Evaluating every FBS program's stance on satellite camps

Submitted by Mr. Elbel on

(Note: I'm not sure how to insert links for all the quotes, but if someone can tell me or send me somewhere that will tell me, I'll go back and give credit for every quote and such.)

If you’ve been alive for the past few weeks you’ve heard more about satellite camps than you care to know, which is why I’ve written an extensive diary about them. You’re welcome.

Tom VH’s piece on how coach’s voting can bring down the ban on satellite camps sparked my curiosity as to which schools are actually in favor of the ban, which are opposed to the ban, and which don’t give a crap because they’re smarter than you (I’m lookin’ at you, David Shaw).

From Tom’s article: “The April 8 vote that bans coaches from holding high school camps off campus did not pass by 85 percent majority, which leaves the door open for coaches and athletic directors to try to rescind the vote. Behind closed doors, that's exactly what seems to be happening right now.

“One of the options Harbaugh and Manuel have is trying to get a 66.7 percent of the majority of 128 FBS programs to request that the ruling be rescinded within a 60-day override period. Since the original vote only received 66.6 percent approval, well below the required 85 percent, the programs that disagree with the ruling can still get the ban relinquished.

“The original vote to ban the camps was done by conference representatives, whereas a reversal would require individual votes from programs. Getting roughly 85 programs to request the repeal might be difficult, but there are a growing number of coaches speaking out against the ban.”

He’s rounding down to get to that 85 number, so let’s assume 86 just to be safe. There are two different ways to look at this: From Michigan’s perspective, we need 86 programs including ours to vote to undo the ban. But from the other side, the SEC and their minions need over 43 votes in favor of the ban to uphold it. They already got 66.6 percent approval from the original vote; however, the votes there don’t seem to represent every program very effectively (even though they should in theory).

Thus, determining which programs have spoken out against the ban and which have spoken out against the camps can give us a clearer picture of if such a vote is even plausible. Looking at each of the 128 FBS programs, this is what I came up with:

AGAINST BAN: 39

IN FAVOR OF BAN: 20

HAVEN’T SAID YET: 51

ON FENCE, LEANING AGAINST BAN: 10

ON FENCE, LEANING IN FAVOR OF BAN: 6

NO OPINION; UNSURE: 2

I came up with these numbers by simply googling each program by name, the coach’s name, or the AD’s name with satellite camps. If there isn’t anything relevant on the first or second page, I put n/a. It proved fairly true that if a coach or AD spoke up about the camps or the ban in any way that someone wrote about it from somewhere and it’d end up on the first two search pages. We’ve covered it to death at mgoblog, but so has just about everyone else it seems.

The programs that are on the fence are interesting. Some of them I put there simply because they had camps scheduled but I couldn’t actually find that they gave any kind of a response to the ban itself. Some are there because they’ve openly come out as neutral or have suggested some other changes to the rule. Lots of “I can see both sides to it” quotes coming out of these programs. Some were much more interesting, in the case of Texas State, whose coach came out vehemently against the ban, but whose AD represented the Sun Belt by voting for the ban, an action for which he received some backlash. In the breakdown below, I give more explanation to these cases.

One variable that jacks up this data is proven in the Texas State case, where the AD and the coach might disagree. In this case, the AD likely overrules the coach, however there were few cases where both the AD and coach had spoken publicly about the subject (as Harbaugh and Manuel have), and only that one where they openly disagreed. However, if it comes down to a vote, these instances might have a big effect on how schools vote, so keep that in mind.

