Neither model I think, provides enough R squared to evaluate the future success of R squared's coaching. (yes, I am a dork) My big worry here is that we fall into the "recovering sunk costs" trap with RR, whereby the pain of another few rebuilding years is too much to bear (I am more skeptical of a quicker turnaround than Brian is).
Also, I have a hard time thinking of a college fb coach recently who was given 4 years and eventually was successful for many after that. Whether it be bad luck, bad intentions (yes, that means you, Michael Rosenberg), or bad coaching, I feel like the reasons don't matter after a year or two, where a bad "trajectory" will drive players attitudes and recalibrate norms of what is acceptable in terms of success.
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Neither model I think, provides enough R squared to evaluate the future success of R squared's coaching. (yes, I am a dork) My big worry here is that we fall into the "recovering sunk costs" trap with RR, whereby the pain of another few rebuilding years is too much to bear (I am more skeptical of a quicker turnaround than Brian is).
Also, I have a hard time thinking of a college fb coach recently who was given 4 years and eventually was successful for many after that. Whether it be bad luck, bad intentions (yes, that means you, Michael Rosenberg), or bad coaching, I feel like the reasons don't matter after a year or two, where a bad "trajectory" will drive players attitudes and recalibrate norms of what is acceptable in terms of success.