By The Numbers - Big 10 Player Ranks
For questions on how the numbers are calculated see here.
Quarterbacks
Performance of the week: Mike Kafka, NW. Even though other qb's put up more yards or more touchdowns, nobody added more value to his team than Kafka. His success at Purdue was worth 13 points above average. With nearly a third of the value coming on the ground, Kafka was able to add nearly 2 TDs worth of value for NW to pull out the win.
Player - QB - Season
Kafka also reigns supreme in the yearly totals with a value of over 7 points per game. Forcier resides in the 4th spot with just under 4 points per game of value added.
Running Backs
Performance of the week: This week, all numbers pointed to John Clay of Wisconsin. The traditional stats were great, 184 yards and 3 TDs, but the value was just as good, adding 8 points that helped Wisconsin to victory and was 3 more points than any other Big 10 running back on the weekend.
Player - RB - Season
Carlos Brown comes in at 2nd place with just over 3 points per game of value. Brandon Minor is also in the top 10 at number 9 at just under a point a game.
Ralph Bolden of Purdue is the overall leader, although his lead is likely over soon, as his value has declined every game this season and his average over the last 3 games is -1 points per game.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Performance of the week: The big name receiver of the Big 10 strikes again, Eric Decker provided 10 points of value on 8 catches, 140 yards and 1 TD. Even including incompletions thrown his way, Decker still provided the Gophers with 7 points of value on the day. Marvin McNutt from Iowa receives Honorable Mention this week by posting 9 points of value both on catches and targets.
Player - WR - Season
Eric Decker, 2nd in the country overall, also leads overall on the season with nearly 9 points per game and ranks second to Keith Smith of Purdue on value when targeted at 6 points per game. No Michigan receiver ranks in the top 20 for the season.
Quarterbacks
Performance of the week: Mike Kafka, NW. Even though other qb's put up more yards or more touchdowns, nobody added more value to his team than Kafka. His success at Purdue was worth 13 points above average. With nearly a third of the value coming on the ground, Kafka was able to add nearly 2 TDs worth of value for NW to pull out the win.
Player - QB - Season
| Player | Team | G | Value | Yards | TD | INT | Rush Yards | Rush TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Kafka | Northwestern | 4 | 7.44 | 270.25 | 1.25 | 0.75 | 34.50 | 0.50 |
| Kirk Cousins | Michigan State | 4 | 4.63 | 204.75 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 29.67 | 0.00 |
| Terrelle Pryor | Ohio State | 5 | 4.17 | 172.20 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 69.80 | 0.60 |
| Tate Forcier | Michigan | 5 | 3.64 | 176.80 | 1.80 | 0.60 | 42.00 | 0.40 |
| Juice Williams | Illinois | 4 | 3.46 | 125.75 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 81.00 | 0.50 |
| Daryll Clark | Penn State | 5 | 3.19 | 223.80 | 1.80 | 1.20 | 29.75 | 0.50 |
| Keith Nichol | Michigan State | 4 | 2.42 | 80.50 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| D Robinson | Michigan | 3 | 1.73 | 19.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 51.67 | 1.00 |
| Scott Tolzien | Wisconsin | 4 | 1.62 | 221.00 | 1.75 | 0.75 | 20.50 | 0.00 |
| Ricky Stanzi | Iowa | 4 | 1.59 | 208.25 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| Joey Elliott | Purdue | 5 | 1.52 | 249.20 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 25.60 | 0.40 |
| Adam Weber | Minnesota | 5 | 0.90 | 229.80 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 4.60 | 0.00 |
| Ben Chappell | Indiana | 4 | -1.94 | 202.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 |
Kafka also reigns supreme in the yearly totals with a value of over 7 points per game. Forcier resides in the 4th spot with just under 4 points per game of value added.
Running Backs
Performance of the week: This week, all numbers pointed to John Clay of Wisconsin. The traditional stats were great, 184 yards and 3 TDs, but the value was just as good, adding 8 points that helped Wisconsin to victory and was 3 more points than any other Big 10 running back on the weekend.