The current position of every FBS football program, by conference (those who take any position are bolded):

 

AAC: 3 against, 9 n/a

Cincinnati: against ban

Connecticut: n/a

East Carolina: n/a

Houston: n/a

Memphis: n/a

Navy: n/a

SMU: n/a

Temple: n/a

Tulane: against ban

Tulsa: n/a

UCF: n/a

USF: against ban

 

ACC: 1 against, 1 neutral, 5 in favor, 7 n/a

Boston College: n/a

Clemson: in favor of ban

Duke: in favor of ban

Florida State: in favor of ban

Georgia Tech: in favor of ban

Louisville: n/a

Miami (YTM): n/a

North Carolina: n/a

North Carolina State: made statement praising Harbaugh: “You want to have as many opportunities as possible to not just recruit but have your brand out there. What Michigan did was smart. They took advantage of an opportunity. They had the budget to do it. Being a northern school, which I've been before, being able to get down into the South where there's a lot of talent, for them, was intelligent.” – Dave Doeren, head coach

Pittsburgh: in favor of ban

Syracuse: n/a

Virginia: n/a

Virginia Tech: n/a

Wake Forest: against ban

 

Big 10: 7 against, 2 neutral, 1 in favor, 4 n/a

Illinois: n/a

Indiana: n/a

Iowa: in favor of ban

Maryland: against ban

Michigan: against ban (obviously)

Michigan State: against ban

Minnesota: n/a

Nebraska: against ban

Northwestern: against ban

Ohio State: against ban

Penn State: ok with ban: “If it's legal, we're going to do it, as long as everybody's playing by the same rules is what I care about... There were some real positives to it, but there were some things people had concerns about. You can make arguments both ways. Obviously this is something that we were doing, and enjoyed doing, but I also like the fact we are going to back on our campus, spend more time with our current players, and then the same thing with our families." – James Franklin, head coach

Purdue: hasn’t said, but had camps scheduled

Rutgers: against ban

Wisconsin: n/a

 

Big 12: 4 against, 2 neutral, 4 n/a

Baylor: against ban

Iowa State: against ban

Kansas: n/a

Kansas State: wants to revise rule: “Our satellite camps, for the most part, were in the state of Kansas, trying to get out to western Kansas, because western Kansas youngsters sometimes just can't get here. We did them in Kansas City, we did them in Wichita. We were in-state. I would prefer the rule still allowed you to do that.” – Bill Snyder, head coach

Oklahoma: against ban

Oklahoma State: against ban

Texas: n/a

Texas Christian: n/a

Texas Tech: n/a

West Virginia: ok with ban: “Camps were once formed for developmental purposes and they’ve turned totally into recruiting tools... I think it’s forcing your institution and camp to move all around the country. In reality, how many of those kids are really coming to your school?” – Shane Lyons, AD

 

Conference USA: 4 against, 2 neutral, 8 n/a

Charlotte: n/a

Florida Atlantic: had camps scheduled

Florida Int’l: n/a

Louisiana Tech: against ban

Marshall: n/a

MTSU: n/a

North Texas: n/a

Old Dominion: against ban

Rice: n/a

Southern Miss: n/a

UAB: against ban

UTEP: had camps scheduled, coach made neutral statement: "It won't affect us too much... We'll have to adjust but it won't affect us as much as it will other people. Our main focus is on El Paso, the big camp we have here with 150 kids." – Sean Kugler, head coach

UTSA: n/a

Western Kentucky: against ban

 

Independents: 1 against, 1 neutral, 1 n/a

Army: n/a

Notre Dame: against ban

BYU: ok with ban: "I can see both sides of it. I understand where everyone is making statements, has an opinion. I get that. But my job as head coach is whatever the NCAA says to do, we do it. It doesn't matter what my personal opinion is. I can see both arguments. But right now, the camps are off-limits, so we just plan accordingly." – Kalani Sitake, head coach

 

MAC: 4 against, 2 neutral, 6 n/a

Akron: n/a

Ball State: had camps scheduled

Bowling Green: against ban

Buffalo: n/a

Central Michigan: against ban

Eastern Michigan: against ban

Kent State: n/a

Miami (NTM): n/a

Northern Illinois: n/a

Ohio: n/a

Toledo: ok with ban: “I see both sides of it. I think it’s a positive that everything is going to be done on your own campus, but I certainly know the benefits of what we’ve had in the past, where we’ve been able to go out and see a bunch of young men at a central location.” – Jason Candle, head coach

Western Michigan: against ban

 

