Recruiting Classes Reranked (spoiler Michigan has Talent!)

Submitted by RealElonMusk on October 19th, 2022 at 1:22 PM

Rerankings of top 10 reranked classes each year are listed-

Key Items:

  1. 2018 rerankings are from Athlon, 2019 & 2020 from ESPN
  2. Only listed teams when reranked in top 10
  3. U of M had one of the larger improvements in class when reranked
  4. By reranking Michigan has more talent than OSU!  U of M 4.7 3 yr avg. vs  5.3 for OSU

oriental andrew

October 19th, 2022 at 1:27 PM ^

To be fair, the OP is showing a table of multiple years of reranks from multiple sources, including the ESPN one that was just posted. 

That said, OP also did a poor job of titling the post, explaining what this is, and to linking to the sources. 

Also, OP messed up the formula in the "average class reranked" column (hint - he's dividing everything by 3 which counts blanks as zeros, lowering the averages for those which don't have rank/rerank every year; should've just used the =average() function)

Gameboy

October 19th, 2022 at 1:34 PM ^

This is pretty good, but would be better if we were to compare Original Average Class Ranking to Reranked Average Class Ranking.

My guess that if that was available, Michigan would show to biggest improvement out of all of these teams (at least in top 10). It definitely shows that the ability for this coaching staff to identify and develop talent is no fluke.

SMart WolveFan

October 19th, 2022 at 6:58 PM ^

My problem is that I believe, while the "analysts" could possibly make a judgement on whether a 16 or 17 year old has the athletic ability to play college football and even single out the elite among them; I find it hard to believe the concept they are informed enough to "rank" those players from 1-2000. IMO, there are just too many variables even focusing only on the athletic attributes and that's before you take in to account "fit" and maturity.

Considering it is one of the things that pre-season rankings are based on, added to the fact that pre-season rankings (aka SEC bias #1) lingers the whole season because of it (Bama in the 2021 CFP/Tennesse's current ranking), I think UofM fans should always try show it's over emphasized.

Plus they always release theses re-rankings to show how much they actually suck at it.

ShadowStorm33

October 19th, 2022 at 7:23 PM ^

I get it, and college football is littered with guys that recruiting rankings whiffed on (some minor-ish, like 4* Hutchinson turning into the #2 pick in the draft, some drastic, the 2* and 3* guys that blow up). And there are also examples of the analysts just getting it wrong on things like athleticism, like DJ Turner putting up a 4.28 (when he had a 4.62 listed in HS), or JJ, not considered to be particularly mobile as a recruit, being a downright excellent runner (so much so that he models his running ability on Lamar Jackson).

But on the flip side, there are guys at the top that you can just see are special athletic talents. Everybody knew Dax Hill and Peppers and Rashan were just freak athletes as recruits, and those don't grow on trees. And while you can get very far coaching up 3*s, maybe even making the playoffs (Dantonio did it with MSU), I feel like you need at least some of those elite athletes if you want to get past the Bama's and Georgia's and Clemson's of the world, who at times seem like they're just on another level from the rest of college football.

Blue in Paradise

October 19th, 2022 at 2:00 PM ^

I love the 2018 rerank from #22 to #3.  This message board was apoplectic about that recruiting class that turned out multiple high level NFL draft picks and was the backbone of the Michigan 2021 turnaround season.

 

Here is my question - how did Notre Dame's 2019 and 2020 classes get reranked so much higher in the midst of a dismal 2022 season.

Double-D

October 19th, 2022 at 2:12 PM ^

Harbaugh and his coaches evaluate talent far better than the services and also most of the other coaching staffs out there.

This years freshman class is extraordinary.

We are playing three fucking freshman on the DL!