Persons responsible [Bryan Fuller]

Punt/Counterpunt: Michigan State 2020 Comment Count

Seth October 31st, 2020 at 8:50 AM

MSU links: Preview, FFFF Offense (chart), FFFF Defense (chart), Podcast

Something's been missing from Michigan gamedays since the free programs ceased being economically viable: scientific gameday predictions that are not at all preordained by the strictures of a column in which one writer takes a positive tack and the other a negative one… something like Punt-Counterpunt.

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PUNT

By Bryan MacKenzie
@Bry_Mac

One of the best parts about the opening week of football season is the data. Not the stats, mind you. The data.

Football fans spend an entire offseason with nothing but theory and extrapolation based on morsels of dubious information. We try to predict the future based on practice rumors and position switches and press conference quotes. We’re like paleontologists, trying to discern the diet and social habits of creatures that died millions of years ago by the way the femur curves or the angle of a fossilized footprint. It’s Plato’s Cave with more violence.

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But then toe meets leather and we are flooded with thousands of pieces of concrete information. By the end of the first Saturday, we are awash in more data than we could ever hope to absorb. We’re Mission Control in Houston, taking in more data from the left rear tire on the space shuttle in twenty minutes than was accumulated in the Library of Alexandria. Give or take.

[After THE JUMP: Raj apologizes]

But this year, Michigan State started off with a different kind of data collection project. It was more like the Mars Climate Orbiter.

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In December of 1998, NASA launched a probe that was going to orbit Mars and beam back a bunch of information about the Martian surface. However, Lockheed Martin goofed and programmed the orbiter in pound-force seconds, rather than Newton seconds. As a result, rather than entering a nice gentle orbit around Mars, the orbiter hurtled straight into the sumbitch. Needless to say, it returned no data, though it did provide one spectacular piece of feedback.

Saturday was supposed to be the initial data from a new Michigan State regime that has, until now, been drifting along invisibly against the inky darkness of a COVID blackout. No spring game. No public practices. Barely any private practices. A coaching staff with very little game film—Mel Tucker was the head coach at Colorado for exactly one season—and an almost entirely rebuilt starting roster.

And then they crashed into Rutgers. And while we all enjoyed it immensely, we didn’t learn much.

Sure, this was hilarious. The idea of an organization spending obscene amounts of money for such a spectacular initial failure does evoke memories of a $300 Million dent in a far-flung planet. There is a temptation to draw a lot of conclusions based on this event, because some events are so calamitous that they force you to point and laugh.

But maybe—just maybe—that’s what Michigan State wanted.

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I’m not a betting man, but I would wager a big ol’ cigar that Mel Tucker arrived on campus, took one good look at his roster, and instantly regretted his decision (though he then looked at his bank account and felt better). And he started to wonder how he can make 2020 a success, given that normal measures of success, at least the way they Spartan fans have defined it over the past decade, were completely unreachable.

Mel Tucker is smart enough to know that there is one Shibboleth of a successful season in East Lansing: exceeding expectations against Michigan. I don’t think they intentionally blew the game against Rutgers. But I also doubt that they cared very much. In a pandemic-shortened season where you are probably going to lose a lot of games, tipping your hand against Rutgers would have been foolish. They took their players for a spin, got some exercise, got some things on film, and went home. They barely played Elijah Collins and Julian Barnett, arguably their two best players. They showed no offensive creativity. They used it as a glorified scrimmage.

Now look at how they’ve set themselves up. Five years ago, a ten-point loss to Michigan would be seen as a humiliation. Now, that would beat Vegas by two touchdowns and give Tucker and company some “momentum” for the rest of their season. A narrative to help kick-start their currently stagnant recruiting. A talking point for analysts going into 2021. Defeat With Dignity, if you will.

Michigan will still win, because Michigan is still too good and Michigan State still has a lot of Dantonio to knock out of the gears. But when you can’t win, you also can’t lose.

Michigan 27, Michigan State 17

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COUNTERPUNT

By Internet Raj
@internetraj

Fan fiction is hands-down one of the most bizarre corners of Internet subculture. Millions of words have been spilled out into the digital ether on fan-penned renditions of the most inane and meaningless intellectual properties. There’s Boy Meets World fan fiction; there’s Rugrats fan fiction, and there’s even fan fiction devoted to Legos.

But the most ridiculous fan fiction I’ve ever stumbled across was a “Parallel Universe” feature hosted by the Michigan State blog The Only Colors. The author, for reasons only known to him, conjured up 3,000+ words about a hypothetical matchup between Michigan and Michigan State wherein the Spartans conquered the Wolverines in an elaborate and mysterious “parallel universe.” The blog post adds yet another chapter to the infamous legacy of “Defeated with Dignity”, perhaps one aptly titled “Victorious in Fiction.”

