Weekend Betting - Week 5

Submitted by BeatOSU52 on September 27th, 2019 at 7:40 PM

Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's slate of games.  I'll start:

 

(Last week record: 4-3-1  Overall season record: 16-12-1)

 

Friday game:

Penn St at Maryland, 8pm:  Maryland +7

 

Saturday games:

Iowa St at Baylor,   3:30pm:  Under 55

New Mexico at Liberty 6pm,:  Liberty -7

Louisiana Tech at Rice, 7pm : Rice +9

Ohio St at Nebraska, 7:30pm:  Nebraska +17.5

UNLV at Wyoming, 8pm:  UNLV +9

Hawaii at Nevada, 10:30pm: Nevada -2.5


 

Saturday morning EPL bonus play:

Crystal Palace vs Norwich City 10am:  Under 2.5 (+120)

 

 

Notable spreads of discussion:

Michigan currently sits as a 27.5 point favorite (has been 28 most of the week)  Over/Under:  49

Michigan St currently sits as a 14 point favorite over Indiana (at MSU)

Notre Dame currently sit as a 11 point favorite over Virginia (at ND)

 

Other lines:

https://www.vegas.com/gaming/sportsline/college-football/

 

What's yours?

RIP Hamilton's…

September 27th, 2019 at 7:45 PM ^

For some reason took Duke ML on a live bet for about even money.

Bought 0.5 point to get maryland +7

Two hearted being consumed

Mgoradio playing during the commercial breaks

Where is the drinking thread?

BeatOSU52

September 27th, 2019 at 8:04 PM ^

Interesting line movement on that,  Opened at 11 and then was sitting around -12.5 a good chunk of the week including this morning, and now back down to 11.   Didn't think it would go back down of all things.  I guess the 11-12.5 range is pretty much "dead numbers" though , especially in college football.

Red Sammy

September 27th, 2019 at 8:07 PM ^

Ohio State has a defense this year, they will cover the 17 against Nebraska EZ. . .

Mississippi will score just enough with the +38 to beat the spread vs Alabama. . .

NU +24.5 over Wisconsin. . .

Rutgers +27.5 over Michigan, just don't see this dysfunctional offense scoring enough, and the defense usually gives up one or two big plays to Rutgers, whether on a run or kick return.  And the game could be even tighter if Patterson hobbles off the field and Milton has to play significant minutes.

andrewgr

September 27th, 2019 at 8:32 PM ^

I don't like betting on teams that are favored by a lot, because you don't know when the coach is going to call of the dogs, who he wants to get reps for, etc.

That said, I think the talent differential between Ohio State and Nebraska is enormous.  I think the spread is artifically low because of Ohio State's losses in road night games to Purdue and Iowa, which I don't see being a problem Day's first time: I have to think they're hyper-aware and are going to pull out all the stops to make sure the game isn't close enough for the players to start doubting themselves late.  If this type of game is going to bite them, I think it's much more likely to be vs. Northwestern if they've continued laying waste to everyone in their path to that point.

So if I was forced to bet on a game this weekend, I'd take Ohio State to cover.  I wouldn't touch the Michigan game with a 10-foot pole-- too many variables, like how important Harbaugh thinks it is to send a message to the players, how much they want to rep basic plays instead of winning on clever schemes, etc.

Newton Gimmick

September 27th, 2019 at 10:17 PM ^

Only thing that has me hedging on Ohio State is that Nebraska has fumbled a ton this year -- even more than Michigan -- and they are due to clean it up, thus are probably a little better than they've shown.  They could score a bit, I'm sure Frost will have some scripted stuff to test the revamped OSU defense.  And there's a shot that if Day/Fields get into a battle in a hostile environment, there could be some deer-in-headlights moments.

 

UNCWolverine

September 27th, 2019 at 8:58 PM ^

Here are mine:

Dook

Cal ML tonight

Oklahoma 1st half

Washington

BC

Kentucky

Houston

Wazzou

Sunday do a two team 6.5 point teaser. Tease the Pats down to -.5 and the Seahawks with them.

 

FatGuyTouchdown

September 27th, 2019 at 10:17 PM ^

I have: 

Indiana

Alabama

Ohio State

Virginia

Clemson

Kansas

Buffalo

USC

Baylor

Washington State

 

1 unit a piece, I'm 22-14-1 so far on the season, and I feel good about how little thought I put into my picks this week.

Rico616

September 28th, 2019 at 3:25 AM ^

Got the backdoor cover of SJSU +19.5 + PSU -7

Also have ND -11 + OSU -17

UConn +44 + Hawaii +2.5

 

Pretty much only parlay college football for some reason.