3 star recruits

Here's the 3-stars recruited to Michigan from 2005-2008: I've put in bold those who became top contributors. Chris Richards James Rogers Troy Woolfolk Carson Butler Chris McLaurin Zoltan Mesko Mark Ortmann Perry Dorrestein David Cone Vince Helmuth Obi Ezeh Johnny Sears Artis Chambers Quintin Woods Greg Banks John Ferrara Brandon Logan Kurt Wermers Tim McAvoy Mark Huyge Jason Forcier Avery Horn Justin Feagin Renaldo Sagesse Brandon Herron Quintin Patilla David Molk Rocko Khoury Mike Cox Mister Simpson Junior Hemingway Martavious Odoms LaTerryal Savoy Zion Babb Steve Watson Obviously, the jury is still out on a lot of these guys (especially the RS freshman linemen). Some (Ezeh, Ferrara) became early contributors due more to circumstance than ability. Anyway, taking that into account I think you can say about 1 in 4 of these guys will be top contributors. Many became so because of circumstance, or get their chance and shine. But even so, these players, while certainly assets to the team, mostly seem to retain the flaws that affected their rankings in the first place. Odoms and Molk are mites for their positions. Hemingway lacks breakaway speed. Only two really ended up being better than projections, and both had good reason. One, Zoltan Mesko is a punter, and they don't give punters (even ones that moonlight as Romanian space emperors) more than 3 stars. The other is Carson Butler, who Lloyd identified on signing day as the most likely diamond in the rough. Carson did show more than 3-star talent, but at a different position than the one he was projected for (defensive line). And if Lloyd said the kid had too much talent for a 3-star, you have to wonder if Butler's attitude was the cause of his underrating. That being said, I think the chances are best that of our 2009 3-stars, circumstance will allow one or two to become contributors with a certain obvious flaw, while as many transfer away and the rest ride the bench.