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Date Title Body
12/09/2018 - 11:52pm Maybe not elite, but very…

Maybe not elite, but very good. Gentry was an excellent option all year and played the worst game of his season against OSU. The passing offense was underwhelming throughout the rest of the season as well. 

12/09/2018 - 11:51pm Harbaugh dictates the…

Harbaugh dictates the general scheme but doesn't design the passing plays. This year we had Shea Patterson throwing to a group of elite receivers and the passing offense was very underwhelming. The passing game looks significantly worse than it did in the first two years of the program when we didn't have Pep. I'm not one of those people who is delusional about Jed being amazing, but the passing offense was better then without a functional running attack to set it up. 

12/09/2018 - 11:21pm What an odd comment…

What an odd comment. Criticisms of Pep are legitimate. It doesn't mean everything that happens to the team is Pep's fault and it doesn't mean he's an abomination. He's just kind of okay and nothing more than that. Our run/pass breakdown is similar to that of Oklahoma's and we have an elite QB throwing to three elite wide receivers and elite tight ends. It's really not crazy to think that maybe, just maybe, we should be throwing for more than 212 ypg. 

 

 

12/06/2018 - 2:54pm The guy is second to last in…

The guy is second to last in the B1G as a recruiter this year. That's a big part of the job of a position coach. 

12/05/2018 - 12:59am It should also be noted that…

It should also be noted that the passing game looked very different with Rudock than it did with Shea.

12/04/2018 - 9:40pm I was about to post about…

I was about to post about Dabo. He is the definition of a CEO coach and he basically had three phases in his coaching depending on who he had as coordinators: 

  • In the first three years, they were trash and they went 4-3, 9-5, and 6-7.
  • 2011-2014 he had Harbaugh-type success, getting 10-11 wins and never getting the big one. This lines up with when he hired Brent Venables, who is one of the best DCs out there.
  • In 2015 he hired his current OC (Jeff Scott) who was a WR coach in 2014. With Scott, they've gone 14-1, 14-1, 12-2, and 13-0.
12/02/2018 - 1:56pm Jesus, the guy has one…

Jesus, the guy has one really bad game and half of the board thinks he doesn't understand a zone defense and will never change. We can ignore the fact that he coached the #1 defense in America with pathetic talent at BC while running a lot of zone. We can also ignore the fact that he has pretty sinificantly adjusted his scheme in the short time he's been here (3-3-5 stack anyone?). Chill out folks. The world didn't end. Brown has an entire career of excellence that suggest that this was an aberration.

12/02/2018 - 1:49pm Hyperbole much? Brown ran a…

Hyperbole much? Brown ran a lot of zone at Boston College, which is weird for a guy who doesn't know what a zone is.

12/02/2018 - 12:53pm I think most college…

I think most college football coaches are caveman idiots and his weird political statements don't do that much to influence his play calls. Doesn't Harbaugh call football the last bastion of toughness or something weird like that? Players getting in trouble is a head coach culture thing and he wouldn't be dictating that anymore.

12/02/2018 - 12:40pm MgoBlog loves that clip of…

MgoBlog loves that clip of Harbaugh saying, "Good shit Jed" on a 2pt conversion. What was he congratulating Fisch about if Harbaugh designed that play? Harbaugh dictates the base scheme, but doesn't design the specific plays. 

12/02/2018 - 12:32pm I'm not that big on Tee…

I'm not that big on Tee Martin, but Fedora collapsed as a head coach, not as an OC.

12/02/2018 - 12:26pm I've been wondering why I…

I've been wondering why I don't see Larry Fedora's name come up more often. He failed as a head coach, but it seems like he knows how to run a potent offense. Pep has oscillated between pretty good and bad for his entire career. 

12/02/2018 - 12:23pm Harbaugh is the main guy…

Harbaugh is the main guy behind the offense, but the play calls on passing plays looked very different in the Rudock/Chesson/Darboh offense than they did this year. Harbaugh is in charge and dictates the overall scheme for the most part, but he doesn't design all of the plays. IMO our overall scheme is fine. We run a shotgun power running scheme, which is fine. Oklahoma, Notre Dame, and Alabama have no problem running more than 50% of the time and using tight ends in their modern offenses. We need better passing plays, a shift closer to 50/50 in our run/pass distribution, and a faster tempo.

