OT: Weekend Betting - Week 12
Please post your weekend bets, what you're thinking of betting, or whatever to do with betting for the weekend's slate of games. I'll start (all lines are from when they were placed):
(Previous week record: 4-6; Overall season record: 46-48)
Saturday games:
Tulane at Florida Atlantic, 12pm: Florida Atlantic +8.5
App St at James Madison, 2pm: App St +10
Utah at Arizona, 2:30pm: Over 46
Utah at Arizona, 2:30pm, Utah +1
UNLV at Air Force, 3:30pm: UNLV +3
Wake Forest at Notre Dame, 3:30pm: Notre Dame -25
Oregon at Arizona St, 3:30pm: Arizona St +24.5
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern, 6pm: Old Dominion +6
Nebraska at Wisconsin, 7:30pm: Wisconsin -6
San Diego St at San Jose St , 10:30pm: Over 48.5
Notable spreads of discussion:
Michigan currently sits as a 19.5 point favorite over Maryland; Over/Under is 49.5
Ohio St currently sits as a 27.5 point favorite over Minnesota (at OSU)
Indiana currently sits as a 3.5 point favorite over Indiana (at Indiana)
Arizona currently sits as a 1 point favorite over Utah (at Arizona)
Georgia currently sits as a 9.5 point favorite over Tennessee (at Tennessee).
Iowa currently sits as an 3 point favorite over Illinois (at Iowa).
USC currently sits as a 5 point favorite over UCLA (at UCLA)
Oregon St currently sits as a 1 point favorite over Washington (at Oregon St)
Kansas St currently sits as a 10 point favorite over Kansas (at Kansas)
Other lines:
November 17th, 2023 at 11:10 PM ^
For the first (and hopefully last) time in my life I bet against Michigan. I took the 19.5 points thinking we’ll win, but it will be close.
I can’t imagine what’s going through the minds of our players tonight but I’m guessing it ain’t Maryland. What a shame for them.
November 17th, 2023 at 11:17 PM ^
Its ok to bet against your team! Money is money and fandom is fandom. But it takes a little bit to get used to for sure
November 18th, 2023 at 3:43 AM ^
You need a pep talk from Hatter?
November 17th, 2023 at 11:14 PM ^
As much as id like to say UM will butcher the terps, the trends for them as a big favorite in this spot suggest that they win but wont cover. Come down from last week AND look ahead for next week
Kinda think Sparty bounces back to win the most disgusting trophy in all of sports
Iowa rolls(in Iowa fashion of course) because Kirk will just keep getting away with it
Kansas State will bury Kansas under their own field
November 17th, 2023 at 11:30 PM ^
Hopefully with Michigan-Maryland it’s like two seasons ago. In 2021 we were in a similar situation (okay minus the coaching stuff) in which we played at Maryland the week before the OSU game favored by a similar amount, in which we blew the fuck out of them 59-18.
I was really close to taking Sparty with the points tbh. It was +4.5 early in the week and I almost did, then it was +4 for a while and sat thinking about it, and then today it’s been at +3.5 so I’m just going to back off at this point and root for the Hoosiers without money on the game.
November 17th, 2023 at 11:36 PM ^
For sure. I would love to see a repeat of that game from 21. I just think with a full week to stew in the distraction now it affects them a little bit.
I'll be hoping for Indiana to win, my gut just thinks Sparty finds a way, even with the line coming down
November 18th, 2023 at 8:11 AM ^
Based on a lot of the targeting issues in UFR, I'd say there was a significant impact of the off the field stuff last weekend, we just didn't notice as much because they beat a top 10 team on the road. It says something about something that Michigan is still the betting favorite not only to win B1G but also the CFP, and it's not all overzealous Michigan fans betting those futures odds down.
That being said, Maryland is a solid to good team that generally makes repeated huge errors in turnovers and penalties that have huge impacts on their games. If they play clean, I think they have a pretty good chance to cover.
