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Date Title Body
11/08/2018 - 7:23pm Not to take this on a…

Not to take this on a tangent, but wonder what SECFans would say about this. Funny--haven't heard much from them since last Saturday.

11/08/2018 - 1:45pm I had the same question…

I had the same question. Based on (I believe Seth's) write-up on RPO stuff, I assumed he would read the MLB to see whether he sucks up or drops back, but SP's eyes certainly seemed to be on the WLB. 

11/08/2018 - 10:40am Three garbed patriots

Stand…

Three garbed patriots

Stand about poised and restless

Cannon rests silent

11/08/2018 - 10:37am In Fall leaves are burned.

In Fall leaves are burned.

Ash falls from a blackened sky

on strewn Scarlet men.

11/07/2018 - 6:52pm I don't disagree. At the…

I don't disagree. At the same time, they're undefeated, so very hard to not include them.

11/07/2018 - 2:58pm I'm giddy!

I'm giddy!

11/07/2018 - 12:06pm There was just an article…

There was just an article out about how Don Brown advises NFL and other college coaches in the off season. Oddly, the people who get most uptight about this stuff are the people who don't actually play or coach.

Give away game prep to a foe--absolutely not. Give general thoughts about a common opponent or about the game in general--that's just being decent.

It's possible to have character and still win (with or without cruelty).

11/06/2018 - 3:50pm Normally I'm not a big fan…

Normally I'm not a big fan of guessing the better team by common opponents (match ups make a big difference). Looking at how each team has performed over the entire course of the season thus far, however, I would say that UM has looked stronger overall (and that's reflected in S&P+, polls, etc.). In this case, looking at match-ups as well, their strength is passing and ours is defending the pass. Our offensive strength is running the ball, and their defensive strength is...tbd. 

Taken together, these factors give me as much confidence going into The Game as I've had in quite a while. Still, though--tough place to play, and history is not on our side.

11/05/2018 - 4:52pm Your argument is that the…

Your argument is that the SEC and ACC are good because they have more star recruits. But if a conference (to choose an extreme example) has twice as many teams, but the same number of star recruits, the conference may not be good at all, but your analysis would treat them the same. I think your analysis, and assumptions, need some refinement.

11/05/2018 - 4:27pm I think it's more about his…

I think it's more about his athleticism--which is off the charts. When you have a DE who could also play WR, that's just crazy athleticism. Add to that a build that could easily add 30 lbs, and Mattison's coaching, and that's an absolute monster in the making.

11/05/2018 - 2:57pm So you can tell how good a…

So you can tell how good a team is by how the conference as a whole recruits? And that's based on total numbers, not which teams pull in which? And we can ignore that some conferences have more teams than others? Or the distribution of those stars among various teams?

But USC doesn't count?

I appreciate the effort, but this analysis doesn't seem to tell me much about how strong each conference is, particularly compared to what I can project from S&P+, etc. I have to think that talent development, coaching, etc. have an impact. Not to mention the ability of certain teams to scout better than the "experts" at ESPN, 247, etc. Otherwise, let's just give the best recruiting schools the MNC and not bother with all these games. I remember a number of Tennessee teams that recruited lights-out, and then won squat. Insert the team of your choice.

11/05/2018 - 12:29pm Thanks, Sunshine.

Thanks, Sunshine.

11/05/2018 - 12:02pm I got a license frame-…

I got a license frame--subtle and tasteful.

11/04/2018 - 4:59pm 100% chance of pain. 

100% chance of pain. 

11/02/2018 - 2:07pm 3 thoughts:

1) You likely…

3 thoughts:

1) You likely will be able to watch the game via the world wide webs

2) Prioritize people over all else

3) Make a decision! Decide now! Even a bad decision is likely better than the slow torture of pondering a question and then half-assing it. And don't question your decision unless there's a good reason (i.e., new facts are discovered, not just someone complaining).

11/01/2018 - 1:53pm I feel dumber now.

I feel dumber now.

10/31/2018 - 12:11pm I think you're right--they…

I think you're right--they stay afloat with big plays. Bit of all-or-nothing both on O and D. I think UM's D can tend to give up the big play on occasion--opposite of the bend-don't-break. The main issue may be whether Brown's defense can stay aggressive without giving up the chunks. Normally I would say more zone, but that may be an invitation for McSorely to pick us apart, and I was not terribly impressed by any of their receivers not named Hamler. Not sure they can get separation, out leap us, or even hold onto contested catches.

