Recruit offer acceptance rate

If I have tallied the Michigan offers correctly, it breaks down as follows DL- 1 DE- 4 LB- 6 CB- 4 S- 2 QB- 6 RB- 10 OL- 6 Rec- 10 (4-5 could be slot guys) I am not a recruiting specialist, nor do I claim to be one. However, this breakdown seems fairly interesting (granted it is very early still). By just looking at this, RB seems to be the biggest need and an area we have a low confidence in securing due to the high numbers. I would assume other RB offers would go out later in the year and we would not take more than 4 (right?) with 3 leaving via graduation. Since everyone tries to label this a “run first” offense, I would think that RB would be easy to fill. Not sure what this means and implies a 30 or 40% success rate for those prospects. Seems like we are also recruiting safeties to play safety and LBs to be in that position instead of “growing” people into the position due to the low numbers of safety offers. I absolutely believe we can get 2 QBs again this year. Just interested to see who that will be. I have low confidence on Bolden and feel Green is destined elsewhere regardless of Sam Sword. To me it looks like the die has been cast for Gardner + 1. Either way, you have no better than a 33% success rate there. Only 1 DL means that you have lots of work to do, banking on a DE recruit to move down, like what you have and expect 100% hit. I would assume that they have more work to do. Still it seems like a low number. I don’t have the historical numbers, but would be interested in seeing if there is any historical trending in offer success rate by position. My hunch is that there are too many variables (how high the star ranking offered, recruit location, numbers offered compared to current depth chart, etc) to get any reasonable analysis. However, there has to be some method here or all these offers would not go out in the first place. Any input from the gallery?