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|2 days 4 hours ago||Definitely a boost for the team||
But a bit of a kick in the teeth for Simpson. He's looking at having his PT reduced by 10-20 minutes per game, and he may take the message that Beilein does not have confidence in him to run the team.
This also seems to mean that we have given up on Bamba, unless Wagner or Wilson bolt early.
|2 days 4 hours ago||His first year at Ohio||
he shot 41% on threes (though on fewer attempts than last year), so the stroke is there. His two point shoot and FT shooting were also better as a sophomore. As you say, if he's not trying to carry the whole team, he will likely be a lot more efficient.
|4 days 3 hours ago||Why will he "get there", and how?||
He's been coaching quite a while now. After all this time in football, why does he still need to "learn to finish"?
|4 days 3 hours ago||It was not particularly impressive at the time||
And became even less so when they improved enough from that point to win the Big Ten, while we didn't.
|4 days 14 hours ago||Agreed||
Harbaugh does not have a signature win yet. 0-2 vs Ohio State, absent from the Big Ten championship and the playoffs so far. MSU last year doesn't qualify. A 1 TD win over a 3-9 team does not impress. The Florida win was nice, but that was a pretty screwed up team by the time we got to them, and a game of really no significance in the larger picture.
|4 days 16 hours ago||I only base trust on proven performance||
So far this staff has not won the division, has not won the conference, has not beaten Ohio State and has not made the playoff, so I don't "trust" them to do any of those things in the future. I may hope they will and I may wish they would, but that's not remotely the same thing.
|4 days 16 hours ago||Would you rather be the team that won that game||
then lost to Iowa and Ohio State and finished third in their own division, or the team that lost that game, then won 9 straight, beat Ohio State, won their division and won the conference championship?
|4 days 18 hours ago||Sheesh, really? The whole argument of||
"yeah, but look at THOSE 3 stars who turned out to be really good" has been debunked so many times, I can't believe I have to do it again. Recruiting rankings OVERALL correlate directly with success in college football. That's absolutely indisputable and has been demonstrated over and over. No, not EVERY 5 star ends up better than EVERY 4 star, and not EVERY 4 star ends up better than EVERY 3 star, but a team full of 4 stars is going to do better than a team full of 3 stars every time. Stars do matter. Period. You don't need to go any further than this board to prove that.
As far as McDoom and Hudson, they haven't helped us win anything yet, so I will withhold judgement on just how wonderful they are.
|4 days 18 hours ago||They won the division because they beat the teams we couldn't||
They won the division because they got steadily better as the season went on, while we got worse. That's on the coach. You can't use road games as an excuse forever. A great coach beats tough teams on the road, and Harbaugh has yet to do that here. If he can't do it this year, we're looking at another 3 loss season at least. Then next year we have OSU and MSU on the road. There is never going to be a season where we can do really well without beating a quality opponent in their own house. Sooner or later we have to start simply winning those games, no excuses.
|4 days 18 hours ago||I'm sure we'll have more than 7 commits by signing day||
But why does everyone always assume that our class is going to get better, while everyone else's will get worse? Penn State has a huge lead on us, and shows no signs of slowing down.
|4 days 20 hours ago||Well, we've already taken four 3 stars out of seven total commit||
in what is likely to be a small class. So the answer to your question seems to be no.
|4 days 20 hours ago||It didn't last year||
We had better talent and they still won the division, while we finished 3rd. And their recruits certainly don't seem to think that last year was a fluke. A lot more high level recruits are jumping on the Penn State bandwagon than on the Harbaugh bandwagon.
|4 days 20 hours ago||I know...wtf?||
That program should have been burned to the ground for what happened there, but the NCAA fell all over themselves to soften their penalty as soon as it was off most people's radar. And now they're snatching 4 star recruits out of our backyard, and they have the #2 recruting class in the country? wtf?
|1 week 4 days ago||He had terrible pass protection pretty much all day||
I saw very few plays where he could be comfortable in the pocket and wait for things to develop. He may have that trouble this year anyway, but he will have a better Oline group protecting him, and won't be facing a DL that good very often, if ever.
|1 week 4 days ago||No harm in Speight hearing footsteps||
And knowing that he has to keep improving. But still, he's the player that he is, and he is certainly a better QB than he showed yesterday. Maybe he just wasn't feeling that great yesterday, mabe he just had a "whatever" attitude about a practice game that doesn't mean anything and dogged it a bit. Who knows?
