NJIT 72. Michigan 70. Really. Comment Count

BiSB

NOTE: Given Ace’s current situation, I volunteered to write the game wrap. I regret everything.

The stages of a shocking upset are predictable. It starts with amusement. Then it moves to concern about the effects on KenPom or the polls. Then it becomes a mild concern that this might actually become a problem. Then there’s a moment when you realize, “uh oh.” And it stops being fun.

When NJIT hit an uncontested layup with less than 12 minutes left to take a 46-44 lead, it stopped being fun. When they took a seven point lead with 9 minutes left, it became terrifying. And when Damon Lynn hit yet another three point bomb to give the Highlanders a 4-point lead with under 3 minutes left, you stared at the calendar and thought to yourself “I thought football season was over.”

Lynn was insane in the second half, scoring 15 points on 5 of 6 shooting from deep. As a team, NJIT came in shooting 33% from three, but shot 64.7% (11-17 )in this one. It was reminiscent of the Detroit game, with one exception; they never. Stopped. Hitting. Adding to the problem was that NJIT connected on a half-dozen back door layups. All of this added up to an eFG% of 70.7% for the game. But other than a few breakdowns, Michigan’s defense wasn’t obviously bad. NJIT was just better.

[…Nope. Re-reading that last sentence didn’t make any more sense than it did the first time…]

The first half was statistically bizarre. NJIT shot 75% eFG% from the field, but forced almost no turnovers, didn’t record a single offensive rebound, and didn’t shoot a single free throw. Michigan jumped out to an 8-0 lead with NJIT turning the ball over on its first four possessions, and it looked like the expected walk-over was underway. Michigan had a five-point lead at the break, but came out of the locker room stone cold. They were stuck on 44 points for nearly seven and a half minutes, during which time their six point lead became a seven point deficit.

All of this wasted a masterful second half performance by Caris LeVert. He finished with 32 points on 20 shot equivalents (including 6 of 8 from 3), 6 rebounds, and 3 steals. He and Lynn went back and forth trading daggers for much of the second half. Derrick Walton returned to the lineup with 16 points on 11 shot equivalents, though he turned the ball over four times. The problem was that LeVert and Walton didn’t get nearly enough help.

After a couple of solid outings, including a really good day against Syracuse, Kam Chatman came crashing back to earth with an 0-for-6 day. He repeatedly passed up open threes, instead dribbing into the lane (and into traffic). Those are shots Beilein’s offense needs the four-man to take and make at a reasonable clip, but Chatman doesn’t seem to have any confidence in it right now.  Zak Irvin also had a rough day, going 2-11 (1-8) from the field for five points.

Possibly the biggest surprise (other than the obvious) was that Michigan’s bigs did almost nothing. Despite facing a vastly undersized Highlanders team, neither Donnal nor Doyle scored in the last 26:32 of the game. Donnal hit twice from the field (including his first three-pointer). Doyle grabbed four rebounds, but couldn’t corral a crucial defensive board when he was absolutely mauled with no foul call with ten seconds left.

Michigan briefly busted out the 1-3-1 zone in the second half, resulting in one turnover and one wide open lay-up. We didn’t see enough of it to know how well the freshmen have grasped it, but at least we know it exists somewhere.

Going forward…

…uh…

…things.

Comments

The Man Down T…

December 6th, 2014 at 6:58 PM ^

Just a bump in the road.  We're young and will have those.  We're still going to be scaring the hell out of teams in March.  Take the early bad with the later good.  This is the same team that played Nova tough and beat Syracuse and will take Arizona to the wire and maybe beat them.  You're going to have letdowns.  They happen.  Burn the film and move on.

UMgradMSUdad

December 6th, 2014 at 7:07 PM ^

Growing pains.  Freshmen bigs, unless they're of the Chris Webber, 1st round NBA pick types, do not generally look very good in any consistent way this early in the season.  Even our veterans, with the possible exception of Levert, have not yet fully adjusted to their new roles on the team yet.

Kfojames

December 6th, 2014 at 7:21 PM ^

Really young still in key spots. You can't expect to just keep plowing teams over after your entire frontline was decimated. Were a perimeter oriented team and when we play an above average pressure, on the ball defenses who can still recover on back door cuts we will have issues because of the general make up of our offense.
We really don't run anything through our post players nor would we anyhow because we neither have the back to the basket dominate post player(yet) nor is it really what JB prefers. I would also say that the freshman outside of Doyle will need to grow in the area of toughness and strength which is obvious. Donnal, chatman, and Wilson albeit wilson will probably RS all look pretty weak still. But that'll come with experience. Have to commit to D!

Kfojames

December 6th, 2014 at 7:34 PM ^

I would also say that even given the obvious fact that you want to win a game like this and not lose it I would've liked to possibly see ARR, and Dawkins in the game maybe in the first half a little bit. When shots don't fall your constant has to be a commitment to D and they could've been a spark on D and might've kept everyone a little fresher not to mention just getting them some in game experience that could prove to be important as the season wears on. But who am I to judge the great JB lol

Former_DC_Buck

December 7th, 2014 at 11:16 AM ^

The trail of fire and smoke off the ball when they shot after that confirmed it. Seriously, sorry for the loss sometimes the other team just can't seem to miss. Yes some of it was taking advantage of speed in the paint, but they also hit more than their fair share of outside shots. We were on the opposite end of that, we couldn't buy a bucket in the first half at Louisville. It is basketball, it is one loss. It is a long season and you have a very good coach.

Low Key Recidivist

December 7th, 2014 at 10:21 AM ^

1) Irvin has an off night

2) Chatman didn't get off the team bus

3) Albrech Struggled

4) Defense was extended too far and rotations were a mess

5) NJIT made some ridiculous shots in the second half

If any one of those five had been different, UM wins.  Oh well...$h!t happens.  

I will say that from what I saw, NJIT is a pretty darn good defensive squad.

 

allintime23

December 8th, 2014 at 8:01 AM ^

There's no excuse to lose this game and this program is above having bad days when the loss in to New Jersey Tech. This is on the coaching staff as much as the players. There was really bad time management and no sense of urgency even in the final two minutes. The play that was drawn up to inbound the ball down three with four seconds left was laughable.

Nothsa

December 7th, 2014 at 11:40 AM ^

I appreciate Michigan's efforts to make me feel better about the Hoosier's loss to Eastern Washington last week. It worked. Now if Eastern Kentucky can just knock off Calipari's Wildcats, my hoops weekend will be complete.