I'm not the expert, but might be another good game to go mostly man-to-man with a few of the "trap" zones, and have Bush drop back or "spy" a bit. Maybe a similar plan to what we ran against MSU.

10/30/2018 - 10:32am It's allowed because it's…

It's allowed because it's not actually tobacco but a mix of raw steak, metal and crushed glass.

10/30/2018 - 9:26am I was raised in San Diego,…

I was raised in San Diego, have lived in L.A., Chicago, A2, North Carolina and TN. There are certainly parts of the South that suck, as there are parts of the North. I dare you to spend a weekend in Nashville, Chapel Hill, Miami or N'Orleans and tell me you had a bad time. If you can do that, you have no soul.

10/28/2018 - 5:25pm Per S&P+, PSU's offense and…

Per S&P+, PSU's offense and defense are about equally meh. They're slightly ahead of us on O, but way behind with D, obviously. They're still top 10, and if I read S&P correctly, we're about 6 points better on a neutral field. I think we win by 2 scores with home field advantage and Franklin dumbassery, but I think the line is slightly aggressive.

10/25/2018 - 1:15pm I think this makes sense. It…

I think this makes sense. It doesn't take into account point differentials, but I'm okay with that, as the goal in these games is binary: win or lose. How do you handle a tie? I would likely use, first, any head-to-head, then some sort of fancystats ranking.

10/24/2018 - 6:22pm Something I'll never…

Something I'll never understand--reprimanding a coach for criticizing ref's or the other team, even if everything the coach says is factual or a statement of a valid opinion. Pure image above substance and hypocrisy to my eyes.

10/24/2018 - 3:00pm I'm not sure they actually…

I'm not sure they actually do. Per the article, "Contenders are listed by record and in order of FPI rank.". UGA has the same record and, apparently, a better FPI.

10/24/2018 - 2:09pm I don't know the details,…

I don't know the details, but using the defense of "my attorneys said it was okay" can waive the attorney-client privilege, thus making all the communications with the attorney subject to discovery. If that was done without a full explanation of the risks to the client, and a full consent, it seems a fire-able offense to me.  

10/24/2018 - 10:44am I agree with the above and a…

I agree with the above and a lot of the comments. I don't know that it's just a question of being "conservative," however. It's more about making smart reads and accurate throws. I can think of a few instances (including against MSU) where we were damn lucky not to have a pick. I think the biggest issue is Shea getting comfortable with both our system and, especially, zone defenses in a system that relies much more on him making sophisticated reads. At Ol Miss, as I understand it, he had much simpler reads and a simpler offense. I think the off week, and more "time on task" as Harbaugh likes to say, will work wonders.

10/23/2018 - 12:51pm Thanks for this background…

Thanks for this background. A bit hard for UM fans to believe--too much heartache of late.

Any thoughts on PSU in two weeks?

10/16/2018 - 6:20pm Thanks for doing this. The…

Thanks for doing this. The first link seems to be broken.

10/16/2018 - 5:07pm I suggest learning at least…

I suggest learning at least a few phrases in the native language. I found that "thank you," "where is the bathroom?" and "the fucking couch is on fire!" can come in handy.

 

10/16/2018 - 3:02pm Start my day with 5 raw eggs…

Start my day with 5 raw eggs; go down to the local cave and punch a grizzly in the balls; shave my head with a cheese grater; raze and then rebuild the governor's mansion and pull it by rope through the center of town; and then look sideways at the meanest dog in town. 

My usual Saturday.

10/15/2018 - 1:17pm Woot!! 

Congratulations,…

Woot!! 

Congratulations, everybody! We've now landed on the best possible problem to have.

It's good to have 1st-world problems again!

10/15/2018 - 9:10am Should have updated…

Should have updated previously--Nashville is now meeting at The Slider House, 1907 Division St, Nashville, TN 37203.

10/10/2018 - 6:52am It's a good question. Courts…

It's a good question. Courts are giving a hard look at certain actions of professional boards, particularly where members are solely professionals, as being a restraint of trade. 

10/08/2018 - 7:06pm Ace: Wishing you nothing but…

Ace: Wishing you nothing but health, contentment and ease in all things. I know that you will be strong and an amazing advocate.

10/08/2018 - 12:21pm Sadly, I won't be able to…

Sadly, I won't be able to attend in person. How about something like,

"No Hornibrook can penetrate Bush's D" or

"Paul Chryst watches The Phantom Menace on fullscreen DVD"

10/02/2018 - 2:46pm Wink, wink, nudge, nudge, …

Wink, wink, nudge, nudge, "Hey, kid. We got the biggest alumni pool in the world. Someday, you know, one of those rich alumni might hire you because you got a great education and, you know, could provide a return on investment, if you know what I mean."