It’s only fitting, then, that we indulge in some Counterpunt Fan Fiction in honor of MSU week. I knew my brain wasn’t twisted enough to write this myself, though. To truly go deep into the Spartan mind, I had to wade into the depths of the Red Cedar Message Board, found a poster with 74,598 posts and a three-page rap sheet, and paid him $3.50 to come up with MSU fan fiction.

Here is what I was sent.

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Mel Tucker’s eyes snap open. Adrenaline is already pumping through his veins. On this morning, on this day, no alarm clock is necessary.

Today is the Michigan game.

Mel jumps out of bed and immediately commences his daily morning routine. He promptly knocks out 17,000 pushups, his muscles rippling with well-defined contours that are definitely natural and not the product of injecting himself with the unmarked vials the prior coaching staff left in an abandoned cooler in the weight room.

“You’re so much stronger than Jim Harbaugh,” floats a voice from the bed. Mel smiles at his wife, exuding an effortless cool.

“I know baby,” he replies as he shoves 5 cigars into his mouth, one for each million dollars he’s getting paid per year. His phone vibrates and he looks down at it. It’s Rico Beard texting him for the 97th straight time: “Good luck Coach, by the way did you get my other messages about maybe hanging out?” There was also a string of emojis with heart eyes. Mel nonchalantly dismisses the notification and makes a mental note to block Rico later and make up some lie about getting a new phone number. But now was not the time for distractions. Mel turns his back on his wife like she’s a high school senior committed to the University of Colorado and sprints out of the room with a 3.9 40 speed.

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The cigar isn’t filled with tobacco but rather the MSU athletic department’s budget

“And faster than Denard!” is the last thing he hears from the bedroom as he races down the stairs and makes his way to his top-secret bookshelf. Mel looks around with a suspicious wariness, making sure no one is spying on him. He wouldn’t put anything past those vile scUMers. Now a routine task, his hands effortlessly dance across the shelves until they rest on the copy of Endzone by John U. Bacon. The book was a powerful reminder to Mel of the fake news industry and Blue Wall that continuously conspire to tear MSU down while propping up their bitter rival. He grits his teeth, cursing Bacon and his love for mowing lawns and then gently pulls the book from the shelf. Hidden gears deep within the recesses of the wall begin to churn as the bookshelf gives way to a winding staircase leading to Mel’s secret lair. Even from the top of the stairs, Mel can hear a strained, guttural groans. He smiles. It’s time.

When Mel reaches the bottom of the stairs, he takes a moment to appreciate the laboratory he’s built, and the sheer audacity of his plan. His eyes scan the pristine medical-grade equipment, beeping health monitors, and—at the center of it all—the hospital bed housing his grand prize. There, strapped to the bed, is a bewildered and panicked Mark Dantonio, struggling to free himself from the shackles pinning him to the bed. The struggle is futile.

“I see the tranquilizers have worn off, Mark. I’m truly sorry you had to wake up like this. We love you. We respect you. You’ve given a lot to the program, but today….” Mel can’t help but let his face contort into a dastardly smile.

“…Today you will make your final contribution.”

Mel takes a seat in a plush leather chair next to Mark and inserts an IV into his arm. To Dantonio’s horror, the other end snakes directly into his own arm.

“Yes, that’s right,” Mel says, taking only a small measure of glee in his predecessor’s slow realization of what is to come, “I am taking all of your blood… but more importantly, your Hate. Your Hate of all things Michigan. The Hate that powered your teams to so many wins against those vile scUMers. And now… that Hate…. will be my Hate. And it will lead us to victory!”

“Hey man, can’t you just find a reason to get mad at Michigan and generate your own hate? I mean, I don’t think Hate is like a molecule in someone’s body you can take and just absorb… and I definitely don’t think it would be carried in blood… and even if it was couldn’t you just take a little bit why take all of my blood?”

Silence!” Mel shouts with a thunderous roar of contempt. He flips the big red switch on the blood transfusion machine and immediately feels Dantonio’s Hate coursing through his veins. It’s so powerful. Decades of festering inferiority complex, projection, and overcompensation for personal inadequacies and failures overcome Mel. It’s too much. This was a mistake. He should have never attempted something so bold so quickly. The Hate consumes him and he cannot control it. He crumbles to his knees beside Dantonio, who has now adjusted himself into a seated position.

