The Vig - Week 10
I didn't have a great week last week but I did hit on Wisconsin +3.5 and Baylor -2.5.
And a CS,B moment: I live bet Purdue once they got within a score of Nebraska in the 3Q and ended up cashing out a ML winner at +285.
This week I've got a lot going on because apparently I love giving money back to the books.
OSU -14.5 @ Nebraska
WF (+116) @ NC
WF +2.5 @ NC
SMU -4.5 @ Memphis
Tulsa +22.5 @ Cincinnati
Baylor -6.5 @ TCU
UTSA -11.5 @ UTEP
ASU -9.5 vs. USC
What do you like? What's on your dance card?
November 5th, 2021 at 8:42 AM ^
I've been ice cold lately. That OSU and WF line looks interesting...
November 5th, 2021 at 9:11 AM ^
Wake @ UNC -2.5 I like Wake on this one. The O/U is 77.5 I like the over there
Nebraska always shits the bed, I don't think they'll keep it close.
Cincinnati hasn't been as impressive the last 2 weeks.
MSU is only a 2.5 favorite over Purdue. I think MSU will win by 10
LSU @ Bama -29.5 That's a huge number! I'm tempted to take LSU on this one.
I could see Michigan rolling Indiana. 21 points...yeesh
Last week I had a parlay on MSU covering and Iowa/Wisc and the over. Bet 50, won 65.
Other parlay was $30, lost because of Cincinnati for the 2nd week in a row.
November 5th, 2021 at 10:43 AM ^
For a two team parlay that payout does not seem correct. I am guessing both individual bets were like -115 or so? If so that bet should've netted you AT LEAST $100 on a $50 wager.
For fun I just entered a $50 two team parlay into Bovada where both teams are -115 and it shows a payout of about $125. I would tend to believe that $65 payout if it were a 6 point teaser.
I am looking out for my fellow degenerates.
November 5th, 2021 at 12:35 PM ^
I took it to mean he bet $50, won $65, so the payout was $115.
November 5th, 2021 at 12:56 PM ^
That's what I am saying. The payout for a two team parlay with -115 odds on the individual bets is about $125. So the payout should be $125 and not $65. This does not include the original $50 bet that he would get back.
If the individual bets are -120 then the payout is still $118.
November 5th, 2021 at 1:11 PM ^
Maybe it should've been the payout was $165 not $65 (winnings plus original bet)? I don't know...
November 5th, 2021 at 10:16 AM ^
The Ohio State Buckeyes are Smooth Jimmy's? of the Week.
November 5th, 2021 at 10:39 AM ^
I like:
Ole Miss -9.5 home to Liberty
OSU -15 at Nebraska
UNC -2.5 home to Wake Forest
UNC - WF over 77
Purdue +3 home to MSU (I am leaning Purdue ML at +130 but waiting to see if the odds get better)
Navy +21 at Notre Dame
Northwestern +12 home to Iowa
Michigan -20 home to Indiana
November 5th, 2021 at 10:59 AM ^
good call on Northwestern.
That line moving to 12 is insane --- NW is butt but so is Iowa. I could see this game sub 40 total which doesn't leave a lot of room for a 12pt line.
November 5th, 2021 at 11:07 AM ^
Yeah I am not all that confident in NW +12. I might do a 6.5 point teaser of NW +12 and something else I am second guessing to juice it a little bit.
November 5th, 2021 at 11:21 AM ^
I put a huge bet on MSU ML last week because I woke up with a bad feeling about the game and I usually emotionally hedge big Michigan games. Completely forgot about those winning til I logged into my account today.
I’m taking MSU to cover against Purdue -3. Would be over the moon if they lose and I lose my money.
November 5th, 2021 at 12:00 PM ^
I’m putting all my units for the weekend on a 3-team teaser: OSU -8.5, Wisc-7 and Iowa -6.
I feel invincible with this pick which means Iowa is going to win by, like, 2.
November 5th, 2021 at 12:08 PM ^
I have $20 on OSU, $10 on MSU, and $5 on IU. All straight up. Pay me for my pain.
November 5th, 2021 at 1:23 PM ^
North Texas -4.5
Navy/ND Over 47.5
Wisconsin -13
Western Kentucky 1-6.5
Penn St -9.5 (-120)
Navy +21
Tennessee ML
UTSA -11.5
Arizona St -8.5
Good luck everyone.
November 5th, 2021 at 3:06 PM ^
Not a great week last week either.
Started off well this week with some Maction, then came back to reality a bit last night.
Tuesday
EMU TT O 21.5 - win
Live EMU/Toledo O 74.5 - win
Wednesday
NIU +175 - loss
NIU/Kent O 71.5 - win
CMU/WMU O 66.5 - win
Thursday
GA St/ULL O 53.5 - loss
ULL TT O 33 - loss
Friday
Utah/Stanford O 52
Saturday
Charlotte -3.5 over Rice
CSU -3.5 over Wyoming
Wisc -12 over Rutgers
Navy +20.5 v. ND
UCF -13 over Tulane
Mich 1H -10.5 over IU and Mich -19.5 for game
UTSA/UTEP O 52
LSU/Bama O 65.5
Houston/UCF O 55
OSU/Huskers O 64.5
Rice/Charlotte O 53
MSU/Purdue U 53.5
One Underdog ML Parlay
WF +120
Miss ST +170
Aub +170
November 5th, 2021 at 7:03 PM ^
Auburn/A&M under 49, Tennessee over Kentucky, West Virginia, BC, & USC moneyline. Non football related went ahead and took Kansas -4.5 against Sparty next Tuesday. Also bet Michigan to win conference title (+330) and national title (+1200).
November 5th, 2021 at 7:13 PM ^
Everyone talking in one of those post game threads how Purdue will be a hard matchup for MSU. I dunno, that -2.5 seems like east money. I took that big this week, and will feel like a winner either way…
Also grabbed that Wake line. Sometimes Vegas seems to outsmart itself - like when OK state was a huge dog at ISU. But, I guess we’ll see…
November 5th, 2021 at 9:57 PM ^
There’s no way a legitimate top 3 team should only be a 2.5 point favorite over a 5-3 Purdue team. Seems like a lock, but I’m sure those giant casinos in Vegas were paid for by these “locks”. I’m still taking MSU and I’ll gladly forfeit the wager for them to lose. The only way I can lose is if MSU wins but doesn’t cover.
Weekly disclaimer, my recent hot streak turned cold thanks mainly to the men in the striped shirts last week. It appears I’m back to my losing ways, so feel free to bet the opposite of my picks and remember me when you cash in your winning ticket.
MSU -2.5
Wisconsin -12
OSU/Nebraska Under 64.5
Michigan -19.5
Michigan is by far my most confident pick. It’s very likely that IU doesn’t score more than a FG or two, so we just need our offense to score about 30 points…they might score 50.
OSU puts up all of their points against bad teams and they don’t play as fast as you think. They are actually ranked 95th in the country in number of plays per game. Yes, that can be a deceiving stat, but it just shows they’re not a huge tempo team. Nebraska isn’t as bad as their record indicates. Both teams give up an average of about 20 points a game, and the computer models I saw say the over/under should be closer to 55 than 65. - I’m taking the under and praying for a finish in regulation- no overtime. Those kill college unders.