November 17th, 2023 at 11:30 PM ^
4-1 last week; I've been a bit lucky the past few weeks. Hope it continues (especially since I'll BE in Vegas tomorrow & Sunday):
- Miami FLA +1.5 vs Louisville. Louisville has a pretty bizarre schedule - this is only their third true road game of the year! Their first 2 true road games: they escaped at NC State and they lost by multiple scores to a lousy Pittsburgh team. There's a risk that Miami is deflated after last week's FSU game (their last shot for a REAL big win/splash in 2023), but I'll bet they rally & beat a solid 9-1 Louisville team that's also in their toughest spot of the year.
- Coastal Carolina -3 at Army. This line is trending toward Army - I don't get it. The rain will end before kickoff, CCU is the better team, they've won 5 in a row and are 8-2 ATS this year. Army had the big win over AFA a few weeks ago which I think is inflating things: last week they had a 3-point home win ..... over Holy Cross.
- UAB -7.5 vs Temple. I get it, they've "only" allowed an average of 22.5 PPG in November, so some may think they're turning a corner, but I still think Temple's defense is THE worst defense in all of FBS. UAB has had a very disappointing season but it still is their Senior Day - probably motivated to go out with a W against a weak team.
- TCU -13.5 vs. Baylor. This is an under-rated rivalry: TCU's campus used to be located in Waco until 1910, when the school's administrative building rather mysteriously caught fire. Then TCU re-located to Fort Worth. That's a good way to create a rivalry - (allegedly!) burn down your cross-town rivals campus, get them out of town! Anyway, TCU can still get to bowl eligbility, Baylor can't, it's a rivalry, I think TCU is more motivated and covers.
- Wisconsin -5.5 vs Nebraska. Wisconsin hasn't been very good this year - they're only 5-5. But they are 10-1 vs UNL since Nebraska joined the B1G, including 5-0 in Madison, all 5 wins by more than 5.5. Senior Day, Nebraska seems to be to Wisconsin as Purdue is to Wisconsin (they never win), the Badger fans are the type who LIKE cold November night games. Add it all up, I'll take Wisky.
November 18th, 2023 at 6:18 AM ^
- TCU -13.5 vs. Baylor. This is an under-rated rivalry: TCU's campus used to be located in Waco until 1910, when the school's administrative building rather mysteriously caught fire. Then TCU re-located to Fort Worth. That's a good way to create a rivalry - (allegedly!) burn down your cross-town rivals campus, get them out of town! Anyway, TCU can still get to bowl eligbility, Baylor can't, it's a rivalry, I think TCU is more motivated and covers.
That is legitimately a "Cool story, bro!". Definitely a great foundation for a rivalry (which I had no idea existed). I have been fascinated by the ongoing saga of TCU's lightning fast descent into mediocrity this season. After playing for the national championship last year, TCU isn't even going to go to the shittiest of bowl games this season unless they upset Oklahoma in Norman.
November 18th, 2023 at 6:53 AM ^
Indiana currently sits as a 3.5 point favorite over Indiana (at Indiana)
There's a joke in here somewhere.
November 18th, 2023 at 11:23 AM ^
Indiana University of Pennsylvania must be good this year.
or
creative scheduling to boost your self esteem
ugh...
November 18th, 2023 at 7:42 AM ^
Georgia to cover is easy money.
ucla is in shambles. Take USC to cover
wisconsin to cover.
November 18th, 2023 at 7:57 AM ^
Do you really trust that USC defense to stop anyone?
November 18th, 2023 at 10:50 AM ^
I trust them more than ucla at this point. Take the over too if that fits your fancy.
November 18th, 2023 at 6:25 PM ^
I firmly stand by my position.
November 18th, 2023 at 10:30 AM ^
Your Georgia Bulldogs are Smooth Jimmy's Lock of the Week!
November 18th, 2023 at 11:19 AM ^
not betting on this but I like the canes chances against pesky LOU. Would Brohm leave for texas oil money? Not sure, but he would take the call...
spread in this one is apparently a coin flip.