OT: Weekend Betting - Conference Championships
Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for the weekend's slate of games. I'll start (all lines are from when they were placed):
(Previous week record: 5-5; Overall season record: 57-57)
Friday games:
New Mexico St vs Liberty, 7pm: Under 57
Oregon vs Washington, 8pm: Washington +10
Oregon vs Washington, 8pm: Over 65.5
Saturday games:
Toledo vs Miami Oh, 12pm: Toledo -7
Toledo vs Miami Oh, 12pm: Under 44
Boise St vs UNLV, 3pm: UNLV +2.5
App St vs Troy, 4pm: App St +5
SMU vs Tulane, 4pm: SMU +3.5
Georgia vs Alabama, 4pm: Over 55
Michigan vs Iowa , 8pm: Under 35.5
Notable spreads of discussion:
Michigan currently sits as a 21.5 point favorite over Iowa; Over/Under is 34.5
Texas currently sits as a 15 point favorite over Oklahoma St
Georgia currently sits as a 5 point favorite over Alabama
Oregon currently sits as a 9.5 point favorite over Washington
Florida St currently sits as a 2 point favorite over Louisville
Other lines:
December 1st, 2023 at 6:20 PM ^
All I know is 1002, bitches.
December 1st, 2023 at 6:27 PM ^
Over/under on Iowa's first half points has moved from 0.5 to 2.5. So now you're OK even if their defense manages a safety.
December 1st, 2023 at 6:31 PM ^
After thinking all week that I was going to put my money on Oregon -9.5, I chose Washington +9.5. I also took Washington to win. Gut feel on this one. We'll see about my gut soon.
EDIT:
I also have a decent chunk (for me) on Michigan -23. And I will probably take Georgia minus whatever.
December 1st, 2023 at 6:45 PM ^
Damn, the spread is at 10 now. I like this but Washington's passing D is shit. I still might take it. LOL
December 1st, 2023 at 7:33 PM ^
It was 10 this week, dropped to 9.5 then back to 10 again. I can't take washington. I think oregon is out for blood after losing to them at the past minute at washington this season.
Oregon just looks so focused and theyve looked consistent, where Washington really hasnt.
December 1st, 2023 at 7:38 PM ^
Just took Wash +10. I'm a degenerate.
December 2nd, 2023 at 12:06 AM ^
Sharp. Nice gut.
Tell me about your next gut. I was on the fence and you convinced me to take Wash. We degens must stick together.
December 2nd, 2023 at 9:50 AM ^
Thanks GLORY.
My other gut feels are Michigan and Georgia to cover. But please don't assume that I am on a heater because I've been "meh" lately. It was nice getting that moneyline on UW though. Paid almost 3 to 1.
Break a leg!
December 1st, 2023 at 6:36 PM ^
- UM/Iowa, take the over. Look at what UM did to Iowa in the B1G champ game 2 years ago, and Iowa had a better O to keep the ball away from Michigan. Michigan's going to have the ball almost the entire game. Iowa's D is over-rated. Iowa hasnt faced a good O all season. Michigan is going put at least 31 on the scoreboard, probably closer to 35-38 on Iowa.
- Agree with the OP on taking the over for OR/UW.
- Take GA and the points. Bama is wildly over-rated. So many games this season Bama was razor-close to losing. GA is back to it's 2021-2022 form.
- I think FSU will win, even if they play their 3rd string QB. FSU has a decent O-line and a fleet of good RBs. I see FSU having quite a bit of success running the ball vs UL. That, along with a decent D should allow FSU to win in a close game.
- Texas? Hmmm. I dont have much confidence on taking either team with points, or taking either of the over/under. If I had to make some kind of standard bet on Texas/OK.St, I guess I would bet the over.
#GoBlue
#Bet
December 1st, 2023 at 6:54 PM ^
SMU +3.5 at Tulane is it for this week (in terms of actual bets). Mustangs have looked better than Tulane for a month+ of late, and this would be a huge program-win for them (I think they jump Liberty for the NYD6 slot). Tulane will be motivated, but I think SMU will be even more so.
If I were FORCED to bet the P5 title games: I'd go Washington +9.5, Texas -14.5, Georgia -5.5, Michigan -21.5, Florida State -1.5. Intuitively, it feels like chalk should hit more often than not on Championship Week. Less of the emotional up-and-down of the season, more of talent simply prevailing.
The stats somewhat back that up. All time, favorites are 16-15 ATS in SEC title games, 11-10 in Big XII title games, 12-6 in ACC title games, 5-7 in Pac-12 title games, 4-7-1 in B1G title games and 5-3 in AAC title games (53-48-1 all together, 52.4% clip).
December 1st, 2023 at 7:30 PM ^
Love your last paragraph. Great info. Where did you get those stats? Cant be easy to find.
#GoBlue
#Bet
December 1st, 2023 at 7:52 PM ^
Vegasinsider has them. Here's the historical B1G title games, a link: https://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/big-ten-championship/
I had forgotten that Wisconsin was favored in the 2014 game! Before losing by 59!
December 1st, 2023 at 6:56 PM ^
Liberty -10 and over 57
Oregon under
Toledo under
UNLV and Over
Troy -4
Tulane
Georgia -5 and over
Texas -14.5
Louisville and Under
December 1st, 2023 at 6:59 PM ^
I’ve got the unders and the underdogs this evening.
December 1st, 2023 at 7:06 PM ^
FUCK OIHO
December 1st, 2023 at 7:27 PM ^
Prediction: Oregon 38, Washington 31. It will stay fairly close because spaz-boy Lanning is good for a couple of emotionally-motivated stupid decisions.
#GoBlue
#Bet
December 1st, 2023 at 8:18 PM ^
Your Tulane Green Wave is Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the Week
December 2nd, 2023 at 7:36 AM ^
I’d take Georgia to cover, we win but JH respects KF too much to run him out of the building. But then again, maybe he does to give pet titties the bird. Good Texas vs bad Texas? Louisville as much as it pains me will probably lose and let in Bama because….sec. It just means more.