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Michigan Hockey Game #4: Michigan 2, Wisconsin 1 (OT) Comment Count

David November 20th, 2020 at 10:50 PM

OFFENSE

  Corsi House Possession %
First Period      
Second Period      
Third Period      
Overtime      
TOTAL 61   63%
  • Analysis: Michigan’s attack jumped to start, pressuring the Badgers through the beginning of the game. Like Michigan yesterday, Wisconsin rebounded and stymied the Wolverines, off-and-on throughout the game. Michigan did control the puck at even strength, for the most part, but Wisconsin did a pretty good job of protecting the House and high danger areas through the first 30-40 minutes. Michigan could get into the slot, but rarely got a great look or had too many open shooters. Robbie Beydoun also proved himself tonight, getting in front of most everything the Wolverines did manage to get through to him. Somewhat against the feel of play in the second period, the (heart eyes) duo of Beniers and Johnson created a great look and Garbage Goal Grano was sitting at the crease for an easy tying goal. Beydoun also came up large late when Lambert and Brisson were both close to winners near the end of the third. It took some sweet magic from the silky hands of Thomas Bordeleau to cap the Wolverines night in OT. You should probably go watch it again.

 

[AFTER THE JUMP: Nervy Defense and Strauss Heroics]

 

Nervy defense at times but got the job done [James Coller]

DEFENSE

  Corsi House Possession %
First Period      
Second Period      
Third Period      
Overtime      
TOTAL 36   37%
  • Analysis: So, Michigan didn’t give up a whole lot of even strength shot attempts. They also had the puck a lot. The defense still…wasn’t great? I mean, in a way it was, but there were enough dangerous chances (hard to show without shot charts) that made us go “ahhhhhh!” too many times. Michigan also struggled with some Badger pressure, getting turned over in their own end and just flat out missing some breakout passes. York and Blankenburg didn’t have their best games. Wisconsin decided their best chance was to pressure the Wolverines on the back-end, hoping to lead to some Grade A chances, even if it might expose their own backline. It worked to a large extent. They definitely had enough good chances to score, but they also missed the net and/or a Wolverine would recover enough to harass the shooter. This will be one of the better attacks Michigan will face, so only giving up three goals on the weekend is pretty good…even if it was choppy at times. 

SPECIAL TEAMS

  PP For PP Against PP Corsi For PP Corsi Against PP Shots/Min For PP Shots/Min Against
First Period n/a 0/1     n/a 1.5 (3/2)
Second Period 0/1 1/2     .5 (1/2) .66 (2/3)
Third Period 0/1 0/2     1.5 (3/2) .75 (3/4)
Overtime n/a n/a     n/a n/a
TOTAL 0/2 1/5     1 (4/4) .89 (8/9)
  • Analysis: Michigan had two power play chances tonight. Both were…eh, dodgy? They created a very nice look for Brisson at the end of the first chance. The puck movement was still very good. They held the zone, but on a night that the offense lost a bit of crispness, the power play was just not quite as dynamic. They also only had two opportunities, when they could have…you know what? It’s not worth talking about.

The Wolverines took five penalties, which is too many against this potent of an attacking club. There were a couple that were…debatable, though. Okay, now I’m talking about that. Moving on! In the end, the Kill was pretty solid, only surrendering one goal. That’s acceptable in this case. Wisconsin did hold the zone for the majority of their advantages. Summers had a rough shift leading to the goal. He cleared the puck into the ref on an otherwise easy out. Then he lost his man backside and missed the breakup of the diagonal pass that led to the tap-in goal. It took all of that for the Badgers to score tonight.

 

He was listed as the starter…but wasn’t. [James Coller]
GOALTENDING

  Shots Faced Shots from House Faced
First Period 8  
Second Period 7  
Third Period 7  
Overtime 1  
TOTAL 23  
  • Analysis: The much anticipated debut of Erik Portillo is upon us! Just kidding. It’s still Strauss. And it was a good thing. Not to take anything away from the Swede, but Mann was called upon a number of times, and he showed why its never a bad idea for him to be in net. He bailed the Wolverines out a number of times, especially in the latter half of the game… and in the penalty-laden last six minutes of the third period. His puck-tracking and positioning are just so good. The last time he gave up more than two goals was…nine games ago…which is coincidentally, the last time this hockey team has lost.

