell me or send me somewhere that will tell me, I'll go back and give credit for every quote and such.)
If you’ve been alive for the past few weeks you’ve heard more about satellite camps than you care to know, which is why I’ve written an extensive diary about them. You’re welcome.
Tom VH’s piece on how coach’s voting can bring down the ban on satellite camps sparked my curiosity as to which schools are actually in favor of the ban, which are opposed to the ban, and which don’t give a crap because they’re smarter than you (I’m lookin’ at you, David Shaw).
From Tom’s article: “The April 8 vote that bans coaches from holding high school camps off campus did not pass by 85 percent majority, which leaves the door open for coaches and athletic directors to try to rescind the vote. Behind closed doors, that's exactly what seems to be happening right now.
“One of the options Harbaugh and Manuel have is trying to get a 66.7 percent of the majority of 128 FBS programs to request that the ruling be rescinded within a 60-day override period. Since the original vote only received 66.6 percent approval, well below the required 85 percent, the programs that disagree with the ruling can still get the ban relinquished.
“The original vote to ban the camps was done by conference representatives, whereas a reversal would require individual votes from programs. Getting roughly 85 programs to request the repeal might be difficult, but there are a growing number of coaches speaking out against the ban.”
He’s rounding down to get to that 85 number, so let’s assume 86 just to be safe. There are two different ways to look at this: From Michigan’s perspective, we need 86 programs including ours to vote to undo the ban. But from the other side, the SEC and their minions need over 43 votes in favor of the ban to uphold it. They already got 66.6 percent approval from the original vote; however, the votes there don’t seem to represent every program very effectively (even though they should in theory).
Thus, determining which programs have spoken out against the ban and which have spoken out against the camps can give us a clearer picture of if such a vote is even plausible. Looking at each of the 128 FBS programs, this is what I came up with:
AGAINST BAN: 39
IN FAVOR OF BAN: 20
HAVEN’T SAID YET: 51
ON FENCE, LEANING AGAINST BAN: 10
ON FENCE, LEANING IN FAVOR OF BAN: 6
NO OPINION; UNSURE: 2
I came up with these numbers by simply googling each program by name, the coach’s name, or the AD’s name with satellite camps. If there isn’t anything relevant on the first or second page, I put n/a. It proved fairly true that if a coach or AD spoke up about the camps or the ban in any way that someone wrote about it from somewhere and it’d end up on the first two search pages. We’ve covered it to death at mgoblog, but so has just about everyone else it seems.
The programs that are on the fence are interesting. Some of them I put there simply because they had camps scheduled but I couldn’t actually find that they gave any kind of a response to the ban itself. Some are there because they’ve openly come out as neutral or have suggested some other changes to the rule. Lots of “I can see both sides to it” quotes coming out of these programs. Some were much more interesting, in the case of Texas State, whose coach came out vehemently against the ban, but whose AD represented the Sun Belt by voting for the ban, an action for which he received some backlash. In the breakdown below, I give more explanation to these cases.
One variable that jacks up this data is proven in the Texas State case, where the AD and the coach might disagree. In this case, the AD likely overrules the coach, however there were few cases where both the AD and coach had spoken publicly about the subject (as Harbaugh and Manuel have), and only that one where they openly disagreed. However, if it comes down to a vote, these instances might have a big effect on how schools vote, so keep that in mind.
