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Recent Comments

Date Title Body
09/01/2011 - 5:55pm Situational PAN for last year's B1G and also top 20 overall QBs?

Do you have time to calculate situational PAN for last year's B1G and also top 20 overall QBs? It would be nice to compare Denard to Forcier, Luck, Pryor, Persa, Moore, etc.

11/29/2010 - 7:25pm Persa was media 2nd team QB

Interestingly enough, Persa was media 2nd team while Tolzien was coaches 2nd team. Robinson was honorable mention QB by the coaches. 

10/03/2010 - 3:10pm Sagarin 2010/1/7 vs 2010/10/2

From and

Team 2010/1/7 2010/10/2
Michigan 67.18 81.82
Michigan State 73.28 79.92
Iowa 85.82 84.92
Penn State 85.43 78.83
Illinois 64.37 72.14
Purdue 68.60 64.81
Wisconsin 81.21 77.74
Ohio State 88.35 89.87
09/23/2010 - 3:11pm DO trend

Maybe Denard will hit 11 DO passes against Wisconsin and 12 DO passes against Ohio State.

02/24/2010 - 3:25pm Niles Daily Star

That wasn't just any guy writing, that was an unsigned editorial. To give you a sense of how profound being mentioned in the Daily Star is, I got my picture published in 6th grade for winning an award. I am not an athlete.

02/23/2010 - 4:24pm A sentiment that has been echoed on the MGoBoard

From the comments on the Dr. Saturday article:

"Agreed, this is a big non-story. What are they going to make them do, forfeit losses?"

02/03/2010 - 10:25pm Troy Woolfolk

Troy Woolfolk's personal bests from the same site are:

100m 10.52s
200m 21.46s

12/07/2009 - 1:33pm Dumb and Dumber version of Stoops denial

11/26/2009 - 2:29pm Quoted from the smartfootball post

Now that same kid is a Junior and he’s blue chip, [top ten] in Ohio in the 2011 class, ESPN Top 50, etc. And all of a sudden Notre Dame is interested?

11/22/2009 - 6:58pm Expectations

1. Respectable pass-blocking
2. Forcier to play the whole season like the Notre Dame game Forcier
3. Robinson to look like a young Pat White, i.e. make zone stretch reads and be a credible threat passing downfield
4. The emergence of someone buried in the depthchart like Roundtree
5. 1000+ yard rushing for Smith
6. Below average but improved play by the LBs and safeties
7. 10-2 regular season record with losses @PSU and @OSU

11/09/2009 - 3:16pm Adding it all up

Taking net actual to predicted values:

+10 rushing offense
+6 passing offense
+4 rushing defense
-12 passing defense
+4(?) special teams (inferred from a +0.7 Michigan ST in your Purdue preview)


+1 in turnover margin

Did Purdue manage better scoring efficiency to get the win?

10/21/2009 - 3:31pm Net conference ST all negative?

Fascinating numbers.

Why are the composite ST values for all conferences negative?

10/11/2009 - 1:23pm Starting field position

I'm looking forward to The Mathlete's By The Numbers analysis.

Iowa starting field position and results (average Iowa 40)

Iowa 34: Int Pick 6
Iowa 43: TD
Mich 19: FG
Iowa 35: Punt
Mich 46: FG
Iowa 22: TD
Iowa 35: Punt
Iowa 31: Missed FG

Iowa 14: FG
Iowa 15: Punt
Iowa 28: Punt
Mich 16: Turnover on downs
Mich 42: TD
Iowa 24: Punt
Mich 45: Punt
Iowa 31: End of game kneel downs

Michigan starting field position and results (average Mich 27)

Mich 26: Int
Mich 28: TD
Mich 30: Fumble
Mich 27: Punt
Mich 22: Punt
Mich 19: Fumble

Mich 33: Punt
Mich 39: Punt
Mich 43: TD
Mich 1: Punt
Mich 26: Punt
Mich 41: TD
Mich 17: Game-ending Int

10/11/2009 - 10:58am Iowa 3rd down conversions

Iowa got 6 of their 8 conversions on the two first half TD drives:

3rd and 6 for 10 yards
3rd and 3 for 4 yards
3rd and 12 for a 34 yard TD

3rd and 6 for 33 yards
3rd and 24 for 47 yards
3rd and 1 for a 1 yard TD

10/07/2009 - 12:01pm Oregon

Oregon was featured on the cover of SI's college football preview issue and promptly lost their opener against Boise St.

10/03/2009 - 6:10pm MSU's secondary

7. Until he started rolling out immediately late in the 2nd half, it felt like the MSU line got pressure almost every time Forcier dropped back to pass. The receiver drops in the first half really hurt, but there was little time to set up to throw. Did we try to throw downfield more than once besides the two TD drives in the 4th?

7a. Of the 10 rushing attempts by backs and Odoms (not counting the Minor run in OT), 4 went for negative yards. Forcier and Robinson were sacked 4 times. I seem to remember 1 or possibly 2 were coverage sacks, but MSU was in the backfield all game. That is what covered for the sketchy MSU secondary.

10/01/2009 - 5:59pm Semi-OT: Kos is pronounced

Semi-OT: Kos is pronounced with a long O.