Semi OT-Writers VS Gamblers

Submitted by KC Wolve on
Who's game prediction do you put the most stock in? Include talking heads with writers I guess. I don't really care much about them, but for some reason I feel worse when I hear of a handicapper say this game is a lock for the other team than i do when ESPN or a blog makes a prediction. Last week the local radio in KC had their guy on and his quote was, "wrong team favored, take MSU all the way". Now this week Darren Rovell from CNBC sent out a tweet that said he has heard from several people that are loading up on Iowa and the money line. Again, it doesn't really matter what either say, but I was just curious what other people thought.

jamiemac

October 14th, 2010 at 10:08 AM ^

If people are loading up on the Iowa moneyline, then they're paying a lot of juice. Thats -165 right now, meaning you'd have to wager 165 to win 100.

Smart gamblers, or at least the sharps who make a living at it, are loathe to play moneyline favorites, so I'd like to question just who Rovell is talking to. If Iowa on the moneyline is all that is getting action, that leads me to believe that MICH +3.5 might be the play on the side.

I'm thinking hard about taking the home dog. But, I am not a pro. Just a dude in Ohio.

Joined: 06/30/2008

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Mr.Jello

October 14th, 2010 at 10:16 AM ^

As Brian has said, the lines, gamblers, are the most accurate predictors. This is not to mean that they are perfect and that the lines are not manipulated for different reasons.

Joined: 10/07/2010

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Tater

October 14th, 2010 at 10:20 AM ^

If a writer guesses wrong, he writes another column the next day, and knows he has a paycheck waiting for him at the end of the week.  If a gambler guesses wrong, he might not eat.

I'm giving it to the gamblers on the "intangibles."

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