that is nice bonus change
So, a couple years ago, monuMental made an entirely amazing wallpaper for the first UTL game. Being a large fan of monuMental's work and contribution to the blog, I modified his version for post-game purposes (the preview pics are gone but the Skydrive link should still work).
Please note: the above is only a preview version and you should download the widescreen version here. (Yes, I am lame and only did one version.)
Thanks again to monuMental and all credit really belongs to him for the original art and concept.
I have two quick questions about College Gameday. I'm a sophomore, and therefore was not here when College Gameday was in town for the 1st UTL game. Can anyone that went tell me how early you showed up, and how good your spot in the crowd was? Is it worth being there if you show up at, say, 8AM and you're behind a massive amount of people?
Also, would my cowbell be confiscated if I were to bring it? Anyone with past college gameday expirience is welcome to share their expiriences.
According to the Sagarin ratings, which predict actual game outcomes:*
IN BB, UM is #1 in the B1G. In the nation, UM is #3, IND #4, and Ohio is not in the top 10.*
IN FB, on a neutral field UM would still be favored over Ohio (by 0.15 pts). Why? UM’s nonconference opponents included the two teams now favored to be in the national title game. By contrast, Ohio’s “marquee” nonconference game this year supposedly was Cal, which is now not even in the top 70 nationally. Moreover, Ohio’s other wins were often very narrow. In fact, even for the UM game, they were only +2 pts after subtracting 3pts for home field (not even considering the injury to UM’s starting QB).
What then should we make of Ohio’s claim that they could win the AP national title? That claim should be laughable to any educated voter. In fact, Ohio is not even ranked in the top 20 nationally by Sagarin (they are #24, whereas UM is #22). Also, Ohio will not be tested in a competitive bowl or conference championship. Indeed, in the latter, on a neutral field, they would be favored by less than half a point vs WISC, 2.5 pts vs NW and they would be underdogs to both NEB and UM.
Interestingly, ND's delusions of grandeur also should be tempered. Although human pollsters will no doubt put them #1, would ND actually be favored to beat all the other teams according unbiased Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings? No, not at this point. Why? ND had many narrow wins, even over marginal teams and teams expected to be huge challenges--like USC--turned out not to be so great. Thus, by Sagarin's ratings, while ALA is #1 and Oregon #2, ND is only #3 Both ALA and OR both would be favored over ND by large margins on a neutral field. In addition, unlike ALA but like Ohio, ND will not be tested in a conference championship game.
*I report only those ratings that predict actual game outcomes. For BB I take the average of ELO and PREDICTOR ratings. For FB, I report only PREDICTOR ratings (not the ELO-CHESS, which is used by the BCS but does not consider margin of victory or predict actual game outcomes).
What's your prediction for the score this weekend?
I think ND's woeful lack of experience in the secondary, combined with their struggles defending runs to the outside is a nightmare matchup against Denard. I haven' t been terribly impressed by ND's offense either. Golson looks fine rolling out, but while he has the arm strength to make any downfield throw, the accuracy is seemingly lacking.
My prediction: 35-17, Michigan.
Brian Kelly's goes all:
in the 4th quarter.
this week's miniprogram. comments, corrections, etc. are always welcome.