Clearly, our recruitment strategy of promoting UM for its good education and alumni base is a violation of improper benefit rules.

09/29/2018 - 12:36pm [Spoiler alert] You can find…

[Spoiler alert] You can find the full game description, in advance, reading Dante's Inferno, Circle 8.

09/27/2018 - 3:29pm Li'l 8ball.

Li'l 8ball.

09/27/2018 - 2:39pm ChiBlueBoy Cook. After the…

ChiBlueBoy Cook. After the father.

09/21/2018 - 5:57pm Good work. I'm curious, do…

Good work. I'm curious, do you compare your analysis to the UFRs, and if so, do you see much difference? Any thoughts to do some defensive analysis?

Thanks!

09/20/2018 - 9:18am Seas of golden maize

Sun…

Seas of golden maize

Sun glitters in a Big House

Blue conquers the red.

09/18/2018 - 7:42pm You're absolutely permitted…

You're absolutely permitted an opinion. And the OP is--uhm--misguided in my view.

I think the issue is that people assume that insider knowledge about the program automatically equals heightened knowledge about football in general. You've proven your knowledge about the program. While I haven't read every message you've posted, I'm not aware of you sharing your background sufficiently that we can automatically assume that your thoughts on the play of the team as a whole are more valid than, for example, my craptastic opinions. This might be mitigated if you were giving long analyses of why, for example, you think the offense is too vanilla (Xs and Os plus weighing possibilities like JH is waiting for the meat of the schedule before breaking things out). Of course, you're free to post your conclusions without adding your reasoning, just like everyone else. But given your reputation here, people want to give your opinions heightened value. Not sure it's completely fair to you or us, but it's an outcome of perhaps holding you in too great of esteem not knowing your full background.

09/18/2018 - 12:57pm umbig is Chris Balas, but…

umbig is Chris Balas, but fast.

09/13/2018 - 1:06pm Excellent analysis. Thanks!

Excellent analysis. Thanks!

09/13/2018 - 12:58pm When you say "Cyans and…

Seth:

When you say "Cyans and stars are relative," do you mean relative to the player's own team or viz the opponent? If they're relative to the team the player is on, shouldn't every team have, more-or-less, the same number of stars and cyan circles? If to the opposition, shouldn't some teams have none or a bunch? I always assumed these were somewhat objective and tied to performance against overall expectations of a D1 player.

09/12/2018 - 3:29pm I think it's a variety of…

I think it's a variety of Devin Gardner PTSD. Put them in too soon, they get absolutely smoked, and they lose confidence. Wait until the game slows down a little--let them struggle, but not so much that they give up or over-react.

09/12/2018 - 2:27pm I found this interesting too…

I found this interesting too, but I wouldn't read too much into it. With our running game, one small adjustment or juke can turn a bad play into a touchdown.

It also could be that they're willing to burn some plays in order to set up big-play counters. I think we may do a bit more shotgun as we get into B1G play, but don't be surprised if we keep a solid rotation of under center, knowing that some runs are going for short or no gains, but that they are constraints or could turn into major gains.

09/12/2018 - 1:16pm Love this level of analysis…

Love this level of analysis. Thanks, Seth!

09/10/2018 - 6:24pm Let's just shut this thread…

Let's just shut this thread down now. This is a discussion that requires taking into account a delicate balance between rights of accused and the ability of rapists and assailants to further harm their victims. The discussion needs to take into account the venue here, Title IX, as well as power dynamics and history. Given the past postings on here, including by the OP, I have zero hope that this will be a beneficial discussion.

With that said, I'm out of this thread.

09/04/2018 - 6:45pm Who the hell are you to tell…

Who the hell are you to tell a victim whether or not she should put herself through the hell that is testifying in court? It's her right to choose whether to do so. If you had paid attention to her story, she lays out the reasons for her choices. 

Would someone please, yet again, ban this ass?

09/04/2018 - 5:23pm This is pure trolling,…

This is pure trolling, consistent with your long history of saying jerky things to get a reaction. While it's certainly possible that you are this idiotic, I imagine you understand that not all activism is political activism, and that this is all about engaging athletes to help prevent rape/DV, not promoting a politically divisive viewpoint. 

Please just stop this. Whatever low self esteem or borderline personality issues you may be dealing with, they are best addressed with therapy rather than spreading your illness over the internet.