I'VE HAD JUST ABOUT ENOUGH OF YOU SONNY
Nice job Brian, with all your smart ass remarks and statistical analysis. Who else was raging at the TV set when Ferentz started going all Romer on us and going for every 4th down? I guess it's the price of being Michigan that everyone despite our struggles gets up for us with extra game planning and intensity.
All year we've heard about the "puntosaur", but when Mich comes to town they throw caution to the wind.
Steelers coach Mike Tomlin just decided to not go for FG or 1st down on 4th and 5 from the Ravens' 29. He takes the delay, punts from the 34, then his D gives up the losing TD w/8 seconds left. Coaching fail.
I know I posted about him before the high school season started, and then toward the end of the season .... but when are we going to make an offer to the kid right across the street ... Drake Johnson? I love Fitz Toussaint, but he has an injury history, and outside of him, we have no real proven depth after this season. Now, I know Brionte Dunn is a possibility ... who knows how likely at this point .. but a possibilty. Outside of that I am not hearing a lot out of the RB position in terms of recruiting.
Drake Johnson has good size .. 6'1 205, good speed ... listed at 4.4 probably more around 4.5 to 4.6, and is one of the best hurdlers in the nation. On the season he has nearly 3,000 yards (counting the 2 playoff games) and 40 touchdowns. Yes, that's correct, in 11 games he has nearly 3,000 yards and 40 Touchdowns. He has been a machine during the playoffs ... first round against Monroe he had 230 yards and 4 touchdowns, and then in the second round against Bedford he finished with 350 yards and 4 touchdowns. This kid carries his team squarely on his shoulders. Regardless of the opponent, Johnson amasses most of his teams offensive output. Warren De La Salle has a legitimate shot at a state championship this year, and he went for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns against them. Against the Brother Rice team that just eliminated Farmington Hills Harrison, Drake Johnson went for 125 yards and a TD. Last year against a Cass Tech Team that featured Delonte Hollowell, Terry Richardson and Royce Jenkins Stone ..... Drake Johnson went for 276 yards and 6 touchdowns .. as a junior.
I mean .. I am not in any way a recruiter, but this kids numbers are phenomenal. I don't know Brionte's numbers from this year, but he is listed on Scout as finishing last season with 2,020 yards and 22 TD's .. Johnson has 3,000 yards and 40 TD's. What a combination those 2 kids would make .. Brionte has the power and Drake has the speed and jumping ability. What baffles me even more is we showed interest in Juwan Lewis from Muskegon. I have watched both Drake and Juwan play, and from what I saw ... Drake is on a whole different level.
I'm gonna start a sign Drake Johnson rally .... hopefully one of the coaches will read this, and take a much harder look at the kid. I would hate to see him slip away ... Anyone who has watched him person this year ... back me up on this kid!!
Well with Iowa in our rear view, and the "Game of the Century" (cough) over, the BCS picture is clearer... The main points:
- LSU is in the drivers seat for the Nat'l championship game. They can probably even absorb a defeat vs Arkansas and still make it in so long as they beat the SEC East rep in the SEC champ game.
- LSU's opponent is likely Ok St or Stanford in that order if they both go undefeated. Ok St has one more chance to impress voters big time with a win over OU, and if Stanford beats Oregon, they will likely leapfrog Alabama.
- Your at larges at this point (in order) are probably Alabama, Boise St, and maybe Oklahoma??
- The Big East is only getting one team in the BCS.
- The projections for the BCS are (based on Fiesta-Sugar-Orange order for this year):
BCS championship: LSU vs. Ok St.
Rose (B1G v Pac12): B1G champ vs. Stanford
Fiesta (Big 12 v at large): Oklahoma (2-loss, 1st choice at large) v. Boise St (3rd at-large)
Orange (ACC v. at large): Clemson v. Houston/Oregon/B1G runner up
Sugar (SEC v at large): Ala (2nd choice at-large) v. West Virginia (4th at-large)
The biggest factor here is the order of the bowl selections. That will make a HUGE difference as you'll see:
- First the locks by contract: LSU & OkSt in the Nat'l Champ Game, aka the Les Miles Bowl; B1G champ (we'll say MSU for argument sake) and Stanford in the Rose; Clemson (ACC champ) in the Orange. That's it.
- The Fiest goes first to replace OkSt... Alabama isn't as attractive to them as a Big 12 team, so they take a Big 12 team eligible and even with two losses, a sure draw. they take Oklahoma.
- Next, the Sugar goes, and they take another SEC team to replace LSU. Alabama.
- Now we get back to the regular bowl selection order for this year, meaning the Fiesta goes first. they chose between the Big East champ (probably West Va), Boise who gets the non-AQ autoqualify slot, and a bunch of unattractive teams with 2 losses or more from power conferences or Houston. I think the Fiesta goes for undefeated Boise in a BSU v OU rematch.
- Next the Sugar gets an at-large pick, they get their choice of West Va, the same 2-loss teams as before or an undefeated Houston. Since an SEC team just played Oregon last year in the BCS, and teh Sugar doesn't want to take a flyer on Houston, it basically comes down to West Va, a 2nd B1G team (Wiscy? Penn St? Nebraska?), or an ACC at large, the highest ranking would be Va Tech. I think the Sugar goes West Va, but I wouldn't be surprised if it's Wisconsin if the Badgers win out from here on and lose tiebreakers to Penn St to get into the B1G champ game.
- Finally the Orange gets to select their at-large team. Basically, they can't take an ACC team since Clemson is already there. So they chose between Oregon, 2nd B1G, undefeated Houston. Probably they take a Wisconsin or Penn St (JoePa's last game?) over the non-AQ Houston or the cross country traveling Oregon.