MWC: 4 against, 1 neutral, 7 n/a

Air Force: n/a

Boise State: against ban

Colorado State: against ban

Fresno State: n/a

Hawai’i: against ban

Nevada: n/a

New Mexico: n/a

San Diego State: n/a

San Jose State: against ban

UNLV: n/a

Utah State: n/a

Wyoming: had camps scheduled

 

PAC 12: 6 against, 2 in favor, 1 neutral, 1 “it’s complicated,” 2 n/a

Arizona: against ban

Arizona State: n/a

Cal: in favor of ban

Colorado: against ban

Oregon: against ban

Oregon State: had camps scheduled

Stanford: no opinion: “I’m great with whatever college football says, because it doesn’t affect us. It doesn’t make sense for us to go hold a camp some place where there might be one person in the entire state that’s eligible to get into Stanford.” – David Shaw, head coach

UCLA: in favor of ban

USC: n/a

Utah: against ban

Washington: against ban

Washington State: against ban

 

SEC: 11 in favor, 2 neutral, 1 n/a

Alabama: in favor of ban

Arkansas: on fence: "We were gonna jump in; We were gonna jump in with both feet." – Bret Bielema, head coach

Auburn: in favor of ban

Florida: in favor of ban

Georgia: in favor of ban

Kentucky: in favor of ban

LSU: in favor of ban

Mississippi State: in favor of ban

Missouri: in favor of ban

Ole Miss: in favor of ban

South Carolina: ok with ban/no opinion: “"You ever been to Michigan in March? I'd go to Florida if I were them," Muschamp said, in reference to the Wolverines' spring break excursion to IMG Academy in Bradenton. In the next breath, Muschamp was sure to point out that Jim Harbaugh and the Wolverines did nothing illegal per the NCAA rulebook and said he couldn't care less what other teams are doing this spring.” – Will Muschamp, head coach (via Brad Crawford, 247)

Tennessee: in favor of ban

Texas A&M: in favor of ban

Vanderbilt: n/a

 

Sun Belt: 5 against, 1 in favor, 2 neutral, 1 “it’s complicated,” 2 n/a

Appalachian State: wants to revise rule: “I can see both sides of the argument for satellite camps, and I do agree with the fact more student-athletes get seen when you’re able to have the satellite camps. You’re doing camps in a place where there’s an abundance of players, and you may have 10 to 20 colleges of all levels there to see these kids... I can see a happy medium coming down. It may not happen this year — maybe next year — where you can work your state and go anywhere in your state.”- Scott Satterfield, head coach

Arkansas State: had camps scheduled

Arkansas Little Rock: against ban

Georgia Southern: against ban

Georgia State: against ban

Louisiana Lafayette: in favor of ban

Louisiana Monroe: against ban

South Alabama: n/a

Texas State: had camps scheduled, coach against ban, AD in favor of ban: "I think it was a snap decision. Not very good for kids that need coaches like myself in the Sun Belt and the MAC to be able to go to Texas and Ohio State camps and see those kids." – Everett Withers, head coach

"The Sun Belt voted on a controversial issue to eliminate these satellite camps. Six of ten FBS conferences voted to eliminate these camps. The pros and cons of these camps can be debated, and I am sure there will continue to be discussion on this matter, but for now the majority has spoken and it's time to move on and the Sun Belt football programs will continue to get better with or without these camps." – Karl Benson, Sun Belt Commissioner (in response to Larry Teis, Texas State’s AD, voting for the ban on behalf of the conference)

UT Arlington: n/a

Troy: against ban

 

To reiterate the summary, here it is again:

AGAINST BAN: 39

IN FAVOR OF BAN: 20

HAVEN’T SAID YET: 51

ON FENCE, LEANING AGAINST BAN: 10

ON FENCE, LEANING IN FAVOR OF BAN: 6

NO OPINION; UNSURE: 2

 

If every program had to vote on this matter one way or the other, we could simplify it to this:

AGAINST BAN: 49 (goal: 86)

IN FAVOR OF BAN: 26 (goal: 43)

UNDECIDED: 53

Needing 37 of those 53 undecided votes is quite a bit to ask. But let’s look at those undecided programs a bit more closely to see if we can narrow that down even more:

