Tate the Great

Submitted by TheTruth on

I feel the Newsome exit is a blessing.  Yes he is increadibly talented.  Yes most UM fans including myself were salivating over this prospect.  But what I failed to realize and consider is what would be best for the program and this offense.  I concluded that the ideal QB for the system that Rich will run here involves a mobile, highly accurate QB.  Having a very accurate QB forces the defense to play a little tighter in coverage with maybe less zone and will allow a guy like Tate who can move but is not a burner to be very effective with their feet.  I for one am now salivating over the fact that the number 1 rated QB for accuracy is all but committed to UM and he WANTS to compete.  Beaver is also extremely talented and both are putting the team first.  I prefer to see Michigan pulling in the big WR recruits and throwing the football around and with Forcier that is more of a possibility than with Knew.  So in conclusion, tho nothing is guaranteed, I would like to see a Forcier Beaver class over a Newsome Beaver (although Newsome Beaver is a great adult film star name). 

dex

August 22nd, 2008 at 11:06 AM ^

And you have figured out the kind of offense RR wants to run by 2 minute video clips and baseless speculation? Or did you time travel to 2011 and look at some stats? A nice sit down dinner with RR at the Gandy Dancer? Are you actually RR?

TheTruth

August 22nd, 2008 at 12:07 PM ^

he has said they dont want to run as much as at wvu, has talked about keeping the WR tradition, and numerous recruits have mentioned that they just dont want to block down field.  bryce mcneal even came out and said he is watching to see if the offense is throwing the football down field, what makes you think 2010 recruits and other 2009 recruits arent watching for the same or what guys michigan is bringing in?  If you are a big time wideout with nfl aspirations, why would you come to michigan if they are running 70% of the time?

In reply to by TheTruth

baleedat

August 22nd, 2008 at 12:20 PM ^

"he has said they dont want to run as much as at wvu, has talked about keeping the WR tradition..."

i hope it's true, but i don't remember RR ever saying this. can you provide a link/quote? can anybody else confirm this?

k bizzle

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:52 PM ^

The Huge Show was in AA yesterday with a full afternoon of interviews with the coaches and players. I forget the exact words from RR but he did say he wanted to invole the passing as much as he can. I think once he gets "His" guys in here they will end up passing more. Can't find the interview now, it is not up on there site, but I'm sure it will be soon.

 He also talked about the injuries as well.

 With all this Forcier talk, football can't get here fast enough. I want to talk about actual games instead of recruits and how they will be this and that great or better then the other.

 GO BLUE!!!!!

k bizzle

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:52 PM ^

The Huge Show was in AA yesterday with a full afternoon of interviews with the coaches and players. I forget the exact words from RR but he did say he wanted to invole the passing as much as he can. I think once he gets "His" guys in here they will end up passing more. Can't find the interview now, it is not up on there site, but I'm sure it will be soon.

 He also talked about the injuries as well.

 With all this Forcier talk, football can't get here fast enough. I want to talk about actual games instead of recruits and how they will be this and that great or better then the other.

 GO BLUE!!!!!

k bizzle

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:52 PM ^

The Huge Show was in AA yesterday with a full afternoon of interviews with the coaches and players. I forget the exact words from RR but he did say he wanted to invole the passing as much as he can. I think once he gets "His" guys in here they will end up passing more. Can't find the interview now, it is not up on there site, but I'm sure it will be soon.

 He also talked about the injuries as well.

 With all this Forcier talk, football can't get here fast enough. I want to talk about actual games instead of recruits and how they will be this and that great or better then the other.

 GO BLUE!!!!!

k bizzle

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:52 PM ^

The Huge Show was in AA yesterday with a full afternoon of interviews with the coaches and players. I forget the exact words from RR but he did say he wanted to invole the passing as much as he can. I think once he gets "His" guys in here they will end up passing more. Can't find the interview now, it is not up on there site, but I'm sure it will be soon.

 He also talked about the injuries as well.