The better passing plays part will come with different people calling the passing plays. A combination of that and literally everyone who throws passes, catches passes, and blocks for the passing game (other than JBB) getting an extra year of experience could make us pretty damn good next year. 

12/01/2018 - 10:14pm I'd really like to see a UFR…

I'd really like to see a UFR-style breakdown of these teams. Oklahoma seemed to use their tight ends and they ran more than they passed today. They have a tight end with 22 receptions this year. Notre Dame does a lot of power running out of the shotgun as well and has a tight end with 34 catches, much like Michigan. 

What I'd really like to see from Michigan is a better offense. We already run most of our offense out of the shotgun and pistol and use the option game to keep opponents honest. Perhaps it's more the fact that Pep Hamilton has been mediocre to okay at coordinating offenses his entire career and we need someone better to call passes and influence Harbaugh in his run/pass balance. Next year we should improve by default, with the offense losing only Higdon and JBB, but gaining Charbonnet and the redshirted freshman linemen as competition. Still, we should hope for more passing to our elite athletes, but not necessarily a complete redesign of the offense. That's just not necessary.  

12/01/2018 - 10:07pm I'd really like to see a UFR…

Edit: Wrong thread

12/01/2018 - 4:14pm Somewhat true, but the…

Somewhat true, but the passing game was much more interesting at the end of 2015 with Rudock than it has been with Pep. 

12/01/2018 - 2:25pm Also worth noting that…

Also worth noting that Oklahoma uses tight ends and still runs the ball about 50% of the time. It would not require a personnel shift. 

12/01/2018 - 2:24pm It wouldn't be totally…

It wouldn't be totally surprising to see McElwain become OC and Roundtree become the WR coach. Not as much of a splash as many would want, but I can see it happening. With that said, McElwain needs to start recruiting worth a damn if he wants to stay. 

12/01/2018 - 2:19pm Pep did a decent job a…

Pep did a decent job a couple years ago, but he hasn't done much lately with recruiting. He secured Cade McNamara's commitment in March, but otherwise hasn't landed anyone since 2017. 

12/01/2018 - 2:13pm They can both go and I don't…

They can both go and I don't think it would be a huge loss. I also don't think they're both terrible. Much of Pep's career consisted of him following around Andrew Luck and oscillating between okay offenses and bad offenses. McElwain's is a tougher shell to crack. He was a very good coordinator at Bama before they had the huge talent advantage and his CSU team had a very good offense with a huge talent advantage. Then he walked into a failing culture revolving door situation at Florida and was terrible. 

In terms of recruiting, neither of them gives us much of anything at the moment. For the current recruiting class, here's what it looks like according to 247:

Pep: #88 recruiter in the B1G with one recruit 

McElwain: #109 recruiter (second-to-last) in the B1G with one recruit 

11/30/2018 - 12:31am Our wide receivers improved…

Our wide receivers improved a lot this year, but that could also just be a function of being a year older. It would be nice to have an assistant who actually recruits in his spot. 

11/29/2018 - 12:23pm Gerg was an abomination as a…

Gerg was an abomination as a head coach at Syracuse

Gerg was an abomination as DC at Michigan

Otherwise, Gerg's career is an interesting one. I'm not sure how much we can penalize his DC chops from his time as a head coach at Syracuse since plenty of great DCs fail as head coaches. For the rest of his career, he seems like maybe an average coordinator. His defense was fine in the NFL, he immediately fixed the defense at Texas when he took over Manny Diaz's mess a few years ago, and he had a defense ranked in the 40s and 50s at San Jose State. It's entirely possible that at this stage in RichRod's career, it's nearly impossible to be his DC. Shafer became terrible in his one year as RichRod's DC, then Casteel failed pretty miserably with him at Arizona as well, despite a career of solid performance.

11/25/2018 - 8:44pm Get rid of the huddle

50/50…

Get rid of the huddle

50/50 split between running and passing

More sets with one tight end than with two

Recruit more elite pass rushers

Immediately develop our elite incoming class of defenders so we have more speed

11/21/2018 - 10:57am And that's somewhat propped…

And that's somewhat propped up by earlier performances that occurred before they had some major injuries. Lewerke is a pretty decent quarterback when he's healthy but he's been lame for a while. LJ Scott is a pretty decent back but he's out for the season. When they were scoring touchdowns (something they haven't done in three weeks) they had Lewerke chucking it up to Felton Davis, who is also out for the season.