 

Undecided programs by conference:

AAC: 9

ACC: 7

Big 10: 4

Big 12: 4

Conference USA: 8

Independents: 1

MAC: 6

MWC: 7

PAC 12: 2

SEC: 1

Sun Belt: 3

Let’s also look at how many are against the ban...:

AAC: 3

ACC: 2

Big 10: 8

Big 12: 5

Conference USA: 6

Independents: 1

MAC: 5

MWC: 5

PAC 12: 7

SEC: 0

Sun Belt: 7

...and in favor of the ban:

AAC: 0

ACC: 5

Big 10: 2

Big 12: 1

Conference USA: 0

Independents: 1

MAC: 1

MWC: 0

PAC 12: 2

SEC: 13

Sun Belt: 1

 

Beyond the ACC and the SEC, no other conference has more than two programs that have spoken out against the satellite camps or agreed with the ruling. Plus those same conferences are the only ones to have only two or less programs against the ban. This pattern is key to gaining the necessary votes to repeal the ban on satellite camps.

Another pattern to notice is that power 5 conferences have more programs that have spoken up one way or the other about the ban. Only 18 of the 53 undecided programs are from power 5 conferences, leaving 35 from group of 5 conferences. This is also key, as the ban seems to really hurt these smaller schools, particularly if they are in smaller markets (anyone feel bad for Hawai’i here?). It is likely that the majority of those 35 schools be against the ban. Which, with 37 more votes needed, that bodes well for the good guys.

Geography doesn’t seem to matter in the group of 5 programs, as the AAC, CUSA, and Sun Belt all either have schools in the south or are totally in the south, yet from just those 3 conferences only 1 school (Louisiana Lafayette from the Sun Belt) has come out in support of the ban while 16 have come out against it. The MWC as well has 5 against it with 0 in favor, which is even better than the MAC can say with Toledo’s Jason Candle being ok with the ban. Programs in the south and west might even be more affected by the new rule as even camping at schools within their own state would likely help them in recruiting, whereas a program in the midwest or elsewhere might not have the same opportunities to see top level recruits within their own state or even nearby.

This explains why many schools in the Sun Belt, MWC, CUSA, even the PAC 12 are against the ban. It also explains why there is so much outrage that some of those conferences inexplicably “voted” for the ban. In the case of the Sun Belt and the PAC 12, conferences that voted for the ban, over half the conference oppose the ban!

Moving forward, as more of these undecided programs come out of the woodwork either opposed or in favor of the NCAA’s ban on satellite camps, it is clear that we can expect most of them to side with Harbaugh and high-schoolers everywhere on this one. Whether or not it will be enough to rescind the vote by June 7th remains to be seen, but there is hope.

Comments

NittanyFan

April 20th, 2016 at 1:36 PM ^

if every school that is in a Power 5 conference got a vote that counted double, and every other school had a count that voted single.

(this excludes the "undecided"/"we don't really care" schools).

Every school getting a vote --- with the Power 5 conference schools getting 2 votes --- does seem to be the more "fair" way to decide the issue.  

I brought this up in another thread, but imagine being BYU or Army.  They are both Independent, and they literally have NO representation under the current system (Notre Dame is theoretically advocated for via the ACC umbrella).  

We literally have 2 schools --- one of whom has both fairly high levels of support and success in the sport --- that have no voice on these issues.  How is that acceptable?!?

Good work on the post and breaking it all down!

Mr. Elbel

April 20th, 2016 at 1:53 PM ^

I didn't think about whether or not the P5 programs would could as 2 votes as they did in the conference vote. That's a really good question and one that I'm not sure what the answer is.

If they did go by more of a point system like that, then you'd have to get 127 out of a possible 190 points. There'd be 70 undecided points with the current "score" that you mentioned at 71-48 in favor of repealing the ban. I still think with the patterns shown at the end that we'd get those 56 points necessary to grab the vote.