Player - RB - Season
| Player | Team | G | Value | Rush | Yards | TD | Rec Yards | Rec TD | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ralph Bolden | Purdue | 5 | 3.39 | 19.40 | 108.20 | 0.80 | 28.40 | 0.20 | Big Ten |
| Carlos Brown | Michigan | 5 | 3.09 | 8.80 | 67.20 | 0.60 | 29.75 | 0.25 | Big Ten |
| Evan Royster | Penn State | 5 | 2.29 | 15.60 | 78.40 | 0.80 | 22.75 | 0.25 | Big Ten |
| John Clay | Wisconsin | 4 | 1.69 | 25.00 | 128.00 | 1.75 | Big Ten | ||
| Jaycen Taylor | Purdue | 4 | 1.48 | 6.25 | 28.00 | 0.75 | 38.00 | 1.00 | Big Ten |
| Adam Robinson | Iowa | 4 | 1.11 | 15.75 | 74.00 | 0.75 | 19.67 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Brandon Saine | Ohio State | 5 | 1.10 | 9.80 | 58.80 | 0.00 | 20.60 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Duane Bennett | Minnesota | 5 | 1.02 | 10.40 | 42.20 | 1.00 | 5.67 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Brandon Minor | Michigan | 4 | 0.88 | 8.75 | 44.75 | 0.50 | Big Ten | ||
| D Eskridge | Minnesota | 5 | 0.86 | 7.40 | 33.00 | 0.20 | 10.00 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Stephfon Green | Penn State | 5 | 0.79 | 7.40 | 38.00 | 0.40 | 18.50 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Larry Caper | Michigan State | 4 | 0.52 | 9.25 | 36.50 | 1.00 | Big Ten | ||
| Darius Willis | Indiana | 3 | 0.35 | 14.00 | 80.33 | 1.00 | 27.00 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Jordan Hall | Ohio State | 3 | 0.00 | 8.33 | 34.33 | 0.00 | Big Ten | ||
| Caulton Ray | Michigan State | 3 | -0.22 | 7.33 | 24.67 | 0.33 | Big Ten | ||
| Dan Herron | Ohio State | 4 | -0.98 | 15.75 | 53.75 | 1.25 | 17.00 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Arby Fields | Northwestern | 4 | -1.26 | 8.50 | 29.00 | 0.50 | 11.67 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| D Mccray | Indiana | 4 | -1.60 | 7.75 | 45.25 | 0.25 | 10.00 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Zach Brown | Wisconsin | 4 | -1.72 | 9.50 | 36.00 | 0.25 | 7.33 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Jacob Schmidt | Northwestern | 4 | -1.72 | 7.75 | 28.25 | 0.00 | 31.00 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Brandon Wegher | Iowa | 4 | -2.09 | 14.25 | 67.25 | 0.50 | 12.00 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
| Glenn Winston | Michigan State | 4 | -3.33 | 10.25 | 28.75 | 0.25 | 6.00 | 0.00 | Big Ten |
Carlos Brown comes in at 2nd place with just over 3 points per game of value. Brandon Minor is also in the top 10 at number 9 at just under a point a game.
Ralph Bolden of Purdue is the overall leader, although his lead is likely over soon, as his value has declined every game this season and his average over the last 3 games is -1 points per game.
Wide Receivers/Tight Ends
Performance of the week: The big name receiver of the Big 10 strikes again, Eric Decker provided 10 points of value on 8 catches, 140 yards and 1 TD. Even including incompletions thrown his way, Decker still provided the Gophers with 7 points of value on the day. Marvin McNutt from Iowa receives Honorable Mention this week by posting 9 points of value both on catches and targets.
Player - WR - Season
| Player | Team | G | Value | Value+ | Rec | Yards | TD | Gap | Conf |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Decker | Minnesota | 5 | 8.80 | 5.61 | 8.60 | 127.80 | 1.00 | 63.36% | Big Ten |
| Keith Smith | Purdue | 5 | 7.83 | 6.19 | 7.00 | 91.80 | 0.60 | 70.88% | Big Ten |
| B Cunningham | Michigan State | 4 | 6.66 | 4.33 | 5.75 | 78.00 | 0.75 | 57.27% | Big Ten |
| Marvin Mcnutt | Iowa | 3 | 5.49 | 4.39 | 2.00 | 64.67 | 0.67 | 64.20% | Big Ten |
| Aaron Valentin | Purdue | 5 | 5.40 | 2.70 | 4.20 | 55.20 | 0.80 | 40.35% | Big Ten |
