Nails when he needed to be (Bill Rapai)

Michigan Hockey Game #36: Michigan 4, Notre Dame 3 Comment Count

David March 9th, 2024 at 10:37 PM

CLICK HERE for Game Recap from Kristy McNeil and other pertinent information and HERE for current Pairwise Rankings.

What just happened (TL;DR): Similar to Friday night, Michigan lead after the first period 2-1. Notre Dame won the second period, 2-1. Gavin Brindley finished a well-worked goal to give Michigan a 4-3 lead early in the third. Down the stretch though, Jake Barczewski made two amazing pad saves, and the defense limited the Irish shots and chances. Sounds like a game-closing #NarrativeChange to me. TJ Hughes tallied two goals. Rutger McGroarty dishes three assists. Gavin Brindley chipped in a goal and an assist.

FINAL CORSI NUMBERS (www.collegehockeynews.com)

 

Total Attempts

Even Strength

Power Play

Close (within 1)

Even Strength %

Notre Dame

49

40

9

30

43%

Michigan

73

53

20

38

57%

Forward Notes.

-At even strength, the game was relatively, well, even. Michigan had slight edges in shots and chances, but the difference ended up coming in the quality department. The Wolverines were able to dissect the Irish defensive zone and get looks and shots from the House with relative ease. Notre Dame, on the other hand, didn’t create a ton of chances, but finished the chances they got.

-Once again, it was Michigan’s Names that did the damage. TJ Hughes finished a very nice play between Gavin Brindley and Rutger McGroarty in the dying seconds of the opening period. Rutger’s Grade A look was denied, but Hughes crashed the net and poked the puck in to give Michigan a lead going to intermission. He also tallied on a power play tip.

-Dylan Duke tied the game in the mid second period on a very Dylan Duke goal. After his wraparound was denied, Josh Eernisse’s chance deflected back to Dylan, and he was able to slam the puck in with his second chance at the edge of the crease. Duke lead the team with even strength shots on net and chances attempted. He’s up to 21 goals, now, to pair with his 21 assists…in 36 games.

-After scoring twice on Friday, Rutger McGroarty did his work passing the puck on Saturday night. His most impressive play was skating down a loose puck in the offensive end, and flipped it back to Tyler Duke. Tyler got to the net, and slid it across to a waiting Gavin Brindley for the go-ahead, game-winning goal. Rutger leads the team with 34 assists. Gavin leads the team with 23 goals. Both guys will be counted on to continue to push Michigan through this tournament and into the next.

Defense Notes.

-Once again, Michigan’s defense all around was pretty good. They did a solid job of keeping Notre Dame to the edges and not asking Jake Barczewski to bail them out with tons of Hero saves. This is the third game in a row where it is tough to blame many goals on the in-zone defense. As a unit, their puck management has also started to improve, not giving away as many DZTOs as in previous months.

-Seamus Casey and Tyler Duke each had an assist. Casey came on a shot that was deflected on a power play. Tyler’s was on a nice skating and passing play that got the puck across to an open Gavin Brindley for the final goal of the game. While the rest of the backend crew has continued to solidify, these two have been the most proficient in the offensive end, as well.

 

DSC_1248

TJ Hughes found the net, once on the power play (Bill Rapai)

 

SPECIAL TEAMS CHART

 

PP Opportunities

PP Corsi For

PP Shots/Minute

Notre Dame

1/3

9

.9 (5/4.5)

Michigan

1/5

20

1 (11/11)

Power Play. Michigan got over seven minutes of power play time in the first period, getting 3+ advantages in the opening frame. While they did score on a double-deflected shot from Seamus Casey (TJ Hughes got the tip goal), the power play needed to cash a chance on their five minute major. Not doing so, seemed to change the game during the second period, and gave Notre Dame some momentum. It was slightly unfortunate to get all of their chances early on, but power plays come when they come, I suppose. They numbers were fine, but they could have used one tally with all of that power play time early in the game.