The current position of every FBS football program, by conference (those who take any position are bolded):
AAC: 3 against, 9 n/a
Cincinnati: against ban
Connecticut: n/a
East Carolina: n/a
Houston: n/a
Memphis: n/a
Navy: n/a
SMU: n/a
Temple: n/a
Tulane: against ban
Tulsa: n/a
UCF: n/a
USF: against ban
ACC: 1 against, 1 neutral, 5 in favor, 7 n/a
Boston College: n/a
Clemson: in favor of ban
Duke: in favor of ban
Florida State: in favor of ban
Georgia Tech: in favor of ban
Louisville: n/a
Miami (YTM): n/a
North Carolina: n/a
North Carolina State: made statement praising Harbaugh: “You want to have as many opportunities as possible to not just recruit but have your brand out there. What Michigan did was smart. They took advantage of an opportunity. They had the budget to do it. Being a northern school, which I've been before, being able to get down into the South where there's a lot of talent, for them, was intelligent.” – Dave Doeren, head coach
Pittsburgh: in favor of ban
Syracuse: n/a
Virginia: n/a
Virginia Tech: n/a
Wake Forest: against ban
Big 10: 7 against, 2 neutral, 1 in favor, 4 n/a
Illinois: n/a
Indiana: n/a
Iowa: in favor of ban
Maryland: against ban
Michigan: against ban (obviously)
Michigan State: against ban
Minnesota: n/a
Nebraska: against ban
Northwestern: against ban
Ohio State: against ban
Penn State: ok with ban: “If it's legal, we're going to do it, as long as everybody's playing by the same rules is what I care about... There were some real positives to it, but there were some things people had concerns about. You can make arguments both ways. Obviously this is something that we were doing, and enjoyed doing, but I also like the fact we are going to back on our campus, spend more time with our current players, and then the same thing with our families." – James Franklin, head coach
Purdue: hasn’t said, but had camps scheduled
Rutgers: against ban
Wisconsin: n/a
Big 12: 4 against, 2 neutral, 4 n/a
Baylor: against ban
Iowa State: against ban
Kansas: n/a
Kansas State: wants to revise rule: “Our satellite camps, for the most part, were in the state of Kansas, trying to get out to western Kansas, because western Kansas youngsters sometimes just can't get here. We did them in Kansas City, we did them in Wichita. We were in-state. I would prefer the rule still allowed you to do that.” – Bill Snyder, head coach
Oklahoma: against ban
Oklahoma State: against ban
Texas: n/a
Texas Christian: n/a
Texas Tech: n/a
West Virginia: ok with ban: “Camps were once formed for developmental purposes and they’ve turned totally into recruiting tools... I think it’s forcing your institution and camp to move all around the country. In reality, how many of those kids are really coming to your school?” – Shane Lyons, AD
Conference USA: 4 against, 2 neutral, 8 n/a
Charlotte: n/a
Florida Atlantic: had camps scheduled
Florida Int’l: n/a
Louisiana Tech: against ban
Marshall: n/a
MTSU: n/a
North Texas: n/a
Old Dominion: against ban
Rice: n/a
Southern Miss: n/a
UAB: against ban
UTEP: had camps scheduled, coach made neutral statement: "It won't affect us too much... We'll have to adjust but it won't affect us as much as it will other people. Our main focus is on El Paso, the big camp we have here with 150 kids." – Sean Kugler, head coach
UTSA: n/a
Western Kentucky: against ban
Independents: 1 against, 1 neutral, 1 n/a
Army: n/a
Notre Dame: against ban
BYU: ok with ban: "I can see both sides of it. I understand where everyone is making statements, has an opinion. I get that. But my job as head coach is whatever the NCAA says to do, we do it. It doesn't matter what my personal opinion is. I can see both arguments. But right now, the camps are off-limits, so we just plan accordingly." – Kalani Sitake, head coach
MAC: 4 against, 2 neutral, 6 n/a
Akron: n/a
Ball State: had camps scheduled
Bowling Green: against ban
Buffalo: n/a
Central Michigan: against ban
Eastern Michigan: against ban
Kent State: n/a
Miami (NTM): n/a
Northern Illinois: n/a
Ohio: n/a
Toledo: ok with ban: “I see both sides of it. I think it’s a positive that everything is going to be done on your own campus, but I certainly know the benefits of what we’ve had in the past, where we’ve been able to go out and see a bunch of young men at a central location.” – Jason Candle, head coach
Western Michigan: against ban
MWC: 4 against, 1 neutral, 7 n/a
Air Force: n/a
Boise State: against ban
Colorado State: against ban
Fresno State: n/a
Hawai’i: against ban
Nevada: n/a
New Mexico: n/a
San Diego State: n/a
San Jose State: against ban
