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12/06/2018 - 3:53pm If your motivating life…

If your motivating life goals are to get ripped and get rich, maybe find some podcasts to broaden those motivations out a bit?

One nice thing about broadening influences is that the options are...broad. But I can't recommend Dave And Jeb Aren't Mean highly enough -- a critical deep-dive of the Hallmark movie oeuvre. Disclaimer: I'm a beta cuck.

12/06/2018 - 2:23pm I don't trust the consensus…
  1. I don't trust the consensus view of scientists on climate change.
  2. I trust climate-adjacent scientists to satisfactorially solve this problem, the magnitude and time frames of which I'm not concerned with.

This is...not a compelling set of positions.

12/03/2018 - 2:17pm It's a nice feeling to be in…

It's a nice feeling to be in early December worrying about top-tier seeding, rather than worrying about whether we've collected enough resume chips to get on the right side of the bubble. Knocking on every piece of wood around me, but this has been a fun season, and fun in a way that feels extremely repeatable.

11/29/2018 - 2:27pm For sure -- he does a lot of…

For sure -- he does a lot of things well already, a lot of things not great yet. But the label of 'project' is a matter of degree. Point is that having a year of development and biological age behind you has a marginal, non-zero effect on evaluations.

11/29/2018 - 12:38pm Not sure that that's true…

Not sure that that's true. The difference between a 20yo project and a 19yo project is marginal, but it's def not zero. All else equal, the younger guy has a (marginally) higher expected peak, and he'll give you (marginally) more expected production over the course of a career.

11/29/2018 - 12:09pm He's not *that* short/slow -…

He's not *that* short/slow -- he's got enough size and athleticism to carve out a role as an NBA wing, provided he brings enough else to the table. And things like 'not super tall' aren't reasons to return -- he's not gonna get any taller by sticking around for another two years.

The thing that might keep him here is his ability to create off the dribble. He's a strong and creative scorer, but to stick in the league, he's going to have to be able to do more off the bounce, and I could see him staying at Michigan to develop that.

11/27/2018 - 12:54pm I think the analogy to Corso…

I think the analogy to Corso is good, but Corso's in a much more appropriate role. We can sit back and chuckle at Corso because he's not grabbing at our attention with vaguely senescent antics throughout the game itself. If Dickie V were hamming it up in a pregame/halftime show, I wouldn't mind him.

11/27/2018 - 12:46pm I get this argument, and it…

I get this argument, and it's why I love the Bill Rafterys and Gus Johnsons of the world. But -- and maybe I'm being too cynical here -- it just seems like an (increasingly threadbare) act from Vitale. I've caught a couple of his broadcasts this year, and it really just seemed like he was turning up the Dickie V Enthusiasm Dial, with no actual emotional energy behind it. For me, he doesn't add anything to the actual excitement of the game, he doesn't add anything from a commentary perspective, and he's really just there to be recognized as Dickie V.

11/20/2018 - 3:13pm I hate how the timing here…

I hate how the timing here lets everyone know that I spent 7+ minutes coming up with a stupid joke.

11/20/2018 - 3:10pm There's really not much to…

There's really not much to go on one way or the other here, with respect to who'd be more fun to party with. Will either of you lie on my behalf and tell the hosts that I'm there with you and not just trying to steal Fireball?

11/19/2018 - 2:09pm Having watched Michigan try…

Having watched Michigan try to limit Patterson's carries the last two weeks, and being the kind of person who obsessively tracks pitch counts in the second inning, I was happy to see Dobbins get ~40 carries on Saturday. I don't imagine it's going to have that much impact on one game's performance (as opposed to long term wear and tear), but at the very least I bet he's feeling them this week in practice.

11/19/2018 - 2:02pm Question that needs…

Question that needs answering before conference season: What's the basketball equivalent of a football Rutger? Maybe more points than 2*(opponent true shot attempts)? That strikes me as closest parallel, but seems a bit convoluted...