Penalty Kill. Once again, Michigan’s penalty kills overall were pretty solid. They killed two with relative ease. On the second kill, though, Tyler Duke was just outmuscled by a bigger, stronger Landon Slaggert who won the position and found a way to even the game at two, scoring yet another goal against Michigan. That’s just a very good play by an awesome player.

 

DSC_1483

Bird? Plane? No, it’s Brennan Ali! (Bill Rapai)

GOALTENDING CHART

 

Michigan Shots Faced (House)

Notre Dame Shots Faced (House)

First Period

7 (3)

18 (10)

Second Period

11 (6)

12 (7)

Third Period

10 (2)

6 (5)

Overtime

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

28 (11)

36 (22)

Notes. Jake Barczewski started in net, again, on Saturday night. He had a very interesting night. At one point, he’d allowed 3 goals on 13 shots. Not great…BUT, looking at each goal, it would be very hard to pin any of them on him. He was screened on the first shot from straightaway. His backside defenseman was beaten on the power play goal at the back post. He also had to react to a blocked shot on the OMR goal (that should have been whistled for a tripping call at the other end). Still, that’s three goals against a team that continues to struggle to put the puck in the net. HOWEVER, in the closing minutes after not having the busiest of evenings, he made two absolutely phenomenal pad saves, down on the ice, on Grade A chances to close the game and preserve the win.

ODD MAN RUSH CHART

Defense

Rushes

Advs

Escape%

Offense

Rushes

Advs

Scoring%

1st Period

1

1v0

100%

 

1

3v2

0%

2nd Period

1

2v1

0%

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

3rd Period

n/a

n/a

n/a

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

OT

n/a

n/a

n/a

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

Total

2

1v0, 2v1

50%

 

1

3v2

0%

Notes. Notre Dame had two really good chances in transition on Saturday night. On a Michigan power play, Cole Knuble was able to break free and skate in alone on Barczewski. Cole’s shot whistled wide of the net, though. Later, on a 2v1 for the Irish, Patrick Moynihan collects the blocked shot (as the third guy into the zone), and beats Jake Barczewski from the slot to give Notre Dame a 3-2 lead. The issue with that goal was the Seamus Casey was clearly tripped getting into the slot…which directly lead to the OMR…and then the goal. Michigan already had four power plays at that point, so my initial thought was that whistle was kept in the pocket to keep the advantages even. Turns out…it lead to a goal!

Michigan have one 3v2 in the first period, but the shot was blocked. After that, the Irish defense was extremely stout in transition, keeping the speedy Wolverines in check.

FINAL THOUGHTS

Michigan extends it’s home winning streak (and it’s home winning streak over ND) to four. This is their second Irish sweep in three weeks…after going almost 20 years. The Wolverines were a bit up and down, but are trying to shed their narrative of not being able to close games. While the Irish are not going to the NCAAs this season –and do struggle to score goals- ending their season is always a tough task. Michigan flipped the third period narrative on it’s head on Saturday night, and clinched their birth in the Big Ten Semifinals…in either Minneapolis or East Lasning, pending Sunday’s outcome between Wisconsin and Ohio State. This was most likely the final game at Yost in the 23-24 season. It does, however, seem like Michigan will make the NCAAs for the 4th straight season. They are still sitting at 10th in PWR at the time of posting, but it seems unlikely that they will drop enough places, even with a loss next weekend. The semifinals will be Saturday with a current opponent/time/location as TBD.

Comments

mgolytely

March 9th, 2024 at 11:38 PM ^

ND challenged two calls in the first period and video review upheld both, so they got slapped with a bench minor for delay of game. Never seen that before.

I Bleed Maize N Blue

March 10th, 2024 at 6:13 AM ^

Coach Brandon Naurato after Michigan sweeps Notre Dame to advance to the B1G semifinals#GoBlue〽️ pic.twitter.com/CGaWMIotYa

— Michigan Hockey (@umichhockey) March 10, 2024

TJ Hughes after tonight's "team win"#GoBlue〽️ pic.twitter.com/sKa8QtdPKV

— Michigan Hockey (@umichhockey) March 10, 2024

Jake Barczewski on the series against Notre Dame#GoBlue〽️ pic.twitter.com/LETwoIYA8q

— Michigan Hockey (@umichhockey) March 10, 2024

TESOE

March 10th, 2024 at 9:49 AM ^

Hello Tourney! Watch out for Michigan you sleepy bastards.. I like the chances here as much as I hate the one and done format. These guys could be on a heater. Let's go!

