don't fade unless you have Jeremy Gallon [Eric Upchurch]
Sponsor note. If you've got a business that needs creating or safeguarding or shepherding, Richard Hoeg will make you contracts and get you registered and generally set you on the path to being the world's first atomic sled tycoon. What's an atomic sled? I don't know! It's your idea. Need to work on your elevator speech, because I got nothin'.
Hoeg Law: when you figure out what an atomic sled is. We are good at ads.
The goal line fade! Don't do it. Data from NFL two-point conversions:
Coaches! Check out my article on two-point conversions. I recorded every 2-point conversion attempt from the past 7 NFL seasons and did a statistical analysis on the success rates of the different play calls.https://t.co/DmRIty477F pic.twitter.com/N994fxn253
— Noah Riley (@NoahRiley21) July 8, 2018
Also intriguing that every color commentator's favorite option—the rollout pass—is the second-worst decision. Probably because everyone in the world thinks it's a good decision.
Slot corner. The Athletic engages Mike Renner of PFF to detail Michigan's 2019 NFL draft prospects. Many of the same stats you've seen on PFF's tweets—David Long's silly numbers, Chase Winovich's general relentlessness—feature but the most interesting new bit is a negative one on Tyree Kinnel. Not a surprising one, really:
Kinnel was a full-time safety for Michigan who also covered the slot at times. In the NFL and in college, he projects much better to the former. On 91 snaps covering the slot, he allowed 208 yards and a passer rating of 110.7. As a deep safety, he looked much more comfortable.
It is my contention that opposition WRs caught more than their fair share of heavily contested balls against Kinnel a year ago and that even if he's the same player that should be less of an issue this year. But if they've got three really good corners they should probably put one on the slot whenever the opposition has a passing down.
Some good news from the article is that PFF doesn't think Hudson has an NFL position right now and Lavert Hill isn't a slam dunk early entry guy, so Michigan could get them back next year.
[After the JUMP: lies, damned lies, and rosters.]