They had a bad offense before they had key injuries. With those injuries, they're probably worse than S&P suggests.  

11/16/2018 - 12:29pm The thing about our last…

The thing about our last couple of five-star backs is that their ratings fell over time. Charbonnet's stock seems to be rising. 

11/11/2018 - 2:25pm What happened to Petrino? I…

What happened to Petrino? I know he's a garbage human being, but he's always been a good coach. Why is Louisville so bad? 

11/06/2018 - 10:41am I think Shea is outstanding…

I think Shea is outstanding and has the tools to be a Heisman finalist, but the way we utilize him right now doesn't seem conducive to even being considered as a Heisman candidate. We run on like 70% of our plays or something like that, with him accounting for a small fraction of those. Again, he is outstanding and excels almost every time we use him, but we don't use him that much and Heisman finalists have gaudy stats.  

11/01/2018 - 1:25pm I'd take Hoke as DL coach in…

I'd take Hoke as DL coach in a heartbeat, but I don't think it would ever happen. I could be wrong. 

11/01/2018 - 1:07pm First, let me preface this…

First, let me preface this by saying that I agree with you and I hope he retires at Michigan. With that said, he was actually pretty damn good as a head coach. From Wikipedia:

In 2004, Brown returned to UMass to take over as its head coach. During his tenure as head coach from 2004 to 2008, UMass posted the best five-year record in school history, 43–19.[2] In his first year, he led the Minutemen to a 6–5 record, including victories over fourth-ranked Colgate, seventh-ranked New Hampshire, and ninth-ranked Maine. During 2005, Brown led UMass to a 7–2 start and a final ranking of #19. That year, the Minutemen defeated fourth-ranked James Madison and handed Delaware their worst home loss in two decades, 35–7.[1]

In 2006, Brown led Massachusetts to the Atlantic 10 conference championship and a finish as runners-up to the national championship. They ended the season ranked No. 2 with a 13–2 record. At home, he set a school record with a perfect 8–0 record in McGuirk Stadium. That season, Brown was named the AFCA Region I Coach of the Year, Atlantic 10 Coach of the Year, and New England Football Coach of the Year.[1]

In 2007, UMass again won its conference as a member of the Colonial Athletic Association. The team advanced to the semifinals and finished the season with a No. 6 final ranking.

10/28/2018 - 1:29am If you're big on Ghost Wars…

If you're big on Ghost Wars and Directorate S, you should check out Legacy of Ashes by Tim Weiner. 

10/28/2018 - 1:26am I endorse this comment. Your…

I endorse this comment. Your local library has a ton of audiobooks that you can rent for free with your smartphone. 

10/24/2018 - 12:20am I think what we're going to…

I think what we're going to do to Rutger will be obscene and not suitable for young children.

10/21/2018 - 7:44pm I saw him in the game for a…

I saw him in the game for a play. Not sure if he played more than that, but we didn't target him. 

10/21/2018 - 1:09pm Their big, impressive win…

Their big, impressive win against TCU is turning out to not be impressive at all. TCU kind of stinks this year. 

10/21/2018 - 12:24pm Nope, no adjustments for…

Nope, no adjustments for these stats. Just the raw numbers. 

10/21/2018 - 12:15pm It was easy to miss, but…

It was easy to miss, but Tarik played a down yesterday. 

10/21/2018 - 12:14pm #1 is Temple, so definitely…

#1 is Temple, so definitely a different caliber of opponent.

10/21/2018 - 12:05pm With Wisconsin, it's…

With Wisconsin, it's important to remember that they play at a slow pace. Because of this, traditional stats that don't adjust for the number of plays underrate their offense and overrate their defense. 

