Picture Pages: Defense Against Tennessee

Submitted by TrueBlue2003 on March 23rd, 2022 at 7:35 PM

There were a couple of competing narratives about Saturdays game that had me curious about how Tennessee attacked Michigan and how Michigan responded.

1) One was how much blame for the loss was on Rick Barnes. He got a lot of knee-jerk blame for "Rick Barnes-ing" this one, but as Tennessee blogger "Will" (linked shared in Brians gamer - a good read) and some others pointed out, he's not shooting threes and going 2/18.  Sometimes you're just unlucky is the counter point.

2) The second was whether the guards were responsible for much of Kennedy Chandler / Tennessee guard scoring (which was the assertion here) or whether it was mostly on Hunter as Sam Vecenie at the Athletic asserted here.

TL;DR before I get into the analysis:

1) I thought Tennessee played way too many two big lineups that limited Kennedy and the Tennessee guards.  Yes, they still could have won had they made their threes (which were mostly set up in their small ball lineups), but their rotations decreased their chances IMO.

2) Hunter was the primary victim of Kennedy's work, but I thought his midrange jumpers were shots Michigan wanted, he just made a lot of them.  The guards weren't bad, IMO, with Jones being much better than expected.  Oddly, they didn't play Frankie on Kennedy much.  It was either Jones or Brooks.

So here we go.  Tennessee started the game, as they always do with two bigs:

#2 Brandon Huntley-Hatfield is one of those guys that starts and doesn't play even close to half his teams minutes so you kind wonder why you'd start him at all.  But thank you, Rick Barnes!

#33 Plavsic is the 7 footer that played more than normal in this game, likely because he'd be able to defend Dickinson in the post better than Fulkerson.

And as Matt EM has explained about Michigan playing two bigs, when you run pick and roll with two bigs in the game, you're mostly just setting up post plays because the paint is clogged.  This is how Tennessee pick and rolls mostly looked when two bigs were in the game.  Notice how Diabate is in easy help position without even needed to rotate or leave a shooter:

Since Moussa is there waiting, Chandler just probes instead of attacking (he could easily go by Hunter but you'll see why he doesn't want to attack Moussa later):

Moussa is also in good position to help on a roll so there's really not much here and Jones recovers:

On this one they tried to run double screen action to open up the paint:

But Jones does a really good job of beating him tot he spot and forcing a long two (which Chandler missed):

Here's another one with Moussa's man clogging up middle so it makes driving and rolling difficult:

So instead of going vertical to the basket, Chandler slowly goes horizontal, only looking for the roll but Moussa is there for help and Jones and Hunter recover:

Later in the possession they rescreened but again, Hunter is dropping deep and Moussa's guy is right under the basket, making a drive past Hunter pointless anyway (which means Hunter should probably be playing up a bit more to prevent the pull up since he has help behind him):

But Jones makes a great recovery here to block (!!!) it from behind:

Many of their early possessions just ended in Josiah Jordan-James (Jingleheimer Schmidt / JJJ) or others taking pull ups or turn around fade away jumpers. Just really bad offense considering what their strengths are and what Michigan's weaknesses are.  The fact they put a guy down low to let Moussa stand around and protect the rim was crazy.

Luckily for them JJJ hit his first three fade aways, and they got Michigan on some lazy turnovers that went for layups the other way, but again, that's the only way they got to 24 points in the first 15 minutes.  By playing two bigs, they almost totally neutralized their biggest weapon in Kennedy Chandler.

FTR, Chandler did beat Jones on one drive and dump off to Fulkerson but that was the only work he did on drives during the first 15 minutes.

Then with Michigan up 30-24, Barnes want small for the last 5 minutes of the half with three guards, a wing and just one big.  You know they then went on a 13-2 run to close the half but this is how they did it:

Welp, looks like my drive is full so I can't upload any more photos and it appears the new site doesn't support Flickr embeds?