- If a 1-loss MSU gets to the B1G champ game and loses to Penn St or Wiscy, they probably become a good Orange at-large team... not Sugar since Saban blew their doors off last year.
- If Penn St gets to the B1G game and loses with the Sandusky cloud hanging over them, they might not be a good at-large candidate... this could cause a B1G trickle down with no 2nd B1G team in the BCS and everybody getting slotted one game lower.
- LSU can probably absorb an Arkansas loss, but an Arkansas loss with a loss to Georgia in the SEC title game??? Would the voters keep Alabama or LSU in the #2 slot knnowing that Boise blew out Georgia in the Georgia Dome to open the season? This will be the litmus test for SEC backlash.
- If Stanford gets to the BCS title game via a Ok St stumble against OU, look for Oregon to be the Rose fill-in for Stanford and no 2nd B1G team in the Orange or Sugar.
Could Michigan stil get in?
- Probably not but maybe.... it would take
1) us winning out including convincingly against Neb and OSU.
2) Wisconsin dropping another game, probably to Penn St
3) Penn St to lose in the B1G champ game in a blow out and have turmoil in the coaching / AD as a result of the Sandusky scandal.
At that point, we're a 2-loss team competing with a 2nd ACC team and the Big East champ for the right to go to the Sugar against Alabama. We might be prettier than West Va or Va Tech to the Sugar, although with the 2012 season game against Alabama, we're probably a better bet as an at-large to the Orange vs Clemson with West Va facing Alabama in an SEC sacrifice game.
- for chaos and death to the BCS: Stanford, Ok St, and Boise to win out with an embarassing LSU loss to Georgia in the SEC champ game.
- Michigan in the BCS: us to win out, Penn St to beat Wisconsin but lose another game
Opened at -3. Just checked again, and its either -2 or -1.5 depending on the site. Illinois at home and coming off a bye week.
MSU -3 at Iowa
Wisc -28 at Minny
Nebraska -2.5 at PSU
I have been a michigan fan since age 8. I live in Columbus. And oh How I hate the ohio school in columbus. People ask me why the hell I am a michigan fan living in ohio? Well my dad who is a die hard buckeye and a graduate of the columbus university in which im not fond of loved them. My brother who had a diferent dad who had passed away was not fond of my father. In fact when my father left us broke and homeles at age 5 my brother became the father figure in my life. And guess what? whatever my dad liked, brother didnt, and he definitely loved the fact he could put me in michigan gear and send me to my fathers for the weekend.
The first game i watched was at 8 years old. 1994 kordel to westbrook. INCREDIBLE! Ok well thats not the best way to begin, but it happened. I watched it with my mom on a tv with rabbit ears. It sucked me in even though we lost. I made it through the 8-4 seasons and landed at 1997. This was the year that ruined me, spoiled me, 1997 has and always will be the bechmark in my mind. We are talking Charles woodson, Andre Weathers, Marcus Ray, Glen Steele, Josh Williams, Sam Sword. How about Brian Griese, Tai Streets, A tough Chris Howard and a mammoth o-line. THIS IS MICHIGAN!!!!
Now who watched LSU and alabama??? Ok good! Now did anyone get the vibe that we are headed in the same direction as both those defenses? I watched that game imagining our future. We have a top 5 class coming in. We have Greg mattison and a defensive minded head coach. Will it take 2 or 3 years? Hopefully only 2 but I can live with 3. Those defenses both resemble that of the 97 michigan defense that got after you and hit you in the mouth. I saw 7 to 8 hats on the ball in the LSU- Bama game. I watched relentless speed and power from both teams. But again thats 2 or 3 years from now right? Im tired of dreaming, hoping and wishing. As a fan who cheers his heart out for the Maize and blue I unfortunately can only live in the now knowing tomorrow is not guaranteed. When is ths group of wolverines who have endured the toughest times in michigan football history going to hit their breaking point? This I not a vintage Michigan team. They are trying to adapt to a new staff and scheme. This team may not be big ten title worthy this season but can still achieve something Mike Hart couldnt, Chad Henne, Jake Long, The 3 guys I just named came from a loaded group that was part of the 1st game of the century, You know 2006 pre app state, and those are 3 michigan greats that tried to accomplish victiory against ohio and couldnt.
I dont want to get away from my point and most of What im saying is all over the place. But I believe and this is only my opinion, that a win over the School sittng on the olentagy which plays in the toilet that drains into the olentangy means more for this team, our fans, the university, this coaching staff than anything. A win gives this team the signature victory it needs. You see In 97 nobody seen us coming. This group reminds of those times. Like 97 this is an average group with one great player and guess who that is. A win vs the ohio gordon gee (little sisters of the poor) can catapault an off season of positives for this team. And a win can help us all to dream of what could be, if we can go to dallas in 2012, and do what no one on earth thinks we will do and win it. Yes Bama is already where we wish we could be, as is LSU and thats a whole other level. And if we aspire to get to game of the century type levels we have to prepare over the course of the next 2 weeks for the most important game against ohio. A win gives us great momentum for the off season and what I think can lead to 2012 being as memorable as 1997. GO BLUE!!!! This is Michigan!
- Strength of schedule
Adding to the challenges facing the 1997 team, Michigan entered the season with the toughest schedule among the 112 NCAA Division I-A schools based on records from the previous year. Days before the season opener, Lloyd Carr compared the daunting schedule to an expedition to Mount Everest. Carr noted, "It's a little akin to climbing Mount Everest. But Mount Everest has been climbed. And with great preparation and determination, and great attitude, which I think our players have, I can assure you we're looking forward to it."[4