UNLV: n/a
Utah State: n/a
Wyoming: had camps scheduled
PAC 12: 6 against, 2 in favor, 1 neutral, 1 “it’s complicated,” 2 n/a
Arizona: against ban
Arizona State: n/a
Cal: in favor of ban
Colorado: against ban
Oregon: against ban
Oregon State: had camps scheduled
Stanford: no opinion: “I’m great with whatever college football says, because it doesn’t affect us. It doesn’t make sense for us to go hold a camp some place where there might be one person in the entire state that’s eligible to get into Stanford.” – David Shaw, head coach
UCLA: in favor of ban
USC: n/a
Utah: against ban
Washington: against ban
Washington State: against ban
SEC: 11 in favor, 2 neutral, 1 n/a
Alabama: in favor of ban
Arkansas: on fence: "We were gonna jump in; We were gonna jump in with both feet." – Bret Bielema, head coach
Auburn: in favor of ban
Florida: in favor of ban
Georgia: in favor of ban
Kentucky: in favor of ban
LSU: in favor of ban
Mississippi State: in favor of ban
Missouri: in favor of ban
Ole Miss: in favor of ban
South Carolina: ok with ban/no opinion: “"You ever been to Michigan in March? I'd go to Florida if I were them," Muschamp said, in reference to the Wolverines' spring break excursion to IMG Academy in Bradenton. In the next breath, Muschamp was sure to point out that Jim Harbaugh and the Wolverines did nothing illegal per the NCAA rulebook and said he couldn't care less what other teams are doing this spring.” – Will Muschamp, head coach (via Brad Crawford, 247)
Tennessee: in favor of ban
Texas A&M: in favor of ban
Vanderbilt: n/a
Sun Belt: 5 against, 1 in favor, 2 neutral, 1 “it’s complicated,” 2 n/a
Appalachian State: wants to revise rule: “I can see both sides of the argument for satellite camps, and I do agree with the fact more student-athletes get seen when you’re able to have the satellite camps. You’re doing camps in a place where there’s an abundance of players, and you may have 10 to 20 colleges of all levels there to see these kids... I can see a happy medium coming down. It may not happen this year — maybe next year — where you can work your state and go anywhere in your state.”- Scott Satterfield, head coach
Arkansas State: had camps scheduled
Arkansas Little Rock: against ban
Georgia Southern: against ban
Georgia State: against ban
Louisiana Lafayette: in favor of ban
Louisiana Monroe: against ban
South Alabama: n/a
Texas State: had camps scheduled, coach against ban, AD in favor of ban: "I think it was a snap decision. Not very good for kids that need coaches like myself in the Sun Belt and the MAC to be able to go to Texas and Ohio State camps and see those kids." – Everett Withers, head coach
"The Sun Belt voted on a controversial issue to eliminate these satellite camps. Six of ten FBS conferences voted to eliminate these camps. The pros and cons of these camps can be debated, and I am sure there will continue to be discussion on this matter, but for now the majority has spoken and it's time to move on and the Sun Belt football programs will continue to get better with or without these camps." – Karl Benson, Sun Belt Commissioner (in response to Larry Teis, Texas State’s AD, voting for the ban on behalf of the conference)
UT Arlington: n/a
Troy: against ban
To reiterate the summary, here it is again:
AGAINST BAN: 39
IN FAVOR OF BAN: 20
HAVEN’T SAID YET: 51
ON FENCE, LEANING AGAINST BAN: 10
ON FENCE, LEANING IN FAVOR OF BAN: 6
NO OPINION; UNSURE: 2
If every program had to vote on this matter one way or the other, we could simplify it to this:
AGAINST BAN: 49 (goal: 86)
IN FAVOR OF BAN: 26 (goal: 43)
UNDECIDED: 53
Needing 37 of those 53 undecided votes is quite a bit to ask. But let’s look at those undecided programs a bit more closely to see if we can narrow that down even more:
Undecided programs by conference:
AAC: 9
ACC: 7
Big 10: 4
Big 12: 4
Conference USA: 8
Independents: 1
MAC: 6
MWC: 7
PAC 12: 2
SEC: 1
Sun Belt: 3
Let’s also look at how many are against the ban...:
AAC: 3
ACC: 2
Big 10: 8
Big 12: 5
Conference USA: 6
Independents: 1
MAC: 5
MWC: 5
PAC 12: 7
SEC: 0
Sun Belt: 7
...and in favor of the ban:
AAC: 0
ACC: 5
Big 10: 2
Big 12: 1
Conference USA: 0
Independents: 1
MAC: 1
MWC: 0
PAC 12: 2
SEC: 13
Sun Belt: 1
Beyond the ACC and the SEC, no other conference has more than two programs that have spoken out against the satellite camps or agreed with the ruling. Plus those same conferences are the only ones to have only two or less programs against the ban. This pattern is key to gaining the necessary votes to repeal the ban on satellite camps.
