Who Would be Your 4th Playoff Team Today?

Submitted by alum96 on

With a top 3 well set btw Oregon, Bama, and FSU the big question tonight is slot #4.  Last week I thought based on "that week's" action (TCU with a smacking of top 10 KSU more impressive than Bama barely beating top 20 LSU) TCU would take the 4th spot rather than just moving Bama up from 5th to 4th as 99% of AP voters would do.  And the playoff committee did indeed do that.

This week is even more tricky.  TCU did not look great "this week" vs Kansas while Miss State originally looked bad vs Bama but ended up coming back nicely in the 2nd half to make it a 1 score game.  On the road.  So my Magic 8 ball has Miss State as the #4 team.  What say you? 

(And they might move Bama ahead of 0 loss FSU to the #2 spot?)

Sagarin data:

  • Miss State - Sagarin rank 8.  Record vs Sagarin top 10: 1-1.  Record vs Sagarin top 30: 4-1.  Only loss by a few to Bama.  SOS = 32
  • TCU - Sagarin rank 7.  Record vs Sagarin top 10: 1-1.  Record vs Sagarin top 30: 3-1.  Only loss by a few to Baylor.  SOS = 38

In a way it might be  a moot point because TCU is out of chances for quality wins whereas Miss State has 1 more quality win to be had if they can beat Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl.   And without Treadwell Ole Miss looks in trouble.  That will push their SOS up and their top 30 record to 5-1.  The wildcard being that the committe is supposed to reward "conference champions".  (Which could still be Baylor or TCU)  But for this specific week it will be interesting what they decide.

 

Other contender for slot 4 is Baylor but they have less "quality wins" than Miss State or TCU so right now would be in slot #6 I believe.

  • Sagarin rank 4.  Record vs Sagarin top 10: 2-0.  Record vs Sagarin top 30: 2-1.  Only loss to West Virginia.  SOS = 55.

Before you ask OSU is not a contender due to BIG TEEEEEN scheduling (no crossover with Nebraska or Wisconsin and UM/PSU hot garbage) and their OOC.  Record vs Sagarin top 10: 0-0  Record vs Sagarin top 30: 1-0.  Plus a bad loss.   All they will have at end of year is 2 quality wins if they best Wisconsin in the title game.

MGoBoard
Football
2014 playoffs

azian6er

November 18th, 2014 at 5:35 PM ^

The current 4 best teams in football play in the playoff. Having said that - FSU hardly seems as if they are one of the 4 best teams in the country now. They seem like a team that is one of the greatest at winning in a pinch - but not a comprehensive top 4 team top to bottom. The commitee's placement of Oregon above them last week indicates this. To me - honestly speaking after having watched a lot of football this year - the BEST 4 teams right NOW appear to be: Alabama Oregon Ohio State Mississippi State As much as people want to scoff at the idea that Ohio State gets in because of their loss to VaTech, they are playing seriously good football right now. Defense has a few holes, however, the offense is really clicking. They should have beat minny by at least 2 more TD's, but weather related turnovers affected that. I feel dirty suggesting Ohio get in - but to me they look damn good right now. I think a Baylor/Oregon vs Ohio State game would be great football.

Joined: 04/09/2012

MGoPoints: 3749

pinkfloyd2000

November 18th, 2014 at 8:30 PM ^

...is huge. I think they largely control their own destiny now. They win out, and they are in, IMHO. Now, beating Wisconsin in the B10 championship game, well, that is certainly NOT a given.

Joined: 01/27/2009

MGoPoints: 18477