Rawls if he can hang onto it, I'd guesss
KJ@theonlycolors
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Recent Comments
| Date | Title | Body |
|---|---|---|
| 18 weeks 2 hours ago | Novak |
I asked Mackinder on Twitter about that. Here's what he said: Michigan did switch on some screens. Can't remember exactly, but I think Novak was "on" Kearney & Thornton on some made 3s. Makes some sense as Thornton was at the 4 spot some late in the game. |
| 18 weeks 3 hours ago | On the experience issue |
Michigan's average is pulled down by sophomores. MSU's is pulled down by freshmen. So there is a difference there, given the jump in efficiency normally experienced between the first second years of a player's career. Also: Trey Burke does not count as a freshman. :) |
| 18 weeks 7 hours ago | KenPom |
FYI: A week ago, the stupendous Dan Hanner calculated you guys would have been #14 in the nation if you only counted games against top-100 teams. http://basketball.realgm.com/article/218239/At_Their_Best_Against_the_Best Also points out the problems with restricting the sample to just games vs. quality opposition. |
| 1 year 13 weeks ago | Thoughts |
Haven't had a chance to look at this in detail, but there actually is a stat called defensive rating. It looks at the available individual defensive statistics (defensive rebounding %, block%, steal%--the first probably being the most important) and then basically divvies up the rest of defensive team performance (the portion of field goal defense not captured in block%, in particular) into equal chunks based on minutes played (if I'm recalling things correctly). You'd have to read "Basketball on Paper" for all the details (review linked below). Unfortunately, I don't think anyone calculates and publishes individual defensive ratings at the college level. http://spartansweblog.com/2008/07/08/book-review-basketball-on-paper/ Short of having those ratings available--which would still be a much less reliable indicator than the offensive ratings in terms of pinpointing individual performance--i'd be very hesistant to try to create a comprehensive individual defensive metric. Finally, if you're trying to value a steal in terms of points prevented, I'd say the correct number is opponents' effective points per possession--i.e. points scored per possession on which the opponent doesn't turn the ball over. That's usually a number around 1.2-1.3. But to make the value comparable to a replacement-level player, you'd need a measure of how many steals a replacement-level player produces. It's quite a mess. The beauty of PORPAG is that it takes statistics other people have done the heavy lifting on and turns it into a single, more easily interpretable number. |
| 1 year 23 weeks ago | Anatomically correct mascot logos are HIII-LARIOUS |
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| 1 year 29 weeks ago | For Future Reference |
Inside the Hall is the biggest IU blog (basketball-only site). Looks like they'd be #4 on the list above (bumping my site down a notch). http://www.quantcast.com/insidethehall.com Also: Hard for me to believe 11W doesn't rank higher than that. They've gotta be ahead of TOC. Wonder if there isn't a technical issue with their numbers. |
| 1 year 38 weeks ago | Technical note |
The numbers in my scatterplot are full-season numbers (pulled from the FO Almanac; I don't think they publish conference-only numbers). Doubt it makes a lot of difference (would make the most difference for Michigan, given the 4-0 non-con record), but I am compelled by my data wonkishness to point it out. |
| 1 year 47 weeks ago | Grant Wahl picked those same 5 guys |
FWIW |
| 1 year 49 weeks ago | Two points |
1) Potential champion game match-ups are a key consideration, but so is overall competitive balance. As an MSU fan, I'm certainly OK with your divisions, since we'd only face 2 of the 6 historical upper-division foes on an annual basis, while, say, Minnesota would have to play 4 such teams every year. But I don't think that's the fairest approach for the league overall. 2) See the comment to my post (which your link actually goes to) on past attempts to manufacture top-notch conference championship game match-ups (Miami-FSU, anyone?) . While there's more stability in college football program performance than in other major U.S. sports, there's still quite a bit of fluctuation in where teams fall in the standings. You've seen that with every program in the league besides OSU just in the last decade. |
| 1 year 49 weeks ago | Ummmm |
Making a decision about a job offer that defies Delvon Roe's dad's gut-level prediction does not equal "doing a Billy Donovan-esque pullout." |