 With all this Forcier talk, football can't get here fast enough. I want to talk about actual games instead of recruits and how they will be this and that great or better then the other.

 GO BLUE!!!!!

Tubes

August 22nd, 2008 at 11:43 AM ^

I am no football genius, but it would seem that if there was an offense that did NOT put a premium on passing accuracy, it would be the one Rodriguez installed at WVU over the past few years.

Sincerely,

Pat White's Heisman Campaigns

chitownblue (not verified)

August 22nd, 2008 at 11:50 AM ^

It should also be said that over their respective high school careers, Forcier has been a more frequent and effective runner than Kevin Newsome. Newsome is frequently described as a "pocket-passer". So, despite his skin color, his style of play is not more run-focused or lacking in passing than Forcier.

kgh10

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:18 PM ^

Although you are correct about how they play in H.S., I believe Tate will translate into more of a passer in college and at least for the first year or two, Kevin more of a runner in college.

Obviously we won't know for a while if this is the case, but Tate's passing prowess will allow him to be more of a passing threat in the game whereas his speed/athleticism might not be enough to consistently be a threat against college defenders. On the flip side, Kevin might be able to make passes vs. H.S. DBs now, but in the college game I see him having to rely more on his athleticism and running ability for one or two seasons, maybe more.

This isn't a case for or against either of them, but I get why people are thinking Tate will be a better option as a passer than Newsome early on, and Newsome more of a running threat (even though Tate is the more effective runner in H.S.)...it's just how it will possibly translate once they get to the next level.

Tacopants

August 22nd, 2008 at 11:49 AM ^

I think that if the coaching staff thought a Forcier/Beaver incoming class was going to be better than a Newsome/Beaver or a Newsome/Forcier class they would have done everything possible to keep it that way.

Instead, they went after Newsome hardest, then told Forcier/Beaver/Smith "Whoever decides first gets it", indicating they would prefer Newsome, and consider the other 3 about the same.

Since this is the same coaching staff that designs the offense and calls plays, I would then assume that Newsome fit whatever system they want to implement best.

baleedat

August 22nd, 2008 at 12:15 PM ^

lets wait until Tate commits before we start drooling all over him. or maybe we should wait until he signs. i'm putting my money on Beaver as UM's 2009 starting QB. the guy is a great athlete, will enroll early/bulk up with barwis/learn the system, and he seems to have a great attitude.

Michigan Arrogance

August 22nd, 2008 at 12:16 PM ^

Instead, they went after Newsome hardest, then told Forcier/Beaver/Smith "Whoever decides first gets it", indicating they would prefer Newsome, and consider the other 3 about the same.

 

assuming this is, in fact, the truth.... quoted for truth. by all accounts, they wanted Shephard, then newsome, then tate/beaver in that order.

 

If you are a big time wideout with nfl aspirations, why would you come to michigan if they are running 70% of the time?

ask any M wideout from 1969-1998. hell, even the moeller teams were 65-35 run pass, i think. the 1997 team didn't exactly wing the ball around the field. Moeller gets a lot of credit for throwing the ball a lot, but what he should get credit for is just throwing the ball at all. all of Grbac's passing records are broken, some by Navarre and some by henne. so by asking this question, you're essentially asking, why would any WR have come to Michigan, ever?

TheTruth

August 22nd, 2008 at 12:21 PM ^

so by asking this question, you're essentially asking, why would any WR have come to Michigan, ever?

 Those were all pro-style offenses.  There is already a ton of negative recruiting going on about these spread options involving deep threat wideouts.  I wasn't talking about throwing a certain percentage of the time, I was talking about throwing the football down the field.  All those teams (1969-1998) threw the ball down the field because everyone did. 

chitownblue (not verified)

August 22nd, 2008 at 12:19 PM ^

Why do you think Forcier would result in more throwing than Newsome? I think that's the quibble.

ameed

August 22nd, 2008 at 12:52 PM ^

As far as I have observed on these boards, people assume this based on skin color, methinks.

