Can UM get to AP #5?

There is a small chance UM can pass The Great Evil tonight, and moved to #5 in the AP poll tomorrow afternoon.  Hear me out (or read me out, as the case may be...)

 

UM beat the spread today.  Teams never drop when they beat the spread.

 

In the current AP poll UM is #6 with 1214 points.

 

The Great Evil is #5 with 1252 points.  A difference of 38 points.  Not much in the AP poll.

 

UCLA is currently defeating Oregon.  If UCLA wins, Oregon suffers its 2nd defeat, and Oregon defeated The Great Evil.

 

PSU deservedly lost in 8OTs today, even though it never should have even gone to OT.  ILL ran for 350 yards in regular-time vs PSU.  Illinois completely outplayed PSU.

 

What if Indiana keeps it fairly close vs The Great Evil tonight?  Keep that in the back of your mind.

 

There are still a few AP voters who were voting PSU over UM.  Those voters will no longer vote PSU over UM.  UM will get a few of those PSU votes.

 

A 2nd Oregon loss could cause some AP voters to no longer vote Ohio State #5, especially if Indiana can keep the game fairly close vs The Great Evil.

 

Oklahoma didnt exactly look stellar today.  Oklahoma won below the spread.  A few of their AP votes could switch to UM.

 

If Ohio State wins by less than 14 tonight, I think UM will pass The Great Evil, and move to #5 in the AP poll.

 

So, after the OSU game tonight, I give UM about a 20% chance of moving past The Great Evil, and taking the #5 spot in the AP. It's unlikely, but it could happen.

 

Oh, and those of you who think the polls don't matter.  THEY DAMN WELL MATTER.  The committee voters are human-beings, just like you and me.  The earlier UM can creep into the upper tier of the polls, the more the committee voters will take notice, and the more effect it will have when the committee voters tally their first national championship poll.