11/16/2018 - 3:05pm The committee is…

The committee is unreasonably high on the SEC, but I don't see any evidence that they have a thing for ND or OU this year. If ND loses, we likely leap over them, and we're still comfortably ahead of a one-loss OU or a two-loss Georgia. And if Georgia beats Bama, a Notre Dame loss opens up a 4th spot after those two and Clemson.

11/16/2018 - 2:04pm The thing with Green's film…

The thing with Green's film though was that he actually got really pedestrian YAC for a kid of his size and strength. He'd absolutely obliterate kids who tried taking him head on, and he'd push piles back, but he went down really easy on contact in HS, too -- he seemed to just not have a lot of natural balance.

11/15/2018 - 10:16pm I see your point here, and I…

I see your point here, and I also really like Gray's film, but I'd still rather make room for various all-world linemen via the departure of a kid who just prefers to be elsewhere, rather than elbowing out some kid who at best feels a little disappointed/betrayed and at worst has a tough time finding a good fit for his back-up landing spot.

That said, I have no idea what the scholarship situation actually is, so I'm mostly just bummed that it looks like we'll probably miss out on a fun all-purpose back.

11/14/2018 - 1:58pm Spelling 'Erick' with both a…

Spelling 'Erick' with both a 'c' and a 'k' portends well for his duel role as blocker and pass-catcher.

11/11/2018 - 7:26pm I think the only way we have…

I think the only way we have to sweat a bid is if Notre Dame and Georgia both win out. Going on the odds you posted, and assuming that those outcomes are independent, there's a 15% chance of that happening. Assuming that Clemson also wins out, that we'd be a coin flip with a one-loss Bama to grab the 4th seed, and that Oklahoma's resume and complete one-dimensionality put them squarely behind us, that gives us a 90+% chance of making the playoffs if we win out. I'll take it.

11/09/2018 - 5:28pm In probably misplaced…

In probably misplaced earnestness: Bolshevism didn't sound that good in theory, even to a lot of Marx-influenced contemporaries. China Mieville's October is a really fascinating look at the power struggles leading up to and immediately following the Czar's overthrow in St Petersburg, if you're interested in this sort of thing.

11/09/2018 - 2:04pm I missed Jeter when watching…

I missed Jeter when watching game live -- nice to see him getting in and looking legit.

(also, it looks like the video after "And here's Donovan Jeter making a nice play by himself:" got crossed up -- you have a nice Dwumfour play here, when I think you meant to have that late Jeter play where he fought of the guard for a solo tackle for 4-yd gain.)

11/08/2018 - 5:30pm I'm excited about this class…

I'm excited about this class as well, but what's so crazy about 2016 isn't the amount of potential impact that came in, but the extent to which that potential turned into actual impact. 2012 wasn't so far removed from 2016 in terms of incoming defensive talent, but it was a more typical year in that a lot of guys kind of washed out for one reason or another. The rate of hits to misses in 2016 was insane.

11/08/2018 - 2:29pm I agree with your last…

I agree with your last paragraph, which is part of why I disagree with the first. In the event that Georgia beats Bama (meaning both are likely in) and ND loses a game, having a marquee win could mean the difference between us or ND in the 4th slot. Beating a one-loss OSU team fits the bill; having a win over a good-not-great MSU team doesn't.

11/08/2018 - 1:35pm In an act of emotional…

In an act of emotional hubris, I'm going to be rooting for OSU this weekend. I can't really express my confidence in that game without invoking some really bad juju, but I'll just say that I want to maximize the playoff/celebratory stakes.

11/07/2018 - 9:05pm One problem is that it would…

One problem is that it would tend to devalue non-conference games, as these would have little bearing on a team's title chances. I could see this working in different directions with respect to scheduling -- teams might schedule more cupcakes as glorified scrimmages to tune up before conference play, or they might schedule more power teams since the downside risk doesn't matter. But either way, the intensity of non-conference games would probably take a hit.

11/07/2018 - 5:04pm Jed York's face when…

Jed York's face when Harbaugh takes the field.

11/07/2018 - 2:29pm Yeah, that's fair. My…

Yeah, that's fair. My counter is that I think we've legitimately been playing much better football than OSU, I expect a win in Columbus, and so I think an OSU win against MSU improves our overall season expectations.