Another pattern to notice is that power 5 conferences have more programs that have spoken up one way or the other about the ban. Only 18 of the 53 undecided programs are from power 5 conferences, leaving 35 from group of 5 conferences. This is also key, as the ban seems to really hurt these smaller schools, particularly if they are in smaller markets (anyone feel bad for Hawai’i here?). It is likely that the majority of those 35 schools be against the ban. Which, with 37 more votes needed, that bodes well for the good guys.
Geography doesn’t seem to matter in the group of 5 programs, as the AAC, CUSA, and Sun Belt all either have schools in the south or are totally in the south, yet from just those 3 conferences only 1 school (Louisiana Lafayette from the Sun Belt) has come out in support of the ban while 16 have come out against it. The MWC as well has 5 against it with 0 in favor, which is even better than the MAC can say with Toledo’s Jason Candle being ok with the ban. Programs in the south and west might even be more affected by the new rule as even camping at schools within their own state would likely help them in recruiting, whereas a program in the midwest or elsewhere might not have the same opportunities to see top level recruits within their own state or even nearby.
This explains why many schools in the Sun Belt, MWC, CUSA, even the PAC 12 are against the ban. It also explains why there is so much outrage that some of those conferences inexplicably “voted” for the ban. In the case of the Sun Belt and the PAC 12, conferences that voted for the ban, over half the conference oppose the ban!
Moving forward, as more of these undecided programs come out of the woodwork either opposed or in favor of the NCAA’s ban on satellite camps, it is clear that we can expect most of them to side with Harbaugh and high-schoolers everywhere on this one. Whether or not it will be enough to rescind the vote by June 7th remains to be seen, but there is hope.
if every school that is in a Power 5 conference got a vote that counted double, and every other school had a count that voted single.
(this excludes the "undecided"/"we don't really care" schools).
Every school getting a vote --- with the Power 5 conference schools getting 2 votes --- does seem to be the more "fair" way to decide the issue.
I brought this up in another thread, but imagine being BYU or Army. They are both Independent, and they literally have NO representation under the current system (Notre Dame is theoretically advocated for via the ACC umbrella).
We literally have 2 schools --- one of whom has both fairly high levels of support and success in the sport --- that have no voice on these issues. How is that acceptable?!?
Good work on the post and breaking it all down!
I didn't think about whether or not the P5 programs would could as 2 votes as they did in the conference vote. That's a really good question and one that I'm not sure what the answer is.
If they did go by more of a point system like that, then you'd have to get 127 out of a possible 190 points. There'd be 70 undecided points with the current "score" that you mentioned at 71-48 in favor of repealing the ban. I still think with the patterns shown at the end that we'd get those 56 points necessary to grab the vote.
