A Crazy Night of Football "Day After" Snowflakes Thread

Submitted by Mr. Yost on November 8th, 2015 at 10:05 AM

One more thread to consolidate the thoughts on everything that happened yesterday/last night. Before the sports media world completely switches to the NFL.

Thoughts now that you've had a chance to process?

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Mr. Yost

November 8th, 2015 at 10:48 AM ^

We ALL want BAYLOR to win out.

They'll knock Oklahoma and probably Oklahoma St. below us...and they'll knock TCU below us. We may need Oklahoma to beat Okie St., but we need Baylor to beat all 3.

GO BEARS!

If Baylor wins out we would jump the entire Big 12 except, of course, Baylor.

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UMForLife

November 8th, 2015 at 10:53 AM ^

Don't we want them to beat each other up so the top 4 teams have at least 1 loss?

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Mr. Yost

November 8th, 2015 at 10:59 AM ^

Because we have two losses and it wouldn't guarantee we'd jump them.

If you're Oklahoma St. and your 1 loss is to Baylor or you're Baylor and your one loss is to Oklahoma or TCU...you're going to be ranked pretty high.

Remember last year, Baylor and TCU each had one loss and they were #5 and #6.

You want Baylor to give them 2 losses and concede a spot in the playoff to undefeated Baylor.

The easiest route, IMO, is Clemson/Bama/Baylor/Michigan...but like Alum pointed out, if if we lucked into that 1% chance, we're probably not at that level. A Rose Bowl vs. Stanford would be awesome for THIS team.

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michiganman001

November 8th, 2015 at 11:07 AM ^

we also have to worry about Stanford and ND. If Stanford loses to Oregon or Cal, beats ND and then beats Utah in the PAC 12 championship game, it would be between 11-2 UM, 11-2 Stanford, and 10-2 ND for the last spot. ND would probably be relegated to the 6th seed and it would come down to resume's for that 4th spot.

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Wolvie3758

November 8th, 2015 at 11:23 AM ^

we Destroyed the team that gave Stanford a loss...NW

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Mr. Yost

November 8th, 2015 at 11:24 AM ^

And beat ND.

ND doesn't play anyone until they get to Stanford...

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I tried to put it together last night because I was bored.

Run the table the rest of the way and beat an undefeated OSU and an undefeated Iowa.

That dropped punt will haunt us. Still a NY6, but we'd need serious help to get into the playoff.

LSU would have to lose again
Notre Dame would have to lose again
Baylor would need to beat TCU
Bama over Florida in the SEC Championship (or FSU over Florida)
Oklahoma would need to lose again
Oklahoma St. would need to lose...maybe twice
Utah would need to lose again
Stanford would need to lose again

If all this happens...

Clemson, Bama, Baylor, Michigan

Much more likely is win out and you're in the NY6 Bowl, which in Harbaugh's first year...awesome. Just sucks that the punt would keep us out of being a 1 loss team in the Playoff.

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Possible losses for the teams we need to lose.

LSU: @ Ole Miss, vs. TAMU

Notre Dame: @ Stanford

Baylor over TCU

UF: FSU and (likely) Bama

Okla: vs. Baylor, vs. TCU, vs. Okie St.

Okie St.: vs. Baylor, Okla

Utah: @Arizona, vs. UCLA, Pac-12 Championship

Stanford: vs. Cal, vs. Oregon, (BEAT ND), Pac-12 Championship

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michiganman001

November 8th, 2015 at 12:00 PM ^

I don't think LSU would have to lose again, it would help, but i think the committee takes a conference champion over a 10-1 LSU team.

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Mr. Yost

November 8th, 2015 at 7:33 PM ^

That's what the committee will tell you. They don't factor conference affiliation into the mix.

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UMForLife

November 8th, 2015 at 11:16 AM ^

Good point about last year 1 loss team. It will be cool if TCU somehow beats Baylor, after Baylor beats Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. If that happens, I see them not getting the nod even with 1 loss. There is a chance...

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Eye of the Tiger

November 8th, 2015 at 11:05 AM ^

It's hard for me to see how a 2-loss team gets into the CFP. But the path to the Rose Bowl just got a little clearer. OSU beats MSU, we beat OSU and we're in the Big 10 Championship. Beat Iowa and BOOM.

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wayneandgarth

November 8th, 2015 at 11:24 AM ^

Exactly the right focus. Everyone shouldn't spend a lick of time worrying about any CFP scenarios. Michigan controls it destiny to the Grand Daddy of them all.

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carolina blue

November 8th, 2015 at 11:27 AM ^

No, we don't. That needs to be pointed out. Everyone is assuming that Sparty will lose to OSU. I agree that it's more likely than not (~85%) but still...
The statement that Michigan controls its own destiny is not correct. Both MSU and OSU control theirs. Michigan does not.

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Eye of the Tiger

November 8th, 2015 at 11:39 AM ^

I noted that in my post. What MSU's loss does, however, is clarify who gets through *IF* OSU beats MSU and we beat OSU.

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carolina blue

November 8th, 2015 at 11:43 AM ^

and you are correct. My reply was to wayneandgarth who said we control our destiny.

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Eye of the Tiger

November 8th, 2015 at 11:40 AM ^

(And, of course, if we beat Indiana and PSU. Nebraska's win shows we probably shouldn't take the road game especially for granted.)

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Rabbit21

November 8th, 2015 at 12:42 PM ^

PSU game scares the hell out of me, not gonna lie. Starting to think Indiana has a Nebraska game in them as well where they can at least get a signature win at home to make a disappointing year go over a bit better.

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Sideline

November 8th, 2015 at 11:56 AM ^

Ohio State is the one who controls it's destiny... No loss in conference... We're tied with MSU right now... They hold the tie breaker...

Scenario 1: MSU beats Ohio State(then MSU controls its' destiny), we beat Ohio State... And it's MSU to the CCG, we're 10-2 and waiting.

Scenario 2: OSU beats MSU, UM beats Ohio State... Then UM and OSU are tied, with UM holding the tie-breaker!

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carolina blue

November 8th, 2015 at 12:41 PM ^

Michigan state controls its own destiny. If they win out they go to the ccg. They would own the tiebreaker over both us and OSU.

OSU also controls its destiny...obviously.

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wayneandgarth

November 8th, 2015 at 1:16 PM ^

Technically yes; but when pigs fly ..

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MGoUberBlue

November 8th, 2015 at 11:54 AM ^

I'm in Heaven.......

Keep looking forward......beat OSU.

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ford_428cj

November 8th, 2015 at 12:06 PM ^

Have to say - the moment JH had with Peppers on the sideline, after Peppers bad ass 18 yard TD run ... was too cool! I rewound & watched that 3 times I think.

On a side note - thats what we should have been doing with Denard - instead of leaving him on the sideline in the 2nd half of that OSU game in Columbus... we could have & should have won. That still infuriates me - ugh.

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