If anyone comments on how to delete a past diary, I can pick this up in another one.  I can't delete the photos in my drive because it says they're being used (i.e. in other diaries).

 

Comments

Oneegct

March 24th, 2022 at 1:41 PM ^

Thoughtful analysis, thanks for this.  Maybe the smaller Tennessee lineup led to Dickinson piling up points in the paint in the second half.

TrueBlue2003

March 24th, 2022 at 2:44 PM ^

Good thought, but that wasn't the case.  I wish I could show you but the site appears to no longer support flickr embeds and my application drive is full and I can't delete photos that are posted to other diaries (and I can't delete past diaries) so....dunno.

Here's how the second half went down:

Tennessee started the second half with their usual starters with two bigs despite the 13-2 run at the end of half with the small lineup.  And for the first five minutes of the half both teams simply went at it in the post to the point where the color guy said at about the 16:45 point "what happened to the guards in this game?"

Hunter actually dominated during this time scoring nine (!!!) points in the first three minutes of the half.

In the first 4:57 of the half when Tennessee had two bigs out there, Michigan erased the halftime deficit by going 13-8. Chandler didn't even take a shot during these 5 minutes.  It was all Plavsic and Huntley-Hatfield post ups (and to their credit they were a combined 4-6 but Michigan was even hotter with those 9 Hunter points and an Eli three).

Then Tennessee went small again at 15:03 mark when it was tied 45-45. At that point, their two big lineups had been outscored by 11, and their small lineup had outscored Michigan 13-2 in less than the five minutes it had played (with caveats that Michigan put in a clearly injured Jones for those five minutes and he was a liability in that state).

Remember, that Hunter was going to be guarded by Plavsic or Fulkerson no matter what.  Going small for them meant checking Moussa with a wing like JJJ instead of Fulkerson or Huntley-Hatfield.  That's the trade-off they had to make.  Do they get their best offense on the floor and roll with JJJ on Moussa?

Well, it was an obvious choice.  Because then over the next 6:30 minutes Tennessee's small lineup killed Michigan (mostly Hunter) in the pick and roll to run off a 15-9 run and go up 60-54.  And Moussa was a non-factor on offense as the PF, anyway, to the point where Michigan put in Twill to match Tennessee's one big lineup. I was like, welp, they finally figured it out, it's over.

But then two things happened, both small miracles I would say:

1) Eli Brooks took over on the offensive end, scoring 11 points (!!!) in the last 8 minutes. It was truly the Eli Brooks game.   Also, Twills two put backs were huge and I don't think they had anything to do with being "small", they just blew box outs badly.  After Hunter hit a three with 13:53 in the game, he only scored 1 more point (!!) for the next 13+ minutes until there was 14 seconds left when Tennessee was fouling down six.

Hunter was mostly a non-factor during that time (aside from a couple nice passes to Eli), and in fact had a couple bad turnovers, while Tennessee had the small ball lineup in.   I don't think it was bad for him per se, but I think he was hurt or tired.  He came out of the game and got on the exercise bike around the 15 minute mark and was just never the same.  He plays too many minutes and runs out of gas at the end of games.

But it simply cannot be overstated how huge Eli was down the stretch.

2)  Michigan decided to help aggressively off three point shooters to protect the paint during pick and roll, which is probably what they should be doing all the time, and Michigan got lucky that Tennessee missed all of them.  I chart a lot of blown tags by Caleb Houstan on pick and rolls.  Michigan put in Williams and he did a lot better tagging rollers.  That meant a lot of open threes for Tennessee during this sphincter clenching last 7-8 minutes.  But they didn't give up layups which was critical.  Much better to give up a 40% open three than a near 100% layup.

They also mixed in some zone the coaches made a smart adjustment.  They correctly realized, we couldn't stop their pick and roll (duh, that's been the case all year when teams decide to attack it) so we need to just pack the paint and live with open threes.

And that was the game.