11/07/2018 - 11:49am Eh. Setting aside everything…

Eh. Setting aside everything else, we definitely want OSU to win if the goal is maximizing our playoff odds. There's a real chance that Michigan gets left out in favor of one-loss Bama, Georgia, or ND teams. Beating an OSU team that's looked at as top 10 reduces those chances.

EDIT: Or in other words, what everyone else says.

11/05/2018 - 8:29pm I'm from the UP, and I don't…

I'm from the UP, and I don't think I told anyone who to vote for.

11/05/2018 - 6:19pm Not to rehash an earlier…

Not to rehash an earlier thread, but everyone reading this who lives in Michigan should research the MSU regent candidates and vote. That's a big part of how meaningful house-cleaning happens.

11/05/2018 - 12:05pm It still reads as non…

It still reads as non sequitur. The only point that was getting expressed is that people should vote for MSU regents who will actually work to right the institutional ship. Whatever you think about Bando's background affiliations, ballot mechanics aren't germane to his point.

11/01/2018 - 4:25pm Glad to hear that MBB looks…

Glad to hear that MBB looks good early, and that Brooks is developing, but I'm not sure how the "Michigan went 8 deep" and "DeJulius hit some big shots" reports are compatible. Maybe he just showed really well in late minutes?

10/26/2018 - 3:31pm Yeah, this sounds right. To…

Yeah, this sounds right. To go a little deeper: I don't think he's a bright enough guy to come up with genuinely interesting, reasonable-ish takes along pre-set pro-Michigan/anti-Michigan lines, so he ends up having to play this sort of character. 

10/22/2018 - 12:20pm I felt terrible for him. Not…

I felt terrible for him. Not sure what the state of practice is for Achilles rehabs, but I hope he gets his speed back and gets back on an NFL track.

10/20/2018 - 8:25pm I like the perspective, but…

I like the perspective, but it seems like it shouldn't be *that* hard to boost the resolution and stabilize the picture. Hopefully this is some sort of prototype and they actually invest in better camera tech at some point.

10/19/2018 - 1:17pm No offense, my man, but the…

No offense, my man, but the game you played was the way it was because you were playing it. The level of play in the NBA is astronomically higher than the NCAA or any other league that's ever existed, and the NBA game looks the way it does because of, not in spite of, that fact. Harden gets isos because he's the most skilled scorer on the planet and it's an efficient play for him. Teams spread the court and generate 3pt looks and rim runs because that's the best way to score more points than your opponent. The quality of play in the league right now -- the pure ability of teams to play basketball -- is better than it's ever been, and no other leagues are close.

10/19/2018 - 12:19pm Sorry, yeah, didn't mean to…

Sorry, yeah, didn't mean to imply that his injury listing is just a form of roster management. Was trying to say that whenever he gets healthy, I'd be surprised if he was fully ready to play against NBA bigs, but that there's good chance he'll log minutes anyway given how he fits with the Lakers' two glaring needs

10/19/2018 - 2:06am Listed as a bruised knee. I…

Listed as a bruised knee. I don't imagine he's quite ready for NBA play just yet, but Mo could still help Lakers fill two huge needs: 3pt shooting and a true big off the bench. He could definitely see rotation minutes at some point this year.

10/18/2018 - 1:27pm Doesn't have the same…

Doesn't have the same cultural barriers as playing overseas, and also doesn't have the same developmental pitfalls. Guys who go overseas get playing time to the extent that they're able to help a club of grown men win games against other grown men, and the result can be scant usage and stalled development. The NBA, on the other hand, would have a huge incentive to help develop prospects who go the G-League route, which is likely to translate to more generous minutes and more focused developmental coaching.

10/18/2018 - 1:22pm I think this is great. If it…

I think this is great. If it takes hold, it would allow elite players the ability to focus on their game and make money without the pretense of amateurism or scholarship (and I think we can all agree that both are a pretense for a large share of elite players). I'm less confident about what it would mean for bagmen, but my intuition is that it would take away a substantial portion of elite players who currently receive bagmen cash, drive up the price for the rest, and probably not have much direct effect on players the next level down. The end result, I think, would be a somewhat more balanced competitive landscape as far as pure talent goes.