 

ODD MAN RUSHES

Defense Rushes Advs Escape% Offense Rushes Advs Scoring%
1st Period n/a n/a n/a   n/a n/a n/a
2nd Period 1 3v2 100%   n/a n/a n/a
3rd Period 1 2v1 100%   n/a n/a n/a
OT n/a n/a n/a   n/a n/a n/a
Total 2 2v1, 3v2 100%   n/a n/a n/a
  • Analysis: Michigan did not create an OMR tonight. They had a couple of close calls, but I try to be specific in the sense that there is a distinct advantage. On the flip side, they did give up two. The early 3v2 surrendered a shot wide of Mann. The 2v1 was a bit more dicey, as Blankenburg had a bad pinch and was caught up ice. Mann was able to corral that shot attempt though.

 

FINAL CORSI NUMBERS

www.collegehockeynews.com had: Michigan 61, Wisconsin 36

Comments

gbdub

November 20th, 2020 at 11:01 PM ^

Really looked liked Michigan was the better team, if not exactly dominant, but had some bad bounces. Wisconsin blocked a ton of shots. Their goalie came up big.

And the whistles seemed slanted - even the Wiscy home announcer kept saying the Badgers were getting away with stuff. Really felt like Michigan was set to own the second half of the third period but got derailed by a pair of iffy penalties. 

AlbanyBlue

November 20th, 2020 at 11:24 PM ^

Wisconsin is solid, but Michigan was better both nights, and thankfully they were rewarded for it. It looked like they might not get that reward tonight. Bad bounces, solid defense and goalie for Wisconsin, and ref home cookin' in the third period almost cost them the win tonight.

That said, it was pretty obvious, even to a reasonably casual observer (me) that they were the better team both nights.

Packer487

November 21st, 2020 at 1:04 AM ^

The best part about this season so far (even considering the absurd talent up front) is one even strength goal allowed in 4 games (and that one was a harmless shot that deflected off Brisson when he tried to block it). Didn't see the ASU goal bc BTN+ is trash, but Mann had no chance on the other three he's allowed overall. He's virtually been perfect. 

Wisconsin did a great job of pressuring the D and making it hard on them breaking out this weekend. There were a couple of bad turnovers tonight, so it's nice to have quite possibly the best goalie in the country on your side. 

Bordeleau is gross. 

Hard to believe this is only game 4 for a lot of these guys. And they're only going to get better as the season moves on.

The one complaint is too many penalties, deserved or not. 18 through 4 games is way too many for as much possession as they've had. 

tlfletch33

November 21st, 2020 at 9:35 AM ^

Little puck luck, poor officiating and on the road... pretty good weekend for a young team to come away with 5 of 6 possible points.  Officiating seemed quite slanted - that never-seen-before penalty on the face off late in the 3rd topped it off; he fell on to the puck because he was TRIPPED

 

rob f

November 21st, 2020 at 2:12 PM ^

I really enjoy your post-game analysis, Alex.  But more and more, I'm realizing the need to get tutored more in the modern stat language of corsi, the house, etc, as has been discussed in the board "META" thread this week. 

Sambojangles

November 22nd, 2020 at 4:53 PM ^

Hi rob f. The best article I've read on Corsi is here. It goes into a lot more detail than is necessary for Alex's analysis but I think it's very helpful. 

I couldn't find a good link to explain the house, so I'll try here: The House is the pentagon-shaped area bounded by the goal, faceoff dots, and then up to the top of the faceoff circles or blue line, depending on the definition. The idea is that shots from the house are more dangerous than others - they're close to the net and directly in front. They refine Corsi by acknowledging that not all shot attempts are equal, the ones inside the house are more likely to lead to goals. Just okay teams can have great Corsi numbers by taking a bunch of low percentage shots from the corners of the offensive zone, but it doesn't translate into goals and wins. Counting house Corsi is theoretically aimed at measuring how well teams can get high percentage shots. 

That paragraph was offense focused, but the same is true for defense - a good team will keep their opponent's Corsi numbers low, and house numbers lower.