Still a long way until opening day, and I certainly don't think he's locked in as the starter. No reason why Peters couldn't pass him some time before the end of the season, but I would not say that's happened yet based only on yesterday.
|1 week 4 days ago||True, but it's also the case||
That the offense knows the defensive packages and coverages. Neither side is going to really surprise or outscheme the other, one of many reasons why you can't project too much of what we saw yesterday onto real games. Nobody was hitting as hard as they would have against a real opponent, either.
|1 week 4 days ago||Yep...on the money||
I've been following Michigan football for a long time. Unexpected losses are far more common than a lot of people on this board would like to admit. As you say, weird stuff happens, and it happens even more often when you have a shaky Oline and uncertain quarterbacking. Even if you are a 95% favorite in every game (which we won't even be close to), your chances of going 12-0 are only about 50-50.
|1 week 4 days ago||Not that many freshmen play significantly||
on the Oline, and when they do, it's usualy out of desperation, as in our case, so being a freshman AA at that position is not as big a deal as it sounds. Bredeson was no Cam Robinson. Cole is capable, but nothing special, and Ruiz has yet to take a snap in a real game. Kugler and Kalis were supposed to be plug-and-play guys too, and we know how that went.
McSorely and Barrett are both better QBs than anybody we have, and those are the teams we have to beat to be anything this year.
|1 week 4 days ago||Alabama and OSU always have killer Olines||
We don't. And they develop players much faster. OSU has two guys who were only sophomores (Hooker and Lattimore) who will be first round NFL picks.
|1 week 4 days ago||We will have four tough games||
In which we will either be the underdog, or only a slight favorite. But as far as the other 8, where we will probably be solid, if not overwhelming favorites, the odds are that we will lose at least one unexpectedly. Even if we are 90% favorites in all of those other games (which we probably won't be), our chances of winning all of them are less than 50-50.
|1 week 4 days ago||We played Penn State early last year||
when they hadn't gotten their shit together, and had major injuries to their LB corp. If we had played them towards the end of the season, it would have been much closer. They have the best QB in the Big Ten returning, and they will be very tough. I expect us to be the underdog on the road against them. Harbaugh has yet to prove he can win against a quality opponent on the road.
|1 week 4 days ago||That's an incremental improvement||
and can only make up for so much. We still lose a lot of other talent, and our Oline is not looking any better than last year, maybe worse. That alone will cost us a game or two. And let's not forget, Penn State, Wisconsin and Ohio State all have QBs back with another year of experience.
|1 week 4 days ago||Were they selling assigned seat tickets for this?||
Or was it just general admission seating? My guess is the latter, in which case people would not have been sitting packed close together. Sections that looked full would not have had as many people as they would for a real game.
|1 week 4 days ago||Sorry, but we lack talent on the Oline||
And we lack the talent level at QB that wins championships. You need those to get to 11-1 or better. We were 10-2 last year, and have less talent this year, so it's hard to project any better than 9-3.
|1 week 4 days ago||This is 9-3 talent||
plus or minus 1. Looking good in some areas, but shaky Oline, QB probably good, but not great, and serious lack of experience in the back 7. Probably not enough talent and experience to avoid losing at least one game we shouldn't.
|1 week 4 days ago||We are probably 9-3 regardless||
We were 10-2 last year and lose a ton of NFL draftees..not sure how we upgrade or even stay the same after that, epsecially without a top-notch QB
|1 week 4 days ago||Speight has been the very clear #1||
for pretty much all of spring practice. Lots of competition before opening day yet, but I don't think today changes that.
|1 week 4 days ago||Speight had a poor day today||
but I don't know that you can just ignore all the rest of spring practice, where he has been the clear leader, because of that.
|1 week 4 days ago||Well, if it was ACL||
they probably would not have let him walk or even try to.
|1 week 4 days ago||Better to have one great QB||
than 3 pretty good ones.