Conference | School | Position |
---|---|---|
AAC | Cincinnati | against ban |
AAC | Connecticut | n/a |
AAC | East Carolina | n/a |
AAC | Houston | n/a |
AAC | Memphis | n/a |
AAC | Navy | n/a |
AAC | SMU | n/a |
AAC | Temple | n/a |
AAC | Tulane | against ban |
AAC | Tulsa | n/a |
AAC | UCF | n/a |
AAC | USF | against ban |
ACC | Boston College | n/a |
ACC | Clemson | in favor of ban |
ACC | Duke | in favor of ban |
ACC | Florida State | in favor of ban |
ACC | Georgia Tech | in favor of ban |
ACC | Louisville | n/a |
ACC | Miami (YTM) | n/a |
ACC | North Carolina | n/a |
ACC | North Carolina State | made statement praising Harbaugh |
ACC | Pittsburgh | in favor of ban |
ACC | Syracuse | n/a |
ACC | Virginia | n/a |
ACC | Virginia Tech | n/a |
ACC | Wake Forest | against ban |
Big 10 | Illinois | n/a |
Big 10 | Indiana | n/a |
Big 10 | Iowa | in favor of ban |
Big 10 | Maryland | against ban |
Big 10 | Michigan | against ban (obviously) |
Big 10 | Michigan State | against ban |
Big 10 | Minnesota | n/a |
Big 10 | Nebraska | against ban |
Big 10 | Northwestern | against ban |
Big 10 | Ohio State | against ban |
Big 10 | Penn State | ok with ban |
Big 10 | Purdue | hasn't said |
Big 10 | Rutgers | against ban |
Big 10 | Wisconsin | n/a |
Big 12 | Baylor | against ban |
Big 12 | Iowa State | against ban |
Big 12 | Kansas | n/a |
Big 12 | Kansas State | wants to revise rule |
Big 12 | Oklahoma | against ban |
Big 12 | Oklahoma State | against ban |
Big 12 | Texas | n/a |
Big 12 | Texas Christian | n/a |
Big 12 | Texas Tech | n/a |
Big 12 | West Virginia | ok with ban |
Conference USA | Charlotte | n/a |
Conference USA | Florida Atlantic | had camps scheduled |
Conference USA | Florida Int'l | n/a |
Conference USA | Louisiana Tech | against ban |
Conference USA | Marshall | n/a |
Conference USA | MTSU | n/a |
Conference USA | North Texas | n/a |
Conference USA | Old Dominion | against ban |
Conference USA | Rice | n/a |
Conference USA | Southern Miss | n/a |
Conference USA | UAB | against ban |
Conference USA | UTEP | had camps scheduled |
Conference USA | UTSA | n/a |
Conference USA | Western Kentucky | against ban |
Independents | Army | n/a |
Independents | BYU | ok with ban |
Independents | Notre Dame | against ban |
MAC | Akron | n/a |
MAC | Ball State | had camps scheduled |
MAC | Bowling Green | against ban |
MAC | Buffalo | n/a |
MAC | Central Michigan | against ban |
MAC | Eastern Michigan | against ban |
MAC | Kent State | n/a |
MAC | Miami (NTM) | n/a |
MAC | Northern Illinois | n/a |
MAC | Ohio | n/a |
MAC | Toledo | ok with ban |
MAC | Western Michigan | against ban |
MWC | Air Force | n/a |
MWC | Boise State | against ban |
MWC | Colorado State | against ban |
MWC | Fresno State | n/a |
MWC | Hawai'i | against ban |
MWC | Nevada | n/a |
MWC | New Mexico | n/a |
MWC | San Diego State | n/a |
MWC | San Jose State | against ban |
MWC | UNLV | n/a |
MWC | Utah State | n/a |
MWC | Wyoming | had camps scheduled |
PAC 12 | Arizona | against ban |
PAC 12 | Arizona State | n/a |
PAC 12 | Cal | in favor of ban |
PAC 12 | Colorado | against ban |
PAC 12 | Oregon | against ban |
PAC 12 | Oregon State | had camps scheduled |
PAC 12 | Stanford | no opinion |
PAC 12 | UCLA | in favor of ban |
PAC 12 | USC | n/a |
PAC 12 | Utah | against ban |
PAC 12 | Washington | against ban |
PAC 12 | Washington State | against ban |
SEC | Alabama | in favor of ban |
SEC | Arkansas | on fence |
SEC | Auburn | in favor of ban |
SEC | Florida | in favor of ban |
SEC | Georgia | in favor of ban |
SEC | Kentucky | in favor of ban |
SEC | LSU | in favor of ban |
SEC | Mississippi State | in favor of ban |
