OT: FiveThirtyEight Playoff Implications
FiveThirtyEight has their week 15 playoff implications out now.
Games to watch for the SF playoff picture: SF @ SEA, MIN @ DET, ARZ @ STL.
If Detroit and Seattle win, it looks like SF is done (rounding errors might be causing it to not drop completely to 0.0). It also looks like SF is done if Seattle and Arizona win.
The Detroit picture just depends on MIN @ DET and DAL @ PHI. A win for Detroit would put them above a 90% chance to make it, while the Dallas and Philly game only swings the chances from +0.7 to -1.2. If it makes you feel better, root for Philly.
I know a lot of us were following this last week through the games, so I figured I'd post it now considering the Arizona game is on tonight.
EDIT: Added hyperlink.
December 11th, 2014 at 4:40 PM ^
It is a multi-act play from the Theatre of the Absurd that the outcome of the DET-MIN game has a tangible effect on the CC.
December 11th, 2014 at 5:00 PM ^
December 11th, 2014 at 5:01 PM ^
Lions will win. We will get our coach. 2015 will be the best f'ing year EVER!
December 11th, 2014 at 4:49 PM ^
I'm rooting for Dallas, because I'm not worried about the wildcard race, I'm worried about seeding. :)
December 11th, 2014 at 4:56 PM ^
Seems like another Hackett smokescreen to me
December 11th, 2014 at 5:00 PM ^
Anybody ever mail orderd Zingermans? I'm craving a ruben.
December 11th, 2014 at 5:19 PM ^
December 11th, 2014 at 5:44 PM ^
Many, many times. I just ordered the pastrami rueben kit yesterday as a gift for someone. It is amazing. Just do it -- you will not regret it.
December 11th, 2014 at 6:41 PM ^
My parents send kits for every holiday and birthday. Awesome!
December 11th, 2014 at 5:04 PM ^
Hmmm...I will go with this guess -
- 49ers lay a turd again - SF 6 SEA 27
- Lions smack the Vikings - DET 28 MN 13
- Arizona and St. Louis forget to play offense - AZ 6 STL 2
December 11th, 2014 at 10:49 PM ^
December 11th, 2014 at 5:17 PM ^
Oh, wrong playoffs
December 11th, 2014 at 5:27 PM ^
If SF loses and Detroit wins SF will absolutely not be in the playoffs. Put simply, the two wildcards will end the season with at least 10 wins (AZ, Sea, Det, GB and Phily or Dal) and SF can win only nine.
December 11th, 2014 at 7:01 PM ^
Sent from MGoBlog HD for iPhone & iPad
December 11th, 2014 at 8:53 PM ^
let's go cards!
December 11th, 2014 at 9:40 PM ^
got off the phone less than one hour ago with a close friend in the states ...
as soon as SF is eliminated, JH will seriously engage. But, he's indicated that he wants the framework in place so when he's ready, it happens very quickly.
December 12th, 2014 at 6:46 AM ^
The 49ers close out the season with
@ Seattle (9-4)
vs SanDiego (8-5)
vs Arizona (11-3)
The 49ers can't win their division. San Francisco may still be able to catch the following five teams that--from the 49ers perspective--are competing for the two wildcard spots should they not take the NFC North or NFC East title:
Green Bay | 10-3 |
Seattle | 9-4 |
Detroit | 9-4 |
Philly | 9-4 |
Dallas | 9-4 |
SanFran owns the head-to-head tiebreaker against either Philly or Dallas.
SanFran is 0-1 vs Seattle, but has a game remaining with the Seahawks.
SanFran plays neither Green Bay nor Detroit.
Philly & Dallas play 12/14 (1 sure win/loss)
GreenBay & Detroit play 12/28 (1 sure win/loss)
Remaining Opponents
Contender (W-L) | 12/14 | 12/21 | 12/28 |
Green Bay (10-3) | @Buff (7-6) | @TB (2-11) | Det (9-4) |
Seattle (9-4) | SF (7-6) | @AZ (11-3) | StL (6-8) |
Detroit (9-4) | Minn (6-7) | @Chic (5-8) | @GB (10-3) |
Philly (9-4) | Dal (9-4) | @Wash (3-10) | @NYG (4-9) |
Dallas (9-4) | @Phil (9-4) | Indi (9-4) | @Wash (3-10) |