10/14/2018 - 6:03pm If we do end up passing for …

If we do end up passing for ~124 yards, it's because either 1) MSU's pass defense shut us down, or 2) we ran at will during the second half of a blowout again. I don't think either scenario is at all likely, but I'd put better odds on (2) than (1). In other words: an extremely quiet passing day isn't likely, but it's not necessarily the harbinger of a loss.

10/14/2018 - 1:19pm Hear football, drink…

Hear football, drink toughness: manball as peyote-infused visionquest

10/14/2018 - 1:07pm Exactly this. When you run…

Exactly this. When you run for 200+ yards in the second half of a pull-away blowout win, you can't be that upset that your quarterback was conservatively efficient and maybe missed some big-play opportunities.

10/14/2018 - 12:56pm A Cheeseman direct snap to…

A Cheeseman direct snap to Wildgoose is the Platonic ideal of trick plays.

10/14/2018 - 12:53pm I get that it feels bad, and…

I get that it feels bad, and that there's no sense of just deserts for the benefiting team, but that's how penalties work: by penalizing. If you don't want to extend a drive, don't rough the snapper, don't jump offsides on 4th and 4, don't hold a tight end away from the play, etc. Boneheaded penalties are frustrating, but that's not an argument for giving them all mulligans.

10/12/2018 - 1:53pm This is the bright side of…

This is the bright side of geographic self-selection. Scott Paterno can enjoy himself at East Lansing Rick's or wherever, we can enjoy not bumping into Scott Paterno, and everyone sort of wins. The shit talking is maybe a little annoying, but I'd be surprised if Paterno isn't deeply aware of how fragile his house's glass is.

10/11/2018 - 1:35pm Interesting point about the…

Interesting point about the absence of MAC-type schools. It really is just all DII-DIII schools in Wisconsin and the UP and Minnesota, and I think you're right about that having a real impact on walk-on/greyshirt recruiting.

A slight note of correction, though: the Watts are from Waukesha, which is in the south (western suburb of Milwaukee). There is a northern Wisconsin football culture, though. Part of it might be tied to Polish population, as you say, but I think there's also some vestigial non-lumbersexual lumberjack culture stuff going on -- northern Wisconsin/UP was the country's/world's leading lumber producer at the end of the 19th century, there's been little population flux since,  and there's a certain residual gruffness that leads young men toward, for instance, concussive sports.

10/11/2018 - 1:15pm Looking ahead to the tail…

Looking ahead to the tail end of the season, though, I'd be more worried about injuries and depth at offensive tackle than defensive tackle. Assuming that Kemp, Dwumfour, and Solomon are all on the road to recovery, our d-tackle depth should be at its nadir right now, and we should be fine going forward. But if JBB were to get hurt, and we were to shift Hudson back to defense, right tackle depth would be pretty scary. 

10/08/2018 - 3:48pm Yeah, I'd go along with a…

Yeah, I'd go along with a complete removal of limits. Among other things, it'd be good for player welfare, as teams would have way less incentive to medical guys or otherwise railroad them off teams.

That said, if one is wedded to the idea of a scholarship cap (as I imagine a bunch of administration types are), it seems pretty clear to me that a higher cap with 3-/4-year commitments is better than a lower cap with 1-year commitments.

10/08/2018 - 3:27pm Maybe if you implement it…

Maybe if you implement it via something I've seen endorsed by Brian et al. here, with maybe a 100 scholarship limit, but each scholarship slot locked in for 4 years at signing. Give teams a bit more capacity to deal with injuries, but only if they're otherwise good at player retainment.

10/06/2018 - 4:57pm I saw Jeter out there today,…

I saw Jeter out there today, and I imagine he'll continue to get some snaps.

10/02/2018 - 12:56pm Possibly an unpopular…

Possibly an unpopular opinion, but I kinda like the grayscale field with colored endzone. I feel like it adds an element of schadenfreude if you can shut out a team and make them feel like they played the entire game in the retrograde '50s portion of a movie about suburban awakening