Cal Blog Projects D-Rob's Performance for 2011
Better than talking about GERG.
March 31st, 2011 at 10:31 AM ^
don't know how to edit from the phone.
March 31st, 2011 at 10:33 AM ^
Really? He may not even be their starter when the season starts.
March 31st, 2011 at 10:36 AM ^
Just thought I'd help out for those not clicking the link.
March 31st, 2011 at 10:38 AM ^
Can't do that from the phone I don't think.
March 31st, 2011 at 10:53 AM ^
Interesting that they have Pryor so far up there despite that he'll be missing the first five games of his season
March 31st, 2011 at 11:05 AM ^
Well it's yards per attempt, so a) that shouldn't be affected and b) I doubt it was even part of their line of thinking.
March 31st, 2011 at 11:29 AM ^
His yards per attempt might go down as he will not have the advantage of the early season patsy games.
March 31st, 2011 at 12:33 PM ^
True, but I don't think they were going into individual projections for next year.
I think they just had the model and put up what it spit out.
March 31st, 2011 at 10:44 AM ^
If you don't want to click through the article to read all of the statistical information, I invite you to do it to see the WORST EVER PHOTO OF ANDREW LUCK.
He looks like-- no, I won't describe it. See for yourself.
March 31st, 2011 at 10:53 AM ^
Andrew Luck is by far the best QB in the country. He's a lock to be a top pick in 2012 NFL draft should he decides to forgo his senior eligibility. I can't imagine Luck staying another year when he's pretty much a lock to be the 1st QB taken in the draft.
Hard to project Denard Robinson because of the system changes. He went from a QB friendly system to a system where we don't know how he'll fit and perform next season. Pretty safe to say that he won't duplicate last season numbers.
March 31st, 2011 at 10:59 AM ^
Well he was also a lock for this year's draft (if we have one).
Andrew Luck is just a beast.
March 31st, 2011 at 11:07 AM ^
The only reason he came back was to graduate; he's done after this year barring an injury, and probably even with one.
March 31st, 2011 at 11:32 AM ^
he doesn't want to get drafted by the Panthers whom the owner openly said that he cares more about the monetary result of the franchise. Or he doesn't want to sit a year potentially from NFL lockout.
Both are good reasons to come back. You just don't turn down millions of dollars and #1 overall pick which he would be if he entered the draft just to come back and graduate. You can always come back to graduate and get a degree.
March 31st, 2011 at 12:32 PM ^
There are plenty of people who turn down first round money. Not many at #1, as there are much fewer of those in the first place, but I do believe Luck when he says he wants to go back to graduate.
The labor strife probably has a lot to do with it, but it's not that crazy for a potential first round pick to stay in school the extra year to graduate.
FWIW I would never do it. $50m guaranteed vs Stanford degree and nothing else. Easy decision, IMO, but a lot of people choose otherwise.
comes back to college is when the draft advisory committee told them that they're not a 1st rounder. Jake Locker is a good example. People think that he's a 1st round pick last year but the advisory committee graded him out as a 3rd rounder. I saw that on the draft board when I interviewed the director of player personnel.
99% of the time when a player decides to turn down 1st round money to come back to school for one more year, it's usually because they're not graded as a 1st round pick. Andrew Luck is the exception to the rule.
March 31st, 2011 at 12:08 PM ^
i'm sure jake locker felt the same way
March 31st, 2011 at 12:10 PM ^
good thing they got tate in there as a michigan qb.
That on those lists of top rating from 2010 there were four former/current Michigan starting quarterbacks.
Ryan Mallett
Steve Threet
Tate Forcier
Denard Robinson
Nick Sheridan is the odd man out.
It's very unfortunate that Threet's career appears over. I was happy that he got another shot for success once he left UM.
Threet got there because they listed Pac Ten QB's. He was near the bottom of the heap. It just means he was a starter, not a "top" QB.
I know Al Borges seems to think Denard can be a 3000 pass/1000 rush QB, and I'm sure he COULD, but you can put me on the pessimistic side of things. I think our offense will look a little clumsy next season.. Before someone responds irrationally, NO, I am not saying this season will be a 2008 redux. There's a wealth of talent, for sure, but I do not think we will match the production of last year. The biggest thing I'd like to see is a reduction in turnovers. If that happens, I think we'll be fine and Denard's athleticism will always give us a great chance to win. For some reason, I'm inclined to prepare myself for a mess of 2-3 yard runs up the gut and agonizing 4 yard passes on 3rd and 7. I'm not saying that's going to happen, but I'd like to be pleasantly surprised when it doesn't.
Fortunately, that scenario is worlds better than -what was it- 45 percent of plays going for 0 or negative yardage in 2008?
If you were to put a gun to my head for a statistical prediction, I would have to say Denard throws for about the same number of yards as last year, runs for just over a thousand (I still am not convinced there's a workhorse back on the squad). I think you'll see his carries end up at around 15 per game (150-180 carries). I know the staff wants to go away from that a little, but some of the spread hangover and awkward offensive fusion will leave Denard as our leading rusher. I don't see him as a guy who's suddenly going to be right on the money with the pro-style timing routes. Because of that, I seriously doubt that Borges will unleash him enough to be a 3000 yard passer.
2400 yards passing, 64% completion pct, 22 TDs/ 8 Ints, 1200 yards rushing on 150 or so carries (higher YPC - 7-8)- 15 TDS.
He's still going to be a huge playmaker and one of the better players in the country, but let's be a little realistic about him totally blowing up in a new system.
Just my take, and I hope he kicks ass. I do think we're looking at a more conservative offense to limit mistakes, which I think would be a good thing.
shrug? we'll see!