Niko Porikos grew up in an NTDP billet home. Cool story.
Does anyone know if we have the longest stretch in college football without a punt or kick return for a TD? My understanding is our last was Stonum against ND in 2009. We had a blocked punt returned slightly more recent but I was wondering about an unblocked punt or kick return.
I want to really understand how historic this will be when Peppers runs one back!
Bud Goode (now deceased) might have been the first stats guy to look at data and the NFL. He dates to 1959. He believed (eventually) that “The single most meaningful independent statistic in pro football is Yards Per Pass Attempt Differential.” I have been looking at this for over a decade and believe that net YPPA provides the best sort of team quality. Many others disagree, and use a variety of data in their models. The thing is, when I look at these sorts at the end of a season, net YPPA still tends to evaluate teams “better” (holistic, to some extent, I agree) than any single or multiple algorithms. Well, believe or not, here is the current taxonomy, with data taken from Ed Feng’s The Power Rank. The NCAA (erroneously) lumps sacks in with rushing yards and Ed puts them in the right places. I note that Ed doesn’t agree with me on this (he is a PHD on point, I am just a second rate lawyer). Caveat.
1. OSU +2.83
2. UM +2.72
3. Northwestern +2.30
4. Iowa +1.83
5. Wiscy +1.69
6. MSU +1.43
7. PSU +1.22
8. Rutgers +0.50
9. Indy +0.48
10. Illini +0.40
11. Minny +0.33
12. Nebraska -0.50
13. Purdue -0.65
14. MD (20/20) -0.97
Other warnings. Limited data to this point in time. But, there are enough trials to begin to push relevance. A bigger issue is SOS. I have never done it but I suppose one could use Sagarin (or other measure) to adjust these numbers.
Over the years a multiplier of 5 tends to fit with turnover neutral outcomes and not adjusting for home fields. That is, a multiplier of “5” has tended to fit the measure to points.
So, let’s look at UM and NU. UM is plus .42. Adjusting (via Sagarin) for SOS (UM’s is 4% stronger) so call the delta .4386. Times 5 is 2.19 points. Home field? I might say about 4 in this one, unless we get the O’Neill crew (all bets off). I don’t know if anyone has studied college HF advantages, other than assigning an arbitrary “3”. So, in my mind, in a TO neutral game I like UM by 6.
Graham Glasgow made some poor decisions with alcohol and is paying the piper for it, but not in the way you would expect. Instead of suspension or other conventional methods of punishment, Harbaugh made him move in with his Grandma.
The legend of Harbaugh continues.
This is just too sweet. Thank god he's doing it to a different traditional powerhouse this time.
On 22 first or second downs, the Vols ran the ball 20 times and passed just twice. They got too far behind the sticks, and ran rinky-dink running plays.
This is a scared-to-lose offense. It's an attempt to burn as much clock as possible, but when it fails, it has the opposite result, ending drives quickly without moving.
Greetings fellow Michigan faithful.
I'm thinking the keys to winning Saturday are framed with very little room for error.
Northwestern is a very dangerous team. They have confidence, solid leadership, very good personnel; and what stands out the most to me is that they're being somewhat disrespected by all the media pundits picking Michigan by a comfortable margin. I think this team is going to come into the big house with a big chip on their shoulder and throwing haymakers.
Here are my keys to victory:
1. Come to knock them out. Michigan has to match blow for blow early and throw their own knockout punches. Finishing this team early is the ideal outcome.
2. Efficiency. Every opportunity will need to be seized.
3. Focus. Michigan has to have complete focus on each down. Receivers need to see the ball into their hands and the DBs must catch the INT balls thrown their way.
4. The next step for the defense is to score the ball. Pick six, safety.
What do you guys think are the keys?
The Northwestern hype train will be making it's final stop at the Big House on Saturday.