Week 2 Gambling Thread
“The most improvement comes between weeks 1 and 2”
This cliche also applies to Vegas lines, although I feel like there is still some variance as they aren’t quite as dialed in to the 2019 teams as they will be by say week 4.
Here are my picks:
#23 Stanford +1 @ USC
#21 Syracuse +1.5 @ Maryland
W. Michigan @ #19 Michigan State, UNDER 46.5
Central Michigan +35 @ #17 Wisconsin
Buffalo +29.5 @ #15 Penn State
#6 LSU @ #9 Texas, UNDER 57.5
Army @ #7 Michigan -22
#12 Texas A&M @ #1 Clemson: UNDER 62.5
Let’s hear yours, and what you cashed last week. I went 4-3 thanks to Utah kneeling on it inside the 5...yikes.
I’ve got write-ups and leans on all FBS v FBS top 25 games if you’re interested here: https://cfbstatnation.com
Good luck this week!
September 6th, 2019 at 12:57 AM ^
I picked WVU (+6) and they covered. Won by 7. Yay me.
this week I’ll take Syracuse (-2) @ MD
September 6th, 2019 at 1:22 AM ^
I mis-typed my pick which is Maryland -1.5. I suspect you also meant Syracuse +2. What’s your read on that game?
September 6th, 2019 at 10:29 AM ^
yes syracuse +2
I think Syracuse wins by 4-ish points on the road.
September 6th, 2019 at 10:38 AM ^
I am thoroughly unimpressed by Syracuse, especially the offense. I wouldn't be shocked if they got boatraced tomorrow.
September 6th, 2019 at 1:10 AM ^
I'm taking Linfield College on the road over Rowan.......GO CATS
September 6th, 2019 at 1:29 AM ^
You've got balls taking Michigan -22. I have even bigger balls because I have Michigan -23 (shakes fist at taking the bet one day too early).
Nah, I think we'll cover -23 but it'll be late in the game whilst I sweat it out.
September 6th, 2019 at 2:25 AM ^
Win your Dream Beach House!
Take Ohio (vs Pitt) and the points.
You heard it here first.
September 6th, 2019 at 2:47 AM ^
Taking army +22.5 and lsu -6 this week.
Laid USF ml, Auburn ml, and Illinois ats last week
September 6th, 2019 at 3:43 AM ^
I love OSU -16. I expect a blowout. Cincy is not particularly good. Not sure how that is not 21.5.
September 6th, 2019 at 11:13 AM ^
I wasn’t blown away by Justin Fields throwing downfield once FAU started playing defense. I’d beware the backdoor cover depending on how long garbage time lasts.
September 6th, 2019 at 6:40 PM ^
Ohio state is going to lose
September 6th, 2019 at 4:19 AM ^
UCLA -7.5 is a fucking layup. Not because they’re good, but because SDSU is bloody diarrhea.
September 6th, 2019 at 7:00 AM ^
A couple weeks ago Ambry would have been offended by this comment.
September 6th, 2019 at 9:58 AM ^
Too soon. Even for this site.
September 6th, 2019 at 4:29 AM ^
I went 5-2 last week. Auburn ruined it for me. This week I have:
Wake Forest -17.5 v. Rice
Nebraska v Colorado +4
Wyoming -7 v Texas State
Arkansas State +2.5 v UNLV
Army +22.5 v Michigan
September 6th, 2019 at 6:01 AM ^
Wake Forest looks like a good pick. They put up a ton of offense on USU last week and Rice is most likely a good bit worse
September 6th, 2019 at 9:49 AM ^
I like Colorado there too. I got a +160 ML for them, so I just took that. Don't believe in Nebraska on the road at this point.
September 6th, 2019 at 6:05 AM ^
I like OSU to cover -16.5 vs. Cinci. Cincinnati didn't look great vs. an awful UCLA
Wisconsin's going to easily get -35 vs. CMU I think
I'll take Texas +6 too
September 6th, 2019 at 6:17 AM ^
Beavers over blue jays every day and every way.
September 6th, 2019 at 6:39 AM ^
I won on Boise and lost on Michigan last weekend. I really thought we would cover the 35 for the same reason I think we cover again this weekend: 2 quarterbacks competing should lead to an extended amount of 'serious' snaps in the game.
