Anyone gambling on the game?

Submitted by GoWings2008 on
Sitting here in a sports book in Vegas... Tempted to put a small wager on the game tonight. Anyone have any thoughts on the current 5.5 point spread? Edit: I'm a moran.
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goblue12

March 31st, 2018 at 2:26 PM ^

Dont shit where you eat... never bet on a Michigan game myself

Moneyline on the Wildcats is a lock though... Kansas does not match up well with 'Nova IMO. Heck, nobody matches well with 'Nova

Joined: 08/31/2009

MGoPoints: 452

The Denarding

March 31st, 2018 at 3:17 PM ^

If you just want to have fun you can parlay moneyline Michigan and Villanova with the points. Though a moneyline parlay of both teams is a solid idea, from an ROI perspective using Kelly Criteria and either Torvik or Ken Pom you will not win enough against the risk of the events combinatorially happening. You want to find an arbitrage between the rate of return and the probability of winning. You see this in moneylines on underdogs vs kenpom (likely Torvik as well but I haven’t back tested). The only bet with a higher rate of return than win probability is Loyola sadly by Kenpom. If you look at Torvik then the only bet today is the two team moneyline and the ROI doesn’t justify it. Or you don’t have to be a complete stat nerd like me and just bet to your interest. I hear people still do that:).

Joined: 11/29/2010

MGoPoints: 1679

Swag Overdose

March 31st, 2018 at 3:19 PM ^

But I couldn't help drop a few sheckles for Michigan to win the whole thing at 14-1 I can't have nice things though so this will be a special let down for me, and I'm sorry I ruined it for everyone else.

Joined: 03/18/2018

MGoPoints: 360

Solecismic

March 31st, 2018 at 6:56 PM ^

I got 3-1 odds on making it through the game without flinging my remote through the television screen. Didn't take them, though. Barely hanging in there.

Joined: 11/27/2016

MGoPoints: 7239

AndArst

July 3rd, 2019 at 6:58 AM ^

Earlier I did gambling but I understood that it is not my cup of tea. I prefer playing casinos and you can look these up. In my opinion, this is my exciting and, to be honest, I do more progress playing casinos.

Joined: 03/03/2019

MGoPoints: 173

MobiusDickius

December 2nd, 2019 at 7:41 AM ^

I play sometimes but I prefer to hold myself back. After all, gambling is fraught with risk. Although, recently I downloaded joker123 ios and now I play a little bit more frequently. By the way, what's your favourite game? I prefer poker.

Joined: 10/27/2019

MGoPoints: 59

lolapaluuza

November 5th, 2020 at 10:23 AM ^

Sometimes I play online casinos. It can calm me down a little. I prefer the Microgaming. I do not expect a big income but I also do not lose money. I do it for fun and recommend everyone not to try to earn a living on that. By the way, you can check the list of the best casinos to play online here https://topmgc.com/microgaming-casino-list.html.

Joined: 05/10/2020

MGoPoints: 120

Carni-val

April 13th, 2021 at 5:17 AM ^

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Joined: 02/09/2020

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