Mich favored by 13.5 over IU in Bloomington
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/line-moveme…
I think we win, but that seems REALLY high considering IU's offensive power.
Let's hope the money is right.
September 27th, 2010 at 12:21 AM ^
I misinterpreted the box score. Originally I was citing (3) to take issue with the idea that (1) was the dominant reason it was close.
Upon reading the play by play, Moosman only launched two bad snaps on plays that went for losses (about 20 yards each). The fumble we lost actually wasn't on a bad snap, it was on a Denard run that went for positive yardage.
So in total the bad snaps cost us at least 40 yards of offense and effectively killed two drives (one in Indiana territory- although Zoltan managed to salvage our field position by pinning them on the 2). The bad snaps resulted in no turnovers.
September 26th, 2010 at 10:43 PM ^
I just want a Michigan victory! I don't care it's by 44 or by 1, I just want the 'W'. I really hope that our D does not give up any big plays to IU. We should not under estimate the Hoosiers. Nonetheless, I hope we win this shootout.
GO BLUE!!!
September 26th, 2010 at 10:51 PM ^
We should not take any team lightly this year PERIOD
September 26th, 2010 at 10:51 PM ^
It seems like Indiana has been significantly overrated on this board. They've beaten two truly horrendous teams (both much, much worse than BGSU according to Sagarin) by 15 and 17 points. Their vaunted offense put up 466 and 426 yards of offense in those games. Color me unimpressed.
September 26th, 2010 at 11:12 PM ^
Lets say Denard is still dinged and does not play. I like our chances of covering with either Tate or Devin!
September 26th, 2010 at 11:16 PM ^
Their opponents have averaged 5.2 yds/carry with a long run of 42 yards. They have also given up a 64 yard pass play. They have 4 sacks in three games and 16 TFL. Michigan shouldn't have any trouble running the ball and big plays should be available.
On the other side of the ball, nearly 75% of IU's yardage has come through the air. Either they can't run the ball or they just choose not to....they have only netted 340 yds on the ground with a 3.9 ypc average. If you take out their lone long run of 49 yds their rushing numbers are REALLY low considering the competition.
Based on the numbers above Michigan should be able to control the line of scrimage and have a significant advantage in time of possession.
September 27th, 2010 at 11:27 AM ^
I watched their game last wk and Akron should of beat them by 2 touchdowns if their recievers didn't drop every fuckin ball in the end zone.. They were pathetic. Akron's QB dropped it right in their hands several times to completely wide open guys and they just drop the ball..
Our recievers are gonna tear up the secondary and denard will have 200 yards rushing by the half.. easily
September 26th, 2010 at 11:16 PM ^
Jebus. A thread about IU and gambling. Jamiemac head asplode?
September 26th, 2010 at 11:42 PM ^
Should they be looked over? No, definitely not. And the way it sounds from the coaches and players they won't be. They're not a bad team for being IU. Should we be really worried? No, just very careful. We will do better than we did last year. We should win by around ten points. The defense will use the time to figure out what they're doing a little more and will use said knowledge to help against MSU the following week.
September 26th, 2010 at 11:47 PM ^
Seeing that 2/3 of RichRod's games have been over the pt total, you'd think Vegas would set the pt total at 90 or so. But nooooo, they'll probably set it at 62 -- but then again we're not complaining :-)
September 26th, 2010 at 11:51 PM ^
I think IU is gonna be somewhat vulnerable early in the game because the "quality" and "game speed" of their opponents so far is so awful. They haven't seen anything like Denard or Martin so far this year.
But maybe they will start to catch up later? hopefully we'll be ahead by enough that it's irrelevant.
September 27th, 2010 at 12:12 AM ^
But I think that Michigan has the edge offensively as they have played superior teams in their four wins.
Defensively - let's see how GERG and the boys can tackle and make adjustments.
September 27th, 2010 at 12:26 AM ^
Indiana has not played very well. After playing 3 awful opponents, they are averaging 113 yards per game on the ground and their opponents are averaging 177. They throw the ball well, but their OL has lost a lot from last year and we may be able to get to Chappell. Our offense will probably shred that sketchy run D. Best guess is that UM wins 49-24 or so. Of course, we could lose if we play like we did against Mass.
September 27th, 2010 at 1:19 AM ^
Their defense likely sucks. I can't see IU winning this one. But those receivers, coupled with an able qb, sure were a nightmare for us last year. IU's receivers are by far the fastest we'lve seen. And, btw, I can totally understand the gum-throwing incident: Warren's game-saving int was certainly a, um, generous call. Funny, all the threads re ref conspiracies fail to note plays like that one.
September 27th, 2010 at 2:48 AM ^
Their WRs are good, but they're not faster than Notre Dame's.
And no one is accusing the Big Ten officials of conspiring, just of incompetence.
September 27th, 2010 at 1:49 AM ^
Way too high. I bet itll be under 10 by Friday. People will be betting on this one in Indiana's favor.
September 27th, 2010 at 9:24 AM ^
Indiana's rushing defense is only slightly better than Bowling Green's. They are giving up 180 ypg and slightly over 5 ypc against terrible competition. They are averaging less than 4 ypc on offense. I like this as another team that we match up well against. They will probably rush for 100 on us and throw for another 300, but we are going to massacre them on the ground. I'm thinking 300+ yards on 35-40 carries.
September 27th, 2010 at 9:29 AM ^
We have the edge in this game just because they absolutely will not be able to stop our offense. However, based on last year, their offense won't be too shabby. That being said, I think that our defense is going to start making strides in the up coming games and we're going to really start surprising people. Michigan wins in Bloomington 42 - 14! Go BLUE!!
September 27th, 2010 at 10:59 AM ^
If I were a betting man (and I am not), I would take Michigan to cover in a second. IU will have no chance to stop our rushing attack, and just when they think they might have it figured out, we'll go over the top to a wide open WR.
Of course, IU will get their yards through the air, but I don't think it will be a repeat of last season where they got well over 400 yards (467 to be exact). We had that screen pass against BG dead-to-rights, but T-Gordon missed a sure tackle. We had BG's wildcat QB stopped on 4th down, but just...didn't...wrap...up. These are teachable mistakes and ones I think will start to happen less and less...beginning with IU this weekend.
IU might be able to slow our offense down a few times, but they will have no chance at stopping us wholesale. I also like that we've gone on the road already; last season our first road game was MSU (and their entire season) with a ridiculously young team, a banged-up QB, and without our best O-lineman. We already got that road shit taken care of with ND.
My thoughts: 45-21, Michigan wins
September 27th, 2010 at 11:23 AM ^
If we rate our defense as the same as last year and our offense as significantly improved, plus add in the fact that we're on the road...
13.5's a little high I think, but the oddsmakers have to set it to get SOME action on Indiana by bettors-Overall though, I'm happy that we played a game on Saturday that impressed Vegas, let's do that again on Saturday