10/21/2018 - 12:02pm Some more stats:

Defense:

Some more stats:

Defense:

 
Opponent rushing ypc: 
2. MSU 
7. Michigan 
22. Notre Dame 
52. Penn State 
70. Indiana 
76. Ohio State 
108. Wisconsin 
118. Rutgers 

Opponent average team passer rating: 
2. Michigan 
8. Notre Dame 
21. Penn State 
39. Wisconsin 
53. Ohio State 
57. Michigan State 
62. Rutgers 
77. Indiana 

Opponent yards per play: 
1. Michigan 
11. Notre Dame 
22. Penn State 
32. Michigan State 
69. Indiana 
79. Ohio State 
91. Rutgers 
92. Wisconsin 

Opponent points per play: 
6. Michigan 
11. Notre Dame 
17. Penn State 
34. Michigan State 
39. Wisconsin 
41. Ohio State 
78. Indiana 
106. Rutgers 
--------------------------------- 
Offense: 


Average team passer rating 
5. Ohio State 
17. Michigan 
33. Notre Dame 
40. Wisconsin 
46. Penn State 
68. Indiana 
130. Rutgers 
97. Michigan State 

Rushing yards per attempt: 
4. Wisconsin 
8. Penn State 
29. Michigan 
53. Ohio State 
61. Indiana 
66. Notre Dame 
89. Rutgers 
120. Michigan State 

Yards per play: 
12. Ohio State 
13. Wisconsin 
15. Penn State 
24. Michigan 
46. Notre Dame 
83. Indiana 
110. Michigan State 
127. Rutgers 

Points per play: 
7. Penn State 
13. Michigan 
14. Ohio State 
23. Wisconsin 
41. Notre Dame 
89. Indiana 
98. Michigan State 
129. Rutgers 

 

10/20/2018 - 6:17pm I'm beginning to see a…

I'm beginning to see a method to the madness wrt the running game. Over the last couple weeks, we've had little success early, but have worn down our opponents over time and run effectively at the end. 

10/19/2018 - 1:54pm WhErE cAn I wAtCh A gAmE oN…

WhErE cAn I wAtCh A gAmE oN tHe MoOn?

10/18/2018 - 2:07pm Their OL was ass last year…

Their OL was ass last year as well, and was not the foundation that built their extremely unlikely 10-win season. I think Lewerke is a solid QB who is throwing to the walking wounded behind an awful OL. 

10/18/2018 - 12:15pm This is true, but Wisconsin…

This is true, but Wisconsin's rush defense hasn't exactly been great this year either. They surrendered over 6 ypc against BYU, so we likely figured we could run on them. 

10/18/2018 - 11:43am If this was anyone other…

If this was anyone other than MSU I would feel very confident about a win. Heavy rain will likely negate their glaring weakness, but will also harm the only way they're able to move the ball. We may be in for a sludge fart.  

 

Advantages for UM:

Abysmal MSU running offense v elite rushing defense

Average MSU passing offense v #1 passing defense

Extremely efficient UM QB v abysmal passing defense

 

Advantages for MSU:

#1 MSU rushing defense v above average rushing offense

Dantonio's black magic against Michigan

 

10/17/2018 - 1:04pm Yup, this. He was an elite…

Yup, this. He was an elite OL coach at OSU but not that great as an OC. 

10/12/2018 - 5:01pm Wisconsin's run defense has…

Wisconsin's run defense has not been that great at all. In their last three games they've given up the following:

Nebraska: 4.6 ypc

Iowa: 4.8 ypc

BYU: 6.8 ypc

Nothing to write home about in general, and just straight up awful against BYU. They padded their stats at the start of the season against two awful non-con opponents and suffered a bunch of injuries. 

10/12/2018 - 12:07pm Hey guys, check out this…

Hey guys, check out this Michigan buttplug that plays the victors when you fart. I bought 30 of them because I love the team so much. 

10/10/2018 - 3:45pm I think against MSU we'll…

I think against MSU we'll have to go straight up air raid, as their rushing defense is impregnable and their secondary is Charmin soft. Wisconsin's defense doesn't appear to be all that great at anything this year other than benefitting from a slow paced offense that prevents high scoring games. I imagine we'll see a balanced attack on Saturday. 

10/10/2018 - 3:37pm In their last few games…

In their last few games their opponents have been able to run the ball. If we ignore the games against tomato cans and just look at when they've played real teams, here's what we have:

  • BYU: 6.8 ypc with their top two runners over 9 ypc
  • Iowa: 4.8 ypc with their two main backs over 5 ypc
  • Nebraska: 4.6 ypc with their main two backs over 5 ypc

This defense doesn't look anything like what they put on the field last year.  

10/10/2018 - 11:59am (No subject)

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