OT: Betting on the Heisman/ 2011 MNC Race.
I ran across a list of potential Heisman candidates along with moneylines for each. Take the moneyline, divide by 100 and that is the decimal odd (e.g. +1000 is 10/1 odds)
In order for 2011:
- Andrew Luck/ QB/ Stanford (+300)
- Denard Robinson/ QB/ Michigan (+500)
- Marcus Lattimore/ RB/ South Carolina (+500)
- LaMichael James/ RB/ Oregon (+600)
- Landry Jones/ QB/ Oklahoma (+600)
This list actually goes 1, T2, T4, but I didn't know how to do this using the MGoBlog list feature. I think it says a lot about Denard's physical tools (and name recognition) that he's so high up in the odds. I understand how early this is, but I love seeing Denard way up there, so I thought I would share. In other news, from the same service, the odds for the MNC in 2011:
- Oklahoma (+350)
- Alabama (+500)
- Florida (+1200)
- Florida State (+1200)
- Boise State (+1200)
Michigan is sitting at +8000, with MSU at +5000, ND at +2800 and OSU at +1300.
Interesting seeing that Tresselgate isn't doing too much to peoples perception of OSU. Anyway, if anyone feels like talking 2011 MNC race and predicting the 2011 Heisman while there's practically still snow on the ground, here's something at least.
I'm not a real regular poster here. But I spend a lot of time reading what's being posted, and I gotta say that this board's obssession with the OT tag is quite humorous.
I gotta say that I am shocked at how good d-rob's odds are though. For a quarterback on a team with a new head coach and a system that isn't exactly designed to optimize his skillset and little to no chance at winning the national championship, those are amazing odds.
I also find it very interesting that Mich can be +8000 for the MNC and Denard so high on the heisman list. I feel like winning games is key to get you to the heisman ceremony.
and still not win the national title.
I think OU should have a good enough squad to help him win it. I have hope in hoke to turn it around to give Denard a reasonable shot. A lot depends on the squad no matter how good a players stats are. I love the difference a few months can make because Pryor would have been the media's favorite. Instead his ass will be watching the games on tv for the first 5 games (hopefully more).
Terrelle Pryor. Yep. Mmhm.
March 24th, 2011 at 11:08 AM ^
That would produce a fun side bet...how long until he hocks it?
I'll take Denard and Oklahoma. As long as DRob's stats are comparable to last years, and if he "returns Michigan to glory" and beats Ohio State in Ann Arbor, that award is his, easily.
March 23rd, 2011 at 10:56 PM ^
Florida State for the MNC? Huh?
March 23rd, 2011 at 11:14 PM ^
Ok I know that Denard has the possibility of winning it, and I would love nothing else but him to win it. I just feel that you have to give respect where respect is earned, Dan Persa has the opportunity to make a run at the heisman and should be on the list.
Neither Luck nor Denard will win it. Both will be learning new systems and lost world class offensive head coaches. I think someone not on that list will win.
As for the MNC, Florida doesn't belong in the discussion. Re BSU, there must be a lot of Ida-'ho's or whatever Idaho natives call themselves driving the betting.
I like Alabama (not really, but you know what I mean), FSU, and Oklahoma in that order. And I will take Mississippi State as my dark horse.
Well shoot, might as well parlay it with Denard and make some $$$
March 24th, 2011 at 10:32 AM ^
I think his best chance might actually have been last year. The Heisman is as much about perception as performance and getting ahold of that kind of "magic" is sort of like catching lightning in a bottle. He clearly had it during the first half of 2010. If he could've cracked the 2,000 yard rushing barrier as a QB and gotten a big win down the stretch (OSU) then I think it might have happened.
Admittedly, Newton grabbed that bull by the horns down the stretch but given Newton's off-field problems I definitely felt that there were voters who would have rather not voted for him but there just wasn't much available as alternatives.
Going forward, I have a hard time seeing Denard matching let alone surpassing last year's eye-popping numbers. Like it or not, that will not play to his favor in terms of perception.
Of course, the more proven route to the Heisman (QB on a highly ranked team) also seems unlikely since M does not appear to be anywhere near the status of a top 5 team at the moment.
I might be wrong and Denard may very well win the Heisman (he's got the name recognition going for him and that's half the battle) but I wouldn't bet on it.