Daniel

April 20th, 2016 at 2:25 PM ^

ConferenceSchoolPosition
AACCincinnatiagainst ban
AACConnecticutn/a
AACEast Carolinan/a
AACHoustonn/a
AACMemphisn/a
AACNavyn/a
AACSMUn/a
AACTemplen/a
AACTulaneagainst ban
AACTulsan/a
AACUCFn/a
AACUSFagainst ban
ACCBoston Collegen/a
ACCClemsonin favor of ban
ACCDukein favor of ban
ACCFlorida Statein favor of ban
ACCGeorgia Techin favor of ban
ACCLouisvillen/a
ACCMiami (YTM)n/a
ACCNorth Carolinan/a
ACCNorth Carolina Statemade statement praising Harbaugh
ACCPittsburghin favor of ban
ACCSyracusen/a
ACCVirginian/a
ACCVirginia Techn/a
ACCWake Forestagainst ban
Big 10Illinoisn/a
Big 10Indianan/a
Big 10Iowain favor of ban
Big 10Marylandagainst ban
Big 10Michiganagainst ban (obviously)
Big 10Michigan Stateagainst ban
Big 10Minnesotan/a
Big 10Nebraskaagainst ban
Big 10Northwesternagainst ban
Big 10Ohio Stateagainst ban
Big 10Penn Stateok with ban
Big 10Purduehasn't said
Big 10Rutgersagainst ban
Big 10Wisconsinn/a
Big 12Bayloragainst ban
Big 12Iowa Stateagainst ban
Big 12Kansasn/a
Big 12Kansas Statewants to revise rule
Big 12Oklahomaagainst ban
Big 12Oklahoma Stateagainst ban
Big 12Texasn/a
Big 12Texas Christiann/a
Big 12Texas Techn/a
Big 12West Virginiaok with ban
Conference USACharlotten/a
Conference USAFlorida Atlantichad camps scheduled
Conference USAFlorida Int'ln/a
Conference USALouisiana Techagainst ban
Conference USAMarshalln/a
Conference USAMTSUn/a
Conference USANorth Texasn/a
Conference USAOld Dominionagainst ban
Conference USARicen/a
Conference USASouthern Missn/a
Conference USAUABagainst ban
Conference USAUTEPhad camps scheduled
Conference USAUTSAn/a
Conference USAWestern Kentuckyagainst ban
IndependentsArmyn/a
IndependentsBYUok with ban
IndependentsNotre Dameagainst ban
MACAkronn/a
MACBall Statehad camps scheduled
MACBowling Greenagainst ban
MACBuffalon/a
MACCentral Michiganagainst ban
MACEastern Michiganagainst ban
MACKent Staten/a
MACMiami (NTM)n/a
MACNorthern Illinoisn/a
MACOhion/a
MACToledook with ban
MACWestern Michiganagainst ban
MWCAir Forcen/a
MWCBoise Stateagainst ban
MWCColorado Stateagainst ban
MWCFresno Staten/a
MWCHawai'iagainst ban
MWCNevadan/a
MWCNew Mexicon/a
MWCSan Diego Staten/a
MWCSan Jose Stateagainst ban
MWCUNLVn/a
MWCUtah Staten/a
MWCWyominghad camps scheduled
PAC 12Arizonaagainst ban
PAC 12Arizona Staten/a
PAC 12Calin favor of ban
PAC 12Coloradoagainst ban
PAC 12Oregonagainst ban
PAC 12Oregon Statehad camps scheduled
PAC 12Stanfordno opinion
PAC 12UCLAin favor of ban
PAC 12USCn/a
PAC 12Utahagainst ban
PAC 12Washingtonagainst ban
PAC 12Washington Stateagainst ban
SECAlabamain favor of ban
SECArkansason fence
SECAuburnin favor of ban
SECFloridain favor of ban
SECGeorgiain favor of ban
SECKentuckyin favor of ban
SECLSUin favor of ban
SECMississippi Statein favor of ban
SECMissouriin favor of ban
SECOle Missin favor of ban
SECSouth Carolinaok with ban/no opinion
SECTennesseein favor of ban
SECTexas A&Min favor of ban
SECVanderbiltn/a
Sun BeltAppalachian Statewants to revise rule
Sun BeltArkansas Little Rockagainst ban
Sun BeltArkansas Statehad camps scheduled
Sun BeltGeorgia Southernagainst ban
Sun BeltGeorgia Stateagainst ban
Sun BeltLouisiana Lafayettein favor of ban
Sun BeltLouisiana Monroeagainst ban
Sun BeltSouth Alabaman/a
Sun BeltTexas Statehad camps scheduled
Sun BeltTroyagainst ban
Sun BeltUT Arlingtonn/a

