Michigan Hockey 2018-19, Game #17: Minnesota 4, Michigan 3
OFFENSE
Corsi |
House |
Possession % |
|
First Period |
18 | 10 | 53% |
Second Period |
30 | 9 | 77% |
Third Period |
23 | 7 | 53% |
Overtime |
n/a | n/a | n/a |
TOTAL |
71 | 26 | 61% |
Analysis: Lots of shots. Great shots? Enough, yes. Goals? I guess they had three while at even strength. So, that’s good. However, the story is the same. Michigan generally gets good, not great shots for average, not great shooters. I think one of the bigger takeaways from all of this is the coaching job Pearson has done. He’s instilled a possession-dominant system and given his hard-working forwards chances to succeed by getting a ton of pucks to the net. Good goaltending, not enough puck luck, and less-than-elite goal-scoring talent are all obstacles that the Wolverines come close to overcoming, but keep coming up just short. They’re doing the right things. That is the positive. Let’s end on that.
DEFENSE
Corsi |
House |
Possession % |
|
First Period |
16 | 9 | 47% |
Second Period |
9 | 3 | 23% |
Third Period |
20 | 7 | 47% |
Overtime |
n/a | n/a | n/a |
TOTAL |
45 | 19 | 39% |
Analysis: Once again, inconsistency. Michigan was overwhelmed and outskated to start and got blitzed. They then kept their House clean for a long stretch. They got outworked to start the third and paid for it. The last goal was a tough, gritty goal that will happen sometimes. We’ve seen Michigan dominate on the defensive end against almost all of the Big Ten teams so far. They’ve also gotten extremely lax. The talent is there. Sometimes, the organization and desire is not.
Sometimes you just gotta truck someone [Rapai]
SPECIAL TEAMS
PP For |
PP Against |
PP Corsi For |
PP Corsi Against |
PP Shots/Min For |
PP Shots/Min Against |
|
First Period |
0/2 | 0/1 | 10 | n/a | 1(4/4) | n/a |
Second Period |
0/2 | n/a | 11 | n/a | 1.75(7/4) | n/a |
Third Period |
0/2 | n/a | 4 | n/a | .75(3/4) | n/a |
Overtime |
n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
TOTAL |
0/6 | 0/1 | 25 | n/a | .92(11/12) | n/a |
Analysis: Michigan gave up one power play and shut it down. Their penalty kill has looked better and better lately, but not having to use it at all is definitely the way to go.
The Wolverines had six man-advantages and created a lot of looks at the net. Look at the numbers. They threw 25 pucks at the net and averaged about a shot per minute. That’s not bad, but nothing went in. I feel like I keep typing this?
He’s the Mann [Rapai]
GOALTENDING
Shots Faced |
Shots from House Faced |
|
First Period |
10 | 7 |
Second Period |
9 | 4 |
Third Period |
9 | 6 |
Overtime |
n/a | n/a |
TOTAL |
28 | 17 |
Analysis: Strauss Mann started in net again and played very well. I don’t think any of the goals can be placed on him. Minnesota had a 3v1 goal; an unchecked attacker in the slot after Mann made a tremendous first save; the game-tier on which he made a few previous saves and was all but abandoned in the crease; and the low-slot tipped shot for the game-winner. I hope he continues to stay in net because he’s looked consistent and made big saves…just not all of the impossible ones. Which, come on. Frustrating for him because he plays well enough to win a lot of games.
ODD-MAN RUSHES
Defense |
Rushes |
Advs |
Escape% |
Offense |
Rushes |
Advs |
Scoring% |
1st Period |
2 | 3v1, 3v2 | 50% | 2 | 1v0 x2 | 50% | |
2nd Period |
1 | 2v1 | 100% | 3 | 2v1 x2, 4v2 | 0% | |
3rd Period |
1 | 1v0 | 100% | 1 | 2v1 | 0% | |
OT |
n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a | |
Total |
4 | 1v0, 2v1, 3v1, 3v2 | 75% | 6 | 1v0 x2, 2v1 x3, 4v2 | 17% |
Analysis: Michigan gave up four OMRs tonight. Like last night, this is way too many. It burned them right away as the Gophers got a 3v1 and converted. The other OMRs generated a whiff, a breakaway save, and a shot that missed the net. The consistency of defensive awareness is alarming.
Michigan also generated six (!) OMRs. Nolan Moyle made a nice play in the zone to shield away a defender and led Nick Pasta on a breakaway that he finished. Hooray. They had numerous 2v1s that didn’t become dangerous. Warren also had a break that he was denied on by Robson. Like the rest of the offense, the lack of elite scoring showed up in the phase as well.
FINAL CORSI NUMBERS
I had: Michigan 71(26), Minnesota 45(19)
www.collegehockeynews.com had: Michigan 70, Minnesota 46
December 9th, 2018 at 8:06 AM ^
What can a disappointment the Hockey team has been
December 9th, 2018 at 8:57 AM ^
Depends on how you define disappointment. The team as a whole has played pretty damn well. An issue has been finding secondary scoring from a young team with a lot of newcomers.
The analytics all point to Michigan being a really good team with some bad puck luck. Maybe the pucks will start falling our way, maybe they won’t.
December 9th, 2018 at 9:15 AM ^
What are "Corsi" and "House"?
December 9th, 2018 at 2:35 PM ^
“Corsi is an advanced statistic used in hockey to measure shot attempt differential while at even strength play. This includes shots on goal, missed shots on goal, and blocked shot attempts towards the opposition’s net minus the same shot attempts directed at your own team’s net.”
”House” is the area from the posts to the face off dots, to the top of the circles, and across (looks like a house, hence the name). This is where the vast majority of goals are scored so it’s basically a measure of quality shots as opposed to shots in general.
December 9th, 2018 at 4:13 PM ^
Corsi is still pretty fuzzy to me. For instance, why are separate Corsi numbers listed for offense and defense? If it’s really just all your shot attempts minus your opponents then isn’t the result just one number?
Also, if M had a Corsi of 16 in the first period does that really mean they attemped 16 more shots than the opponent? That seems like a lot.
Any addional clarification would be most welcome.
December 9th, 2018 at 6:48 PM ^
Here Is the formula the NHL uses, Is assume NCAA is similar.
Corsi For (CF) = Shot attempts for at even strength: Shots + Blocks + Misses
- Corsi Against (CA) = Shot attempts against at even strength: Shots + Blocks + Misses
- Corsi (C) = CF - CA
- Corsi For % (CF%) = CF / (CF + CA)
- Corsi For % Relative (CF% Rel) = CF% - CFOff%
- Corsi Per 60 Minutes at Even Strength(C/60) = (CF - CA) * 60 / TOI
- Relative Corsi per 60 Minutes at Even Strength (Crel/60) = CF/60 - CFoff/60 = On-Ice Corsi For / 60 Minutes - Off-Ice Corsi For / 60 Minutes
I would also assume the two numbers you see would be Corsi For and Corsi Against.
December 10th, 2018 at 12:09 AM ^
Thanks. Corsi for/against makes sense.
December 9th, 2018 at 9:16 AM ^
FUUUUUUUDDDGE
Only I didn’t say fudge.
December 9th, 2018 at 2:51 PM ^
Break can only help this team.
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