 Just like people assume that Forcier and Beaver are putting "the team first" because they are committed (even though Forcier is not commited, though he may be a Blue lean) and Newsome is not.  WFT does that even mean?  According to that logic Rojo put the team first for months and then decided to put another team first.

TheTruth

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:18 PM ^

It is based on the fact the Tate Forcier is rated the most accurate quarterback in the class of 2009.  Watch each of their highlight videos and it is obvious who is the more capable passer.  There is speculation on this blog about us running so much this year because we have no qb who can throw.  Therefore, better passer=more passing. Not too hard to understand. 

Michigan Arrogance

August 22nd, 2008 at 12:47 PM ^

do WRs really care THAT much about the types of routes they will be running? as long as they get the ball, i don't think they care. IOW, you'll get 5 catches a game within 20 yards of the LOS or 2 catches on fly routes. it's all about catches.

chitownblue (not verified)

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:00 PM ^

Actually, it should be said that during the time that decorated Michigan Receiver Anthony Carter was here (during the Steve Smith/Rick Leach era), our pass run split was about 26% pass, 74% run (hard numbers from Mgoblue.com)

When we had NFL draftees such as Desmond, Alexander, Toomer, and Mercury Hayes, or split was roughly 35% pass, 65% run.

Since Carr took over, we've tended to be about 46% pass, 54% run. In some years (2004) we've actually passed more than we ran.

So if you think Michigan always threw downfield...no.

chitownblue (not verified)

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:02 PM ^

I love the logic of "Newsome is black, so he runs alot. Forcier is white, so he doesn't." No one outright SAYS that, but everyone assume Newsome runs more than Forcier, for some unsaid reason that is not empirical evidence - because Forcier has run more.

chitownblue (not verified)

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:13 PM ^

I wasn't talking raw speed - baleedat - I was talking how they play football - and Forcier runs more.

Oh, and speed? Forcier is listed with a faster 40 time.

kgh10

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:28 PM ^

Forcier may run more in H.S. because of their system. He also runs A LOT (based on a bunch of his highlight clips at least) on broken plays, rather than designed  running plays. Methinks his receivers suck at getting open consistently and there is a lot of open space so he just guns it. Based on Newsome's highlight reels, they look like they have a more natural running attack (by an actual RB) than Scripps. More yards by Forcier doesn't always mean he's a better runner, it just may mean he HAS to run more (to make a play) and therefore does.

Kevin's athleticism translates better to the next level as a runner, which is why he is ranked higher on both Rivals and Scout because it's certainly not because of his passing ability at this point.

chitownblue (not verified)

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:22 PM ^

I still disagree.

Option A: A person who runs more, runs more effectively, and is faster.

Option B: A person who threw more passes, runs less, for less yardage per carry, and is slower.

Yet we say Option B is more of a runner? Because option A completed a larger percentage of passes. That doesn't really have anything to do with his running, does it?

kgh10

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:54 PM ^

Tate threw for 2,387 yds to Newsome's 1,600 yds, so Option B did not throw for more passes (at least based on that yardage disparity). Also, according to Scout, Newsome has the faster 40 time (not like that matters much anyway, but since we're discussing). Tate's 40 time on Rivals is really different from the one on Scout (4.7 if you look in the paragraph part) vs. the Rivals 40 at 4.55. Kevin's on both sites are around 4.5. This doesn't even factor in the fact that Tate's going to have to gain like 15-20 lbs for college and Kevin won't have to gain much more weight.

Michigan Arrogance

August 22nd, 2008 at 1:26 PM ^

that if they get the ball 10 times a game, what's the difference? and it's not so much crossing over the middle vs LBs and Ss, it's about getting the ball in space, and making a move to free yourself. if WRs don't like the sound of that, then i don't know what else to say.

baleedat

August 22nd, 2008 at 2:01 PM ^

no one is saying Eugene Smith is more of a runner than Tate. although i must admit i was surprised when i saw his 40 time. i mean the guy is black and he only runs a 4.8?!?!

kgh10

August 22nd, 2008 at 2:12 PM ^

To be fair, not that many people are even bringing up Smith at all, so he's not being compared as much. Also, in the beginning of the year I remember Smith being considered a Pro-Style QB. I don't know what made them change it, but to be honest I haven't thought of Smith as a real option (even though he's apparently as much of an option as Forcier and Newsome to sign with UM).