PopeLando

April 20th, 2016 at 2:30 PM ^

Here's the rub: if it comes to a vote or referendum, there will undoubtedly be the same kind of politicking that went on before. The SEC and ACC (lol ACC) can simply strongarm the smaller schools. The less scrupulous SEC schools can pay other schools off directly. And above all, the ban offers a very convincing argument to the self-centered of college coaches. Imagine a conversation between Alabama and Hypothetical Tiny Program Also in Alabama: HTPAiA: "Satellite camps are good for the student athletes." Bama: "Listen, we're going to get every 5 Star in this state. But when we're done, there will be some 4 stars which I can make sure know about your program. Do you want first shot at them or do you want Michigan to have first shot?" This has been the problem from the start. There is no rational reason for banning satellite camps, only self-centered reasons. Fuck the SEC for this, because it will be easier to double down on being powerful fucktards than it will be to back down on this issue.

bluebyyou

April 20th, 2016 at 4:57 PM ^

I'm still of the opinion that regardless of how schools vote, there remains a remedy available to overthrow any regulation the NCAA throws out that restricts schools from having these camps - file an antitrust action against the NCAA based upon the anti-competitive nature of the regulation.

MayOhioEatTurds

April 20th, 2016 at 5:49 PM ^

I'm not so sure, based on the data we have:

37/53 undecided votes means we need to convince 69.8% of undecided schools to vote against the ban. 

But this ratio is very similiar to the ratio we already have clarity on:  We know 39 are against the ban, and 20 are for it.  39/59 = 66.1%

We only need Harbaugh-Manuel to get a slightly better ratio with undecided schools than what schools have already chosen of their own volition. 

The math shows we actually have a great shot at overturning the ban.

 

kubacufror

April 21st, 2016 at 4:51 AM ^

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ABOUBENADHEM

April 21st, 2016 at 6:35 AM ^

is a lot of followers who prior to the vote were not very insightful in their analysis. I think the X factor in this whole issue is how much the NCAA fears a legal challenge if they keep the ban as is. My read is that the NCAA decides the ban is not a good decision, legally or rightfully for student athletes, and decides to overturn the ban so they can live to fight another day.

Leaders And Best

April 21st, 2016 at 12:42 PM ^

Doesn't make much sense to me, but I guess that means the other 7 teams in the MWC were against satellite camps. I could maybe understand why the California schools would be against it, but I don't understand the Nevada schools, Utah St, Wyoming, & New Mexico's positions at all. At least 4 of those 5 schools had to vote for banning satellite camps. I assume this also means that football-only affiliate member Hawaii did not get a vote in the matter.

 

Leaders And Best

April 21st, 2016 at 12:53 PM ^

Sun Belt Commissioner Karl Benson now saying that 7 schools in his conference are for banning satellite camps. This comes a week after stating that a majority of the schools were in favor of satellite camps. My guess: SEC is threatening to take away their bodybag game payouts.

 

Bambi

April 21st, 2016 at 3:42 PM ^

Didn't the Pac-12 end up voting 0-11-1 on the ban according the all the stuff about the UCLA AD? So that would mean they would be 11 no votes right?

JTGoBlue

April 21st, 2016 at 8:47 PM ^

Why is this approach even being discussed? Isn't there enough evidence of conf representatives voting against their own conference consensus to appeal for a do over? There is already very likely a majority against the ban.



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luonvuive

September 20th, 2016 at 2:54 AM ^

I like your all post. You have done really good work. Thank you for the information you provide, it helped me a lot. I hope to have many more entries or so from you.