| Tandon Doss | Indiana | 4 | 4.94 | 3.15 | 5.50 | 81.25 | 0.25 | -157.59% | Big Ten |
| Mark Dell | Michigan State | 3 | 4.92 | 2.71 | 4.33 | 70.33 | 0.33 | 61.57% | Big Ten |
| Blair White | Michigan State | 4 | 4.83 | 3.11 | 5.00 | 59.25 | 0.50 | -220.40% | Big Ten |
| Trey Stross | Iowa | 3 | 4.71 | 3.30 | 4.00 | 56.67 | 0.33 | 68.41% | Big Ten |
| D Sanzenbacher | Ohio State | 5 | 4.69 | 3.96 | 3.00 | 61.80 | 0.80 | 64.69% | Big Ten |
| Keshawn Martin | Michigan State | 3 | 4.43 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 54.00 | 0.67 | -20.92% | Big Ten |
| Garrett Graham | Wisconsin | 4 | 4.38 | 1.99 | 5.25 | 64.25 | 0.75 | 37.92% | Big Ten |
| Derek Moye | Penn State | 5 | 4.22 | 1.39 | 3.60 | 57.60 | 0.40 | -48.36% | Big Ten |
| Chaz Powell | Penn State | 4 | 4.17 | 3.25 | 3.75 | 53.25 | 0.50 | 85.82% | Big Ten |
| Isaac Anderson | Wisconsin | 4 | 4.15 | 3.71 | 3.00 | 63.75 | 0.25 | 89.94% | Big Ten |
| Devier Posey | Ohio State | 5 | 4.01 | 1.45 | 3.80 | 42.80 | 0.40 | 39.45% | Big Ten |
| Drake Dunsmore | Northwestern | 4 | 3.68 | 1.99 | 5.00 | 54.25 | 0.25 | 1.81% | Big Ten |
| Andrew Brewer | Northwestern | 3 | 3.68 | 2.55 | 3.00 | 45.00 | 0.67 | -61.94% | Big Ten |
| Nick Toon | Wisconsin | 4 | 3.60 | 0.81 | 4.00 | 49.75 | 0.50 | 31.96% | Big Ten |
| Arrelious Benn | Illinois | 3 | 3.52 | 3.46 | 3.33 | 46.00 | 0.00 | 98.88% | Big Ten |
| Darryl Stonum | Michigan | 3 | 2.93 | 2.71 | 3.00 | 50.33 | 0.33 | 88.55% | Big Ten |
| D Belcher | Indiana | 4 | 2.70 | 0.51 | 4.25 | 43.25 | 0.00 | -46.41% | Big Ten |
| Graham Zug | Penn State | 4 | 2.64 | 1.78 | 3.75 | 45.25 | 0.50 | 29.71% | Big Ten |
| Kevin Koger | Michigan | 4 | 2.55 | 1.90 | 2.25 | 36.75 | 0.50 | 69.66% | Big Ten |
| D Fields | Northwestern | 4 | 2.43 | 1.98 | 3.25 | 27.25 | 0.25 | 62.09% | Big Ten |
| J Hemingway | Michigan | 4 | 2.25 | 1.88 | 2.50 | 34.75 | 0.50 | 107.64% | Big Ten |
| Z Markshausen | Northwestern | 4 | 2.23 | 2.38 | 6.50 | 62.50 | 0.00 | 109.22% | Big Ten |
| A Quarless | Penn State | 5 | 1.84 | 0.77 | 3.20 | 30.60 | 0.00 | -33.95% | Big Ten |
| T Turner | Indiana | 5 | 1.61 | -0.99 | 4.40 | 38.00 | 0.20 | -77.43% | Big Ten |
| Kyle Adams | Purdue | 4 | 0.10 | -1.29 | 3.50 | 27.75 | 0.00 | -100.92% | Big Ten |
Eric Decker, 2nd in the country overall, also leads overall on the season with nearly 9 points per game and ranks second to Keith Smith of Purdue on value when targeted at 6 points per game. No Michigan receiver ranks in the top 20 for the season.
October 7th, 2009 at 1:22 PM ^
These are fantastic, Mathlete!
Have you thought of using your metric to create an actual blogboll ballot?
October 7th, 2009 at 1:51 PM ^
Something is off on the QB ratings, if Juice is this highly rated, but ready to be benched, and Nichols and Stanzi are impressing with the seasons they are having, but rated marginal. Maybe it is just the intangibles that are making the difference and it will come out in the wash as we proceed, but just thought when looked at straight up, it doesn't pass the eye test.
Still totally respect the concept and the work you are doing on this. Thank you.
October 7th, 2009 at 3:44 PM ^
are weighted by where it happens on the field, so there will be some distortions.
October 7th, 2009 at 3:48 PM ^
and Juice has played OSU and PSU.
October 7th, 2009 at 4:15 PM ^
Right on colin. When taking off the opponent adjustment, only Ben Chappell from Indiana is rated as a worse QB in the Big 10. Juice goes from a +3 ppg to a -1 ppg when taking off the adjustment for opponent.
October 7th, 2009 at 3:50 PM ^
and relevant "normal" metrics, like YPA and INT/pass.
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