Squad16

October 22nd, 2018 at 12:53 PM ^

Most people thought either Penn State or Wisconsin would be. Wisconsin was. 

 

The only way that PSU would've been was if it was huge in terms of the Big Ten stakes, but PSU will be entering with at least 2 losses and possibly even 3 (beating Iowa this week is no guarantee). 

ijohnb

October 22nd, 2018 at 12:58 PM ^

Strongly agree here.

There are a couple of issues developing with our schedule that are a little irritating for SOS/playoff consideration.  Oklahoma is still in the mix, as would be a one loss ND (with a pesky a head to head win over Michigan).  I would prefer that any opponent we have win all of the rest of their games except for us.

Gondolin

October 22nd, 2018 at 1:33 PM ^

Yes. There's been a lot of national talk about how Michigan controls their own destiny in the playoff race, which might be true but also might not be. Who knows what the committee would do? FiveThirtyEight's attempt to predict what the committee would do in a situation where Alabama, Clemson, Notre Dame, Oklahoma and Michigan all win out is the following:

1) Alabama and Clemson in
2) Notre Dame 79% chance (~4 in 5)
3) Oklahoma 77% chance
4) Michigan 38% chance

 . . . and no one else with a > 1% chance. They make these simulations by running the rest of the season 20,000 times using FPI and the AP Poll (until the playoff rankings come out) and then using the committees past behavior (an admittedly small sample size) and stated methods to guess what the committee would do with each scenario generated.

Full methodology here: https://fivethirtyeight.com/methodology/how-our-college-football-playoff-predictions-work/

The predictions here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-college-football-predictions/

Alton

October 22nd, 2018 at 12:53 PM ^

This game seems to have dropped in priority for the networks.

ABC/ESPN selected the Notre Dame at Northwestern game for their 7:15/7:30 time slot. 

FOX is taking Nebraska-Ohio State at noon and saving 3:30 for a Big 12 game and 8:00 for the Pac 12.

ABC then took Iowa at Purdue for 3:30, leaving Michigan v Penn State for ESPN.

Alton

October 22nd, 2018 at 12:59 PM ^

ABC hasn't picked their night game yet.  It could be ND-N'western, WVU-Texas or OU-TTU.  If it's ND-N'western, then FOX picks between the other 2 for 3:30.  If ABC picks a Big 12 game, then the other B12 game goes to FOX 3:30 and ND-N'western is ESPN 7:15.

Alabama/LSU is 8 pm on CBS.

Squad16

October 22nd, 2018 at 12:55 PM ^

The only surprising thing is the very last bit. That signals to me that the ABC executives are expecting Iowa to beat Penn State in Happy Valley and Purdue to win in East Lansing.

 

Kind of surprised they didn't use a 6 day hold for these games, a lot could swing things next weekend. 

michgoblue

October 22nd, 2018 at 1:00 PM ^

I get the ND selection for the night slot. They are riding an undefeated season and the rest of their road schedule is weak. If ESPN / ABC wants ND at night, this is pretty much their only shot at a decent game (all of their home games are on NBC). 

As for Fox, they have had us a number of times.  Not sure that their selection of other teams (especially for the nooner) reflects declining interest in our game  

The only one I can’t explain is ABC taking Purdue / Iowa at the same time slot.  Michigan and PSU have much larger, more fervent alumni bases, are significantly more relevant and are playing something of a rivalry-light game.  Purdue / Iowa is just two middling teams playing each other in a relatively meaningless game.  

ijohnb

October 22nd, 2018 at 1:00 PM ^

I'm not sure the ABC telecast is really a "priority" pick over the ESPN game for 3:30.  A lot of people are streaming these games now, and pretty much any person who has ABC has ESPN also.  Like, the 2015 game v. MSU was a GameDay Top 15 special and it was broadcast on ESPN, not ABC.

And I think this means that we will have McDonaugh and Blackledge instead of Levy and Griese.  I will take that.

Alton

October 22nd, 2018 at 1:04 PM ^

I think this is right, actually, and I got it a little wrong.

What ABC is doing is announcing they will show either Iowa-PU or FSU-NCSt at 3:30, with the other one at 3:30 on ESPN2.  Michigan-Penn State is guaranteed ESPN.

Note that there isn't nearly as much difference in priority between ESPN and ABC as there is between those 2 and ESPN2.  Also, a Michigan regular season game hasn't been on ESPN since 2016--don't know if they care about that.

NittanyFan

October 22nd, 2018 at 11:23 PM ^

Just this past week ---- Clemson/NCSU was on ESPN and PSU/Indiana was on ABC at 3:30. 

The ACC game was the better game - Disney is comfortable with putting the better game on ESPN vs. ABC.

PSU/Michigan will get good ratings no matter where it's aired, of course.

LSAClassOf2000

October 22nd, 2018 at 1:11 PM ^

This works out wonderfully for me as my wife has family coming in on that Saturday and we have to take them to the zoo earlier in the day. I should be home just in time for the kick. For once in my life, TV gets this right when it comes to my life. 

RGard

October 22nd, 2018 at 1:11 PM ^

Not good news for me.  I was hoping for noon.  I'm in Chicago next week and was going to drive to Ann Arbor Friday and see the game Saturday then drive back to northern VA after the game.

Oh well, maybe another hotel night in Ann Arbor.

Midukman

October 23rd, 2018 at 6:36 AM ^

I can’t post because I’m so new and I’m hoping someone can help. I usually fly delta and because of my frequent flier status I get Wi-Fi on all flights. Well my tight ass company booked me on a flight from Detroit to Chicago and then to Birmingham during the penn state game. I’ll be boarding the flight from ohare at 4:30 so I can catch the 1st hour. What then? Can anyone help with their experience on United? I checked the website and it appears they only offer a one month subscription to the tune of $49 for Wi-Fi. I don’t wanna pay that but will if I have to, although I’m concerned about streaming the game and it’s quality.