OT: Weekend Betting - Week 7
Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for Saturday's slate of games.. I'll start (all lines are from when they were placed):
(Last week record: 3-6 ; Overall season record: 28-23)
Charlotte at UAB, 3:30pm: Over 63
Oklahoma St at TCU, 3:30pm: TCU -4
Louisiana Tech at North Texas, 4pm: North Texas -6.5
James Madison at Georgia Southern, 4pm: James Madison -12.5
Rice at FAU, 6pm: Rice +4
LSU at Florida, 7pm: LSU +3
Arkansas St at Southern Miss, 7pm: Southern Miss -4.5
Nebraska at Purdue, 7:30pm: Nebraska +14
Utah at USC, 8pm: Utah -3.5
Notable spreads of discussion:
Michigan currently sits as a 7 point favorite over Penn St. Over/Under is 48.5
Wisconsin currently sits as a 7 point favorite over Michigan St (at MSU)
Alabama currently sits as a 8 point favorite over Tennessee (at Tennessee)
NC St currently sits as a 3.5 point favorite over Syracuse (at Syracuse)
Other lines:
October 14th, 2022 at 5:25 PM ^
What a hell of a slate this Saturday! I had been hearing that when Michigan was -7.5 or more earlier in the week, the Sharps hit hard with Penn St to bring it down to 7 pretty quickly. But when it got down to -6.5 Michigan briefly, there was some immediate sharp action that brought it back up to -7. Seems maybe a little sharper action on Penn St +7 still, but not much, and that of course doesn't mean much. I think it'll stay at the number until kickoff, but we'll see.
The under on Penn St/Michigan is intriguing but it's come down to 48.5 after being at a bit over 50 most of the week. I still lean under if I had to play.
October 14th, 2022 at 5:28 PM ^
Wisconsin must be really bad to only be favored by 7 over MSU.
October 14th, 2022 at 6:18 PM ^
I’m really bad at this, but THIS is the weekend I turn it all around.
Michigan -7 & Under 48.5 (Slow start, Michigan pulls away in the 2nd half. 27-7.)
Wisconsin -7
Tennessee +8
Utah -3.5
Nebraska +14
Georgia Southern +12.5
Florida -3
*bet the opposite of all of the above and thank me later.
**Adding Kansas +9 vs. OU
October 14th, 2022 at 6:52 PM ^
I like Utah -3.5 the best.
October 14th, 2022 at 9:50 PM ^
The key factor in the UM vs PSU game will be he play of JJ. If he has a great game we could win this game by 20 + points. If he has an average game and makes no mistakes, I could see a 7 to 10 point victory. If he has a slightly below average game, it will be tight and could go either way by 3. If he has a poor outing we could lose this game by 7+.
If I had to guess, I would say Michigan 34-PSU 23.
TN over Bama by 6.
TCU by 12 over OKst.
UF over LSU by 4.
Purdue over NE by 7.
USC over Utah by 3.
October 14th, 2022 at 10:02 PM ^
The University of Southern California Trojans are Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the Week
October 14th, 2022 at 10:39 PM ^
Hell of a slate this weekend. At least three games (Tennessee/Bama, PSU/UM, Utah/USC) with ginormous CFP implications. Even OK State / TCU can tell us if the Big XII still has a leg left to stand on.
My company picked a hell of a time to decide to send me to a trade show next weekend. No Michigan game, no Georgia game (Mrs. Perkis is a UGa fan), and outside of UCLA/Oregon there may not be much to write home about.
As for this weekend:
Alabama-Tennessee - depends on Bryce Young. If he’s playing, I take Alabama to cover. Competitive game most of the way, but Alabama pulls away and wins by 10-13. If he’s out, Alabama ain’t covering, and may lose outright. They don’t have an elite running game with household names like they normally do to fall back on, nor do they have the assembly line of WR talent that they’ve had every year up until now.
Penn State-Michigan - nope, no predictions from me. Not on this one.
Utah-USC - I’m going to take Utah to win outright. USC barely escaping Wazzu still sits with me, and now USC has to go on the road again to play a considerably better team. USC is for sure more talented, but so what?
Wisconsin-MSU - Wisconsin wins and covers. I think Wisconsin happily played the long game by firing Chryst to ensure they could retain the better long term option, and we’ll start to see the foundations of that this year. Meanwhile, MSU knew 2-3 weeks ago that its season was sunk, so tomorrow is irrelevant to them. All that matters now is October 29th. I’m not even sure they’re game planning for Wisconsin. Tucker knows if he wins this year and goes 3-0, everyone gets off his back. But what that means is that Wisconsin wins and covers this weekend.
October 14th, 2022 at 10:45 PM ^
Iowa St +16. Texas is due for a letdown and I trust a good defense getting a ton of points. Iowa St is not whom you want to face after a big win. Moneyline might even be worth a sprinkle at +595
NC St +3.5 / ML +150. Syracuse is a nice story but I don't buy that they can hold up along the lines vs a boring but solid team. I'd at least take the points and the moneyline might be a bargain.
MSU +7.5. Michigan St is bad but Wisconsin isn't hot shit either -- I'll need more than a blowout of terrible Northwestern to convince me that Graham Mertz has turned the corner. Sparty stops the straight-ahead run pretty well, if nothing else, so I think this is a one-score game.
Clemson -189 ML. Florida St will probably lead much of the way and then do something colossally stupid (see: last week), but this is a cheap moneyline to buy a Clemson team that will probably keep winning as long as the universe hates me. Otherwise I'll gladly take the Dabo-freude
October 14th, 2022 at 10:55 PM ^
These bets are in:
Michigan -7
Tennessee +8.5
Purdue -14
Fresno St +8
Utah -3.5
Duke +7
Nevada -6.5
Air Force - UNLV under 50
I am leaning MSU +7 and Illinois +7 but haven't pulled those triggers yet.
October 15th, 2022 at 8:42 AM ^
Do you know if Art Sitowski is filling in? I think that moves the needle substantially for that game.
October 15th, 2022 at 9:33 AM ^
I like Tennessee outright today.
October 15th, 2022 at 9:45 AM ^
FWIW, Bryce Young is expected to start today.