His highlight reels look a lot like Newsome's to my untrained eye. They both are pass-first guys who run when necessary, but Smith's plays move like 20X faster on both sides of the ball.

ameed

August 22nd, 2008 at 2:18 PM ^

This might help to clear up some of the questions bc we all know this translates exactly on to the field - I pose this to someone paying more attention to this than me.  Which of the following would EA NCAA 2010 classify Tate, Newsome, & Beaver as if you were recruiting them:

a) scrambler

b) balanced

c) Pocket Passer

 

kgh10

August 22nd, 2008 at 2:23 PM ^

I don't play that game, but my contention here is that who they are as H.S. QBs will not necessarily be who they are as college QBs. Since it's a college fball game, I predict both Newsome & Beaver (at least in year one and two) to be A, scramblers and eventually more into B, balanced. I see Tate always staying a balanced b/c he is too small to be a strict pocket passer and will probably have to scramble a bit to see around his blockers and give himself time to find passing lanes.

krogerbrand14

August 22nd, 2008 at 2:21 PM ^

It might have just been the few clips that I saw, but it seems that he does a lot of running backwards in a circle away from pressure before trying to cut upfield or throw. Anyone else notice that?

kgh10

August 22nd, 2008 at 2:26 PM ^

Yea, I think it's either b/c of the system being so wide open, the plays developing before his receivers can get downfield, or he's just small and has to move around a lot to see the field. Could be any one of those, or a combo. I'm not a coach or anything, so don't take my word for it.

Jim Harbaugh S…

August 22nd, 2008 at 2:38 PM ^

<em>Why do you think Forcier would result in more throwing than Newsome? I think that's the quibble.<em>

 A white qb is always going to throw more than the black qb.  Black qb's are more likely to scramble.  Just look at John Navarre vs. Pat White for definitive proof.

kgh10

August 22nd, 2008 at 3:06 PM ^

Although we are being somewhat sarcastic and even I was laughing at that for a while, it's not as crazy as it sounds and race really doesn't have anything to do with it.

Look at their current skill sets and see how they would translate into the college game. You're not going to win football games on the arm of Newsome at this point with the floaters I've seen (I know he hasn't been coached at all pretty much), regardless of his arm strength. Mallett had arm strength, and he couldn't hit receivers for shit. However, Kevin's big, athletic, and strong enough to be a sincerely effective runner in college, but not a passer right off the bat. Does he have the better upside overall, yes of course, but he will be very raw regardless of how effective he was as a passer in H.S.

Although Tate may be able to run at this stage in H.S., he's not going to be burning or breaking tackles of fast, gigantic ass LBs. He's going to have to use his arm and accuracy to win games. In conclusion, Newsome will be more of a runner in college and Tate will be more of a passer in the first few years, at the very least.

baleedat

August 22nd, 2008 at 3:42 PM ^

"Although Tate may be able to run at this stage in H.S., he's not going to be burning or breaking tackles of fast, gigantic ass LBs"

Why not?

"Kevin's big, athletic, and strong enough to be a sincerely effective runner in college, but not a passer right off the bat. Does he have the better upside overall, yes of course, but he will be very raw regardless of how effective he was as a passer in H.S."

He still has another year to learn at a great HS football program.

kgh10

August 22nd, 2008 at 3:55 PM ^

Tate: I really don't think he has the build or pure athleticism to do that. He buys a LOT of time scrambling around in the backfield but I think that time will be substantially cut in the college game. I can't see him getting away with that much back there.

Kevin: I noted that already...he'll still most likely be a big project unless he overcomes hurculean amounts of poor mechanics. Take this all as pretty reasonable speculation.