September 6th, 2019 at 8:43 AM ^
I went 5-1 last week:
Kentucky -12 vs Toledo
Cinci -2.5 vs UCLA
Georgia -21.5 vs Vandy
3 game teaser:
Syracuse -13, Bama -27.5, osu -21.5
2 game parlay:
ND vs Louisville - Under 54.5
ND -18 vs Louisville - PUSH
This week I have some high numbered teasers/parlays (9 game and a 6 game), but also have:
Army vs Michigan Under 47.5
Parlay: Washington -13.5 vs Cal; and the Over (44.5)
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 vs Jacksonville
3 game parlay: Browns -5.5, KC -3.5, Chargers -6.5
I am in a betting league, so these are all with credits. Good luck everyone!
September 6th, 2019 at 9:02 AM ^
- Illinois -21.5 over UConn. UConn is perhaps worse than Arkon (who's giving 9.5 to Alabama... Birmingham at home). Illini big.
- Rutger +20 over Iowa. The Rutger finally has an actual D-1 QB in Carter. He and Blackshear score just enough to cover this one. Iowa 38-21.
- SD State/ UCLA under 45. UCLA scored 14 vs Cinci, SD State scored 6, and won, vs Weber St. I'd be surprised if this game broke 30 at this rate.
- Stanford +3 at USC and under 44. Clay Helton is a terrible coach. Clay Helton with a true freshman QB... Yeesh. Urban will be soon hearing the siren's song girls.
September 6th, 2019 at 9:51 AM ^
I like Rutgers too. They seemed functional last week. Iowa tends to start seasons slow and are conservative by nature.
September 6th, 2019 at 9:10 AM ^
(Last week record: 3-4, Overall season record: 3-4) ...grrr Northwestern game
Bets:
Nebraska at Colorado, 3:30pm: Nebraska -3.5*
Nebraska at Colorado, 3:30pm: Over 64.5
Wyoming at Texas St, 7pm : Texas St +7
Edit one one more saturday morning: Wyoming at Texas St, Over 47
Tulane at Auburn, 7:30pm: Tulane +17.5
Coastal Carolina at Kansas, 7pm: Coastal Carolina +7.5
LSU at Texas, 7:30pm: Over 55.5**
*Line is at Nebraska -4.5 now
**Over/Under is at 57 now
September 6th, 2019 at 9:41 AM ^
Syracuse is Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the week.
September 6th, 2019 at 10:23 AM ^
Parlayed Tulsa and Cincy and won a whopping 40 dollars last week.
September 6th, 2019 at 10:30 AM ^
Anybody play with parlays? Maybe they're a sucker bet but I have fun with them. A few guys and I throw in each week, we went 7/8 last week but missed on the Northwestern/Stanford game because of the fumble recovery for a TD. Would have paid out +$1800 per person
Mine this week:
Wake Forest ML @ Rice
Boise State ML vs Marshall
Maryland -1.5 vs Syracuse
Clemson ML vs Tx A&M
Colorado ML vs Nebraska
Kentucky ML vs EMU
Ohio State -17 vs Cincinnatti
$15 to win $222.33
UCF -10.5 @ FAU
Stanford +2.5 @ USC
Ohio State -17 vs Cincinnatti
Nebraska/Colorado OVER 64 (hate this pick)
Texas A&M @ Clemson OVER 64.5
$15 to win $374.60
September 6th, 2019 at 2:16 PM ^
Used to, but got sick of losing by a leg. Never considered stringing together a bunch of moneyline bets though. Gotta think that pretty much any CFB line over 15-20 is pretty safe... I like your first parlay.
September 6th, 2019 at 5:42 PM ^
When’s the last time Michigan won ATS?
September 6th, 2019 at 8:41 PM ^
Call me biased, (EMU Alum) but I think we cover vs Kentucky -15
September 7th, 2019 at 8:15 AM ^
Sorry, I am lazy, but I will just use yours for fun and see how it shakes out.
23 Stanford +1 @ USC Agree
#21 Syracuse +1.5 @ Maryland Take Maryland
W. Michigan @ #19 Michigan State, UNDER 46.5 Agree
Central Michigan +35 @ #17 Wisconsin Take Wisconsin
Buffalo +29.5 @ #15 Penn State Take Penn State
#6 LSU @ #9 Texas, UNDER 57.5 Agree
Army @ #7 Michigan -22 Take Michigan
#12 Texas A&M @ #1 Clemson: UNDER 62.5 Over
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