UM was also #3 on Dec 3.. Then Clemson rose above us in the national rankings. OSU fell below us after getting spanked by Clemson.
Why is UM ranked above OSU? Many posters here have already answered this question. 4 of OSU’s wins were by 4 points or less in regulation, while their losses were more than ten times the margin of UM’s (OSU 17 points, UM < 1.7).
Also, the advantage of UM over OSU is likely even greater. Why” Sagarin considers only the final score, not whether that score was reached in OT or regulation.
Yet, consider what happens to Sagarin’s game rating if we subtract (add) a ridiculously small one point for a double OT win (or loss). UM beats OSU both in the game and in the season’s overall W-L record.
Sagarin also does not consider the advantage (disadvantage) of an in-state (vs. distant) bowl game. But suppose that advantage is a mere one half of Sagarin’s correction (say, 1.05 points). Then UM’s home-field corrected record is
Not bad. In fact, it’s pretty amazing considering that UM had late season injuries to the starting QB, the best TE in the country, and their all-everything LB-PR-RB-Safety Heisman finalist.
3. PSU (pretty far below, so a win over #11 USC unlikely to change B1G ranking)
4. Wisc (even further below)