Thanks Dave! for all your work telling this story. Love the odd man rush summary. Love this team!

SF Wolverine

March 10th, 2024 at 10:43 AM ^

Defense better, PK now better-than-average, still a very strong offensive team, but they are only going to go as far as Barzo can carry them.  Nice to see him finish with a couple of great saves to close the door on the Domers.  Hope that provides some go-forward confidence.

aMAIZEinBLUEinTX

March 10th, 2024 at 11:58 AM ^

With the caveat of understanding that the PW rankings could and probably will change a bit, how would the current standings work for pairings in the Dance?

Is Michigan an automatic 3 as #10, and the other 3 B1G qualifiers all 2-seeds at #5-7? Would Michigan be thus automatically paired against #8 Maine, or is there flexibility in moving teams up or down a seed-line/ what would be the most likely matchup scenario if PW rankings were to hold steady?

Team 101

March 10th, 2024 at 1:05 PM ^

It isn't automatic but the committee is to avoid intra-conference matchups in the first round so if nothing changed we would in all likelihood see Maine in the first round and the number one overall seed in the second round.  There are other factors and the PWR will inevitably change before the bracket is formed.  I think at #10 it is unlikely for us to fall off the bubble.  A loss on the road to FYS or the Gophers shouldn't move us down much if at all.  I think there is a lot a separation between us and the #9 so a win may not be enough to move us up.

lhglrkwg

March 10th, 2024 at 3:34 PM ^

Because the regional format is horrendous for attendance, the committee routinely manipulates matchups for attendance purposes plus the aforementioned intra-conference matchups they avoid. Usually they follow chalk as a starting point and will make a few fairly predictable tweaks after that. Too early to even guess where we might end up

three_honks

March 10th, 2024 at 2:00 PM ^

The six teams immediately behind Michigan presently all play another of the six in their first games of their tournaments, so I think that means Michigan can fall no further than 13th should it lose next weekend. (I don't know the details of the pairwise methodology.)

  • #11 Colorado College plays #11 Omaha (NCHC)
  • #13 Western Michigan plays #15 St Cloud (NCHC) 
  • #14 Providence plays #15 Massachusetts (Hockey East)


https://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwise-rankings/d-i-men/

https://nchchockey.com/documents/2024/3/10/2024_NCHC_Tournament_Bracket_QFs.pdf?path=mhockey

https://hockeyeastonline.com/men/hockey-east-tournament/index.php

 

BlueDad2022

March 10th, 2024 at 3:22 PM ^

So either at EL or Minnesota.  EL probably the better option?  Gophers seem to be improving plus eliminates most of the travel.  Plus easier to pull for Wisconsin tonight.

BlueDad2022

March 10th, 2024 at 5:33 PM ^

Is the game tonight only on BTN+?   Looks like it’s not on on BTN normal.   I subscribed to BTN+ but only paid for the Michigan option.   Was going to tune in tonight but certainly not interested enough to pay more.

Richard75

March 10th, 2024 at 6:35 PM ^

U-M has won 31 straight postseason games at Yost. Last loss was in 2004 to Nebraska-Omaha.

2024: W (ND), W (ND)
2023: W (Wis), W (Wis), W (OSU)
2022: W (MSU), W (MSU), W (ND)
2021: —
2020: W (MSU), W (MSU)
2019: —
2018: W (Wis), W (Wis)
2014-17: —
2013: W (NMU), W (NMU)
2012: W (ND), W (ND)
2011: W (BG), W (BG)
2010: W (LSSU), W (LSSU)
2009: W (WMU), W (WMU)
2008: W (UNO), W (UNO)
2007: W (NMU), W (NMU)
2006: W (FS), W (FS)
2005: W (ND), W (ND)
2004: W (UNO G3)