SEC | Missouri | in favor of ban |
SEC | Ole Miss | in favor of ban |
SEC | South Carolina | ok with ban/no opinion |
SEC | Tennessee | in favor of ban |
SEC | Texas A&M | in favor of ban |
SEC | Vanderbilt | n/a |
Sun Belt | Appalachian State | wants to revise rule |
Sun Belt | Arkansas Little Rock | against ban |
Sun Belt | Arkansas State | had camps scheduled |
Sun Belt | Georgia Southern | against ban |
Sun Belt | Georgia State | against ban |
Sun Belt | Louisiana Lafayette | in favor of ban |
Sun Belt | Louisiana Monroe | against ban |
Sun Belt | South Alabama | n/a |
Sun Belt | Texas State | had camps scheduled |
Sun Belt | Troy | against ban |
Sun Belt | UT Arlington | n/a |
I'm still of the opinion that regardless of how schools vote, there remains a remedy available to overthrow any regulation the NCAA throws out that restricts schools from having these camps - file an antitrust action against the NCAA based upon the anti-competitive nature of the regulation.
I'm not so sure, based on the data we have:
37/53 undecided votes means we need to convince 69.8% of undecided schools to vote against the ban.
But this ratio is very similiar to the ratio we already have clarity on: We know 39 are against the ban, and 20 are for it. 39/59 = 66.1%.
We only need Harbaugh-Manuel to get a slightly better ratio with undecided schools than what schools have already chosen of their own volition.
The math shows we actually have a great shot at overturning the ban.
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April 21st, 2016 at 12:42 PM ^
Doesn't make much sense to me, but I guess that means the other 7 teams in the MWC were against satellite camps. I could maybe understand why the California schools would be against it, but I don't understand the Nevada schools, Utah St, Wyoming, & New Mexico's positions at all. At least 4 of those 5 schools had to vote for banning satellite camps. I assume this also means that football-only affiliate member Hawaii did not get a vote in the matter.
MWC commish Craig Thompson told me his league voted 7-4 in favor of satellite ban, but yesterday he sent a memo... https://t.co/t8rIqDsSbl
— Heather Dinich (@CFBHeather) April 21, 2016
April 21st, 2016 at 12:53 PM ^
Sun Belt Commissioner Karl Benson now saying that 7 schools in his conference are for banning satellite camps. This comes a week after stating that a majority of the schools were in favor of satellite camps. My guess: SEC is threatening to take away their bodybag game payouts.
. @SunBelt commish Karl Benson said if his league voted on satellite camps today, it would be 7-5 in favor of banning them.
— Heather Dinich (@CFBHeather) April 21, 2016
It's no wonder their vote came out the way it did.
I'm now told Benson meant to say his schools would be 7-5 AGAINST a camp ban. However, their rep voted for the ban. https://t.co/B0REreGYvw
— Stewart Mandel (@slmandel) April 21, 2016
April 21st, 2016 at 12:47 PM ^
Why the fudge is Iowa against the ban?
April 22nd, 2016 at 11:08 AM ^
Yeah that was weird. Maybe Iowa thought after last season they don't need camps to be good, irrational as that might be.
well, it's Iowa.
Didn't the Pac-12 end up voting 0-11-1 on the ban according the all the stuff about the UCLA AD? So that would mean they would be 11 no votes right?
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
September 20th, 2016 at 2:54 AM ^
I like your all post. You have done really good work. Thank you for the information you provide, it helped me a lot. I hope to have many more entries or so from you.
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