too many TEs
"I'm unhappy because we sucked." - Al Borges did not say this, but was thinking it.
As we continue our transition to "MANBALL," I was curious to see, statistically, how that transition is going. The questions I'm trying to answer are: "What is this team good at? What are they bad at? What is the logic behind the play-calling? Are we ready to be a MANBALL team?"
What follows is a chart (based on Brian's UFR) of all the formations used against UConn, the type of plays that were run, and the averages. It's a big chart. It's also copied from my post in the UFR thread, as are most of my comments below it. A few notes:
- Plays that had a pre-snap penalty or penalty other than pass interference are not counted.
- Pass interference is counted, since it is assumed the play was successful enough to draw a penalty
- Sacks are rightfully categorized as passing yards
- Yes, I'm aware that this analysis has limited variables and misses important data points. If you want to add something, please do.
|Ace H twins||1||0||0.0||1||0||0.0|
|Ace twin TE||2||17||8.5||1||0||0.0||3||17||5.7|
|Ace twins stack||1||0||0.0||1||0||0.0|
|Ace twins twin TE||2||16||8.0||1||-16||-16.0||3||0||0.0|
|I-Form twins stack||1||2||2.0||1||2||2.0|
|Pistol FB twins||1||-1||-1.0||1||-1||-1.0|
|Shotgun 2TE twins||1||9||9.0||1||9||9.0|
|Shotgun 3-wide jet||2||14||7.0||2||14||7.0|
|Shotgun 4-wide tight||2||14||7.0||2||14||7.0|
|Shotgun double stacks||2||20||10.0||2||20||10.0|
|Shotgun empty TE||1||6||6.0||1||6||6.0|
|Shotgun trips TE||5||27||5.4||5||27||5.4|
|Shotgun twin TE||1||0||0.0||1||0||0.0|
While it doesn't take into account some easy missed plays and some heroic efforts to make something out of nothing, the chart does show that we seem to be much more successful when we're not under center. We ran 35 of our 68 plays from the pistol or shotgun, and the shotgun was our best bet.
I agree with Brian's conclusions that this team benefits greatly from being in the gun. I'd love to see more MANBALL out of the Pistol, but the under center stuff didn't work for most of the game.
That said, the Ace formation gave us critical rushing yards during our comeback. I believe it was effective because UConn feared we might actually pass when we were behind in the 4th quarter. When they know we're going to run, the under center stuff just doesn't work.
For those of you calling for more simplicity--you have a point. We used 26 different formations for 68 plays.
Some interesting data points:
- We are really efficient in the goal line set. That's because DG is running, and he's good at it.
- The Ace set worked fine for running (mostly late), but the passing ruined it. Some of that is on DG, so this set might improve.
- The I-Form was generally bad, and the Big set was terrible. A big play on a PA pass was missed by DG though, so it's not quite as bad as it looks.
- Shotgun was our most common set with 31 plays.
- Not much Pistol at all, and from the plays we did run, it doesn't look like we're practicing this much.