WHO: Second wave of COVID-19 seems less likely.

Submitted by champswest on May 26th, 2020 at 10:26 AM

Sorry for not having a link. This appears on Reddit. Can be found by googling Dr. Maria Neira COVID-19 second wave.

 

The article is in Spanish so here's a rough translation:

WHO sees a second major wave of COVID-19 increasingly unlikely

The director of Public Health of the World Health Organization (WHO) , María Neira , said on Monday that the models they work with are "increasingly" ruling out a second wave of the coronavirus.

However, Neira has called for "great caution" and "common sense" in this "very critical" phase of the pandemic (de-escalation), and, in statements to RAC-1, has requested that the population should not be paranoid nor should they relax too much, but they should "learn to live with infectious diseases ".

“There are many models that predict many probabilities such as a punctual regrowth or a major wave, but this last possibility is increasingly being ruled out. We are much better prepared in all areas'', said the Spanish doctor.

According to Neira, “ we have lowered the transmission rate so much that the virus will have difficulty surviving . We must be very careful to say whether this is the end of the wave, but the data at least shows us that the transmission and explosion of the first weeks have been avoided''.

However, she pointed out that "it is worth not making many forecasts because the next few weeks are a very critical phase."

«With reopening you have to see how the virus behaves. We hope there will be no other outbreaks, but it will be a day-to-day battle. In two or three weeks we will see what has happened and if it is necessary to correct it surgically ”, she said about the de-escalation in phase 1 that all of Spain has entered.

Neira has acknowledged that the WHO still has "certain doubts about the relationship of the virus with the weather" , although they are seeing that "it is doing the geographical route expected of a virus that wants to survive".

Eng1980

May 26th, 2020 at 7:04 PM ^

What wasn't said.  Peter Drucker (world's greatest business consultant a few generations back) once said that it is important or very helpful to compare what wasn't said to what was said to what was it that you wanted said.

I have been using reports and studies from the CDC and many other well known organizations for a few years.  I believe that the vast majority of their material is true and correct but damn if they don't put lots of conditions on carefully worded tests.  There are lots of true reports published by the CDC or NHI or AMA that are funded by the manufacturer.  The reports are true but they leave out all the expected limitations so you have to figure them out for yourself.

mackbru

May 26th, 2020 at 10:59 PM ^

WHO didn't say that. If you'd taken a half second to check Google, you would have found this:

The World Health Organization is warning of a second peak – not necessarily a second wave – of coronavirus cases. 

During a media briefing on Monday, Dr. Mike Ryan, executive director of WHO’s Health Emergencies Programme, said right now, we are “right in the middle of the first wave, globally."

“We're still very much in a phase where the disease is actually on the way up," he added.

“We need to be also cognizant of the fact that the disease can jump up at any time. We cannot make assumptions that just because the disease is on the way down now that it's going to keep going down, and the way to get a number of months to get ready for a second wave – we may get a second peak in this way,” Ryan said.

Ryan warned that a second peak or wave could come during the normal influenza season, “which will greatly complicate things for disease control.”

MichiganStan

May 27th, 2020 at 3:22 AM ^

Seriously fuck the WHO. They flipflop back and forth way too much. They cause so much confusion and panic. And obviously the whole running cover for China thing