This pretty much sums it up

Michigan Hockey Game #17: Minnesota 5, Michigan 1 Comment Count

David December 3rd, 2021 at 9:16 PM

*PSA: There will be no Breakdown on Saturday night. Yeah.*

 

CLICK HERE for Game Recap from Kristy McNeil and other pertinent information.

 

FINAL CORSI NUMBERS (www.collegehockeynews.com)

 

Total Attempts

Even Strength

Power Play

Close (within 1)

Even Strength %

Minnesota

51

48

3

9

42%

Michigan

70

54

16

9

58%

Forward Notes.

-Numbers do not tell the story, tonight, unfortunately.

-First of all, when the game was in doubt (most of the first period), Michigan could not enter the Minnesota zone. They also turned it over at the attacking blue line, leading to plural OMRs going the other way. More on that later. In the first period, Michigan got ZERO attempts from the House. We’re not even talking about shots. They could not get into the House at all and challenge Jack LaFontaine.

-Five of the Gopher defensemen are drafted…and they played like it. Once they had a lead, their in-zone defense got even better…if that’s possible. They disrupted anything Michigan tried to do in the end, deflecting pucks and anticipating passes. Michigan did not play particularly well, but Minnesota executed at an elite level.

-Alex kept chatting me about the scouting Minnesota must have done. And it looked like it. Credit Bob Matzko and his staff. They read the Wolverine entries well and took away Michigan’s dependables. They also locked down the Wolverine power play by beating Michigan to their spots…spoiler alert.

Defense Notes.

-Michigan’s defense was in disarray overall, all night. They gave up eight (!) OMRs and five in the first period and a half. Two of those were breakaways and two more were 2v1s. Usually, OMRs are addressed last, but tonight put them at the forefront. Giving talented players like Chaz Lucius and Matthew Knies great looks is a great way to bury yourself early. 

-Jacob Truscott did not have the best first period. He made a poor play in the neutral zone that lead to Minnesota’s first goal via a 2v1. Later on, he helped a beaten Luke Hughes but couldn’t contain the puck and his abandoned man finished the second goal. Luke Hughes was smoked by Knies, leading to the Lucius goal.

-Lastly, in comparison to Minnesota –who basically forced Michigan to sacrifice a limb to get near the slot- Michigan was allowing Gophers to walk into the House and Crease all night. Despite the goalies bailing them out a number of times, the Wolverines just cannot continuously cede those sorts of opportunities to a decent team…let alone and elite one like Minnesota. They paid for it all night.

 

 

 

 

SPECIAL TEAMS CHART

 

PP Opportunities

PP Corsi For

PP Shots/Minute

Minnesota

0/1

3

.5(1/2)

Michigan

0/5

16

.9(9/10)

Power Play. Michigan got a few chances with a man advantage and the Gophers had them very well-scouted. The Wolverines got their customary blasts from the dot, but the Gopher PK was mostly waiting for them. Jack LaFontaine made one big cross-crease save. Michigan mostly tries to get looks from the dots and straightaway. It seemed like Minnesota knew that was was completely prepared for it. The fourth power play finally got Nick Blankenburg a Grade A look from the slot. LaFontaine denied him, though.

 

Penalty Kill. Minnesota had one power play, but it came when the game was well in hand. They created a couple of decent chances, but other than a deflected shot that trickled just wide, Michigan was able to contain them.

 

Michigan vs Minnesota at Yost Ice Arena on November 27, 2021. (James Coller/MGoBlog)

 

This seems about right (James Coller)

GOALTENDING CHART

 

Michigan Shots Faced (House)

Minnesota Shots Faced (House)

First Period

14(9)

9(0)

Second Period

8(5)

8(5)

Third Period

8(6)

13(7)

Overtime

n/a

n/a

TOTAL

30(20!!)

31(12)

Notes. Erik Portillo started and was barely a footnote. While he gave up plenty of goals –and there could be arguments about him stopping one or another- he was hung out to dry with consistency. To his credit, Erik did make a number of point-blank stops, including multiple do-or-die in the transition. Noah West came in to relieve him to start the third period. FWIW, West played pretty well, stopping a breakaway and a 2v1.

 

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That seems to be a pretty good look (James Coller)

ODD MAN RUSH CHART

Defense

Rushes

Advs

Escape%

Offense

Rushes

Advs

Scoring%

1st Period

4

1v0, 2v1 x2, 3v2

75%

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

2nd Period

1

1v0

100%

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

3rd Period

3

1v0, 2v1 x3

100%

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

OT

n/a

n/a

n/a

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

Total

8

1v0 x2, 2v1 x5, 3v2

87.5%

 

n/a

n/a

n/a

Notes. Michigan was an OMR-ceding factory on Friday night. Most of those stemmed from not being able to carry the puck into the Minnesota zone. Regardless. The Gophers just came at the Wolverines on repeat. In the first period, Minnesota had 3 in 50 seconds at one point. Portillo actually did well, stopping four rushes, including two breakaways. The Gophers did cash a 2v1 to open the scoring.

Michigan created nary an OMR on Friday.

 

FINAL THOUGHTS

This is why we talked all year about how OMRs and defensive zone breakdowns can be crippling. While Michigan was able to avoid paying for them against inferior competition, that is not who walked into Yost on Friday night. Minnesota looked like they knew exactly what Michigan was going to do, and they straight up shut the Wolverines down. Michigan does have a chance to respond tomorrow, but Friday did not look like a fluke. The season still has months to go and games to play, but the list of things to to address to change is getting long.

Comments

lhglrkwg

December 3rd, 2021 at 9:35 PM ^

That was...bad. Minnesota undressed us in our own defense zone like we do to the crappy teams on our schedule. At this point, I'm not sure what can be done with this team. They're just bad on defense.

Theyre a tournament team, but they're so rickety on the back end I could see them getting bombed out of the first round just as much as I could see them making a run

stephenrjking

December 3rd, 2021 at 10:29 PM ^

I think that's a little defeatist. The team can learn to play defense consistently. Michigan teams have done so before. *This* team has done so before--when things were tight-checking against Mankato and UMD, Michigan buckled down, secured their own zone first, and moved forward. The Mankato game was a low-amplitude tight-play affair, but they worked hard to keep chances down.

It's in there. This might be what finally jogs it. 

Honker Burger

December 3rd, 2021 at 10:16 PM ^

I saw a take in the game thread asking if Mel Pearson was just a good recruiter/bad coach. He's a good coach.

For people who don't actually follow college hockey, despite having all these draft picks, Michigan is a young team. The difference between a roster full of 18-20 year olds and one with 22-25 year olds is MASSIVE. The majority of teams that have won championships in the last ~10 seasons have been on the older side. It's why you've seen teams like UMass, Duluth (now with 3 championships), Providence, Union, Yale all win their first championships in school history. Senior laden rosters with players on the older side, can beat a more 'talented/potential' team based on experience and size from being 4-5 years older on average. A lot of the smaller schools tend to have older players (players who have spent several years in juniors and then start college).

This team has an extraordinary amount of talent and potential, but at this point are not a great TEAM yet. As mentioned above, you can't continually give up OMR and have regular defensive zone breakdowns.

People saw all these top 5 draft picks at the beginning of the season and thought we would just blow through competition all year long. That was never going to happen, and is an unfair expectation of the team.

There is a lot to work on for the next few months going forward, including playing more cohesive as a TEAM. The team has the potential to win a championship. But don't be surprised to see an early tournament exit, both from the randomness of 1-and-done tournament hockey games, and having a young team prone to regular breakdowns. That wouldn't be a failure, just a reality of the way college hockey is.