Time of possession and the D

Submitted by Go Blue in IA on
Looking at the review and watching the EMU game as well as the Colts v. Dolphins the other night is it possible that the reason our D looked gashed at times was because they were on the field a long time? Now granted if they would have been able to make a couple of stops we would have simply scored more, but running a play every 20 seconds or so leads to some issues on the D side.

Fresh Meat

September 24th, 2009 at 8:50 AM ^

This is something I have always wondered about. It seems like teams that put up a ton of points never have a great D, sometimes a good one but never a great one, and I wondered if this because the defense was tired. It makes sense. If you have a fast paced offense that scores quickly and the other team dominates TOP, being tired has to factor in on the D.

Enjoy Life

September 24th, 2009 at 10:54 AM ^

The two games sited are anomalies. Last year TOP was 28 min for M and 32 for the opposition for the year. Not a big discrepancy. In 2007 it was 30 min for M and 30 for the opposition. 2008 PSU: First half TOP M=17 PSU=13, Score was 17-14 M, the D got killed in the 2nd half. It wasn't from TOP. End of game TOP was 30 M, 30 PSU 2008 osu: First half TOP M=14, osu=16, Score was 14-7 osu, the D got killed in the 2nd half. It wasn't from TOP. End of game TOP was 29 M, 31 osu.

Engin77

September 24th, 2009 at 11:47 AM ^

Looking at the first 6 mins 18 secs of the game on play-by-play Indy TD: 80 yds on 1 play TOP: 12 secs Miami TD: 75 yds 10 plays (no incompletions, 1 penalty) TOP: 6 min 6 secs Score is tied, but Miami enjoys a 96%-4% TOP advantage.
Points are the most important factor, obviously. Turnovers, which can dramatically affect pts/possesion, are very important; a turnover deep in your own territory lowers your pts/possesion and gives the opponent an excellent opportunity to raise his pts/possesion. If pts/possesion are fairly even, then TOP may indicate the winner, or not, if one teams is running and staying in-bounds and the other is thowing the ball over 10 yds with a >50% completion rate.
TOP is usually not very meaningful in games with big plays, such as EMU at M last Saturday.