Dantonio’s eyes flicker with life and his mouth turns downward into his patented scowl. “You fool!” Dantonio hisses, his scowl turning into a wry smile. “You absolute fool! Only I can wield this power!” Cackling, Dantonio tears himself free from the restraints and rips out the IV from his arm before tossing it on now crumpled, unconscious body of Mel Tucker.

“I am the coach now!” Dantonio triumphantly proclaims.

In a stunning twist, Dantonio returns to the sidelines to lead MSU against Michigan. The bands are done playing and the players are lined up for kickoff. He screws on his headset and stares intimidatingly across the field at his arch nemesis, Jim Harbaugh, who can’t help but immediately avert eye contact and shrivel up in fear. Meanwhile, on the field, Rocky Lombardi unseats Trevor Lawrence’s Heisman campaign by throwing 3-yard dart after 3-yard dart under new offensive coordinator Jim Bollman’s wide-open run-and-gun scheme. After one quarter of play, the score is 1,000-0 and Jim Harbaugh begins bawling and has no choice but to concede the game, immediately resign, and accept a position as a grad assistant for Alabama. Kirk Cousins parachutes into the stadium from a fighter jet flawlessly piloted by Le’Veon Bell, his shouts of “You like that?!” ringing around the empty stadium. Mark Dantonio refuses to shake Jim Harbaugh’s hand and pushes him to the ground taunting him by asking him if “he had trouble with the snap.”

“That doesn’t even make sense,” mutters a completely dejected Harbaugh, but it’s too late and Mark Dantonio is giving him a noogie with the cleats worn by Devin Bush when he defiled Spartan Stadium.

Spartan Glory has been restored.

Alright, alright fan fiction sucks.

Michigan: 63, MSU: 10.

Comments

victors2000

October 31st, 2020 at 11:23 AM ^

In my worst case scenario Coach Tucker had his boys practicing for Michigan every single day, not giving Rutgers any respect, and paying for it. Minnesota's defensive mantra is apparently, 'We give'. While I still see us winning, my worst case scenario only has us up by two touchdowns or so.

 

Best case scenario has us winning by much much more, unsurprisingly.

mGrowOld

October 31st, 2020 at 9:33 AM ^

Take it from a guy with over 50 of these games under his belt that the following will happen:

1. We will get MSU's best effort.  The team you'll watch today will not resemble the team that lost to Rutgers.

2. As long as they remain within striking distance we will continue to get their best effort.

3. The split second the game is perceived out of reach they will quit and the floodgates will open.

The key to beating these guys is to jump on them early and take the "disrespect" motivation out of them.  Once that's gone, and I have a half century of first hand evidence to back it up, they die.

Blue in St Lou

October 31st, 2020 at 10:39 AM ^

I love waking up to Punt-Counterpunt. My MGoPoodles wonder why I'm laughing so hard, but when I explain it to them and they realize the game will be on soon and they'll get to wear their Michigan shirts, they sigh contentedly.

Guys, great job. Raj, I had never heard of fan fiction. What a sheltered life I've led.

Blue Vet

October 31st, 2020 at 10:41 AM ^

Mac: great analogies, and reasonable paranoia.

Raj: interesting but—obviously—not up to your best work. I calculate it's worth about $3.50.

Blue Vet (my response to Friday's preview):

I agree it's going to be more of a slog than anticipated. MSU's 7 turnovers suggests sheer incompetence but it's actually somewhere between incompetence and bad luck. UM's great numbers last week suggest brilliant play but two long runs are somewhere between UM brilliance and Minnie incompetence.

Any other team, I'd say 40-15. In MSU's biggest game of the year, I'll guess 24-10.

carolina blue

October 31st, 2020 at 11:16 AM ^

I hate this game, even when, maybe especially when, we are heavily favored. I grew up in the 90s, so I know what it used to be like...stupid shit. Get away with tripping, the clock game, just stupid crazy shit that allows them to win when they shouldn’t. 
mgrowold is right:get up on them early and they’ll quit. If not, strap in for a butt clenching game and hope they don’t pull another miracle. 

MadMatt

October 31st, 2020 at 11:18 AM ^

"Plato's cave with more violence."  Ooh!  I like that one; I'm gonna use it in more contexts than one would reasonably expect.  "Three yard darts" would be the phrase of the week if only the competition wasn't so tough.

I think Punt has a good point.  I got a sinking feeling in the off season watching Tucker's moves that he is going to be a much better coach than we expect.  Fortunately for this season, the talent difference is too large to change the result.

Dan86

October 31st, 2020 at 12:09 PM ^

Excellent writing by both authors! Internet Raj, I showed your work to my high school junior son, who is interested in fiction writing. He couldn’t stop laughing. Of course, most Sparties couldn’t write that well. However, that’s part of the inside joke.