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12/03/2018 - 1:28pm This, right here, is a good…

This, right here, is a good advertisement for why pre-season or even early season polls are atrocious. The problem here is poll inertia.

If a voter put Kansas or Virginia in the top few spots in the pre-season, they are looking for a reason to drop them below Michigan. The question isn't "who has the better resume" or "in a vaccuum which do I think is the better team." Instead, the poll voters are asking themselves, can I justify moving TEAM X down given that they keep winning?

Similarly, Michigan has to prove every week that they belong near the top. If Michigan proves that they belong AND a team ahead of them loses, Michigan gets to move up. Michigan doesn't get the same benefit of the doubt as teams that started the season ranked in the top 5 or top 10.

10/29/2018 - 12:24pm Yes -- and if Michigan and…

Yes -- and if Michigan and Maryland both win this weekend, they will have sole possession of third with MSU and PSU both falling to 3-3.

10/29/2018 - 12:02pm Did those scenarios…

Did those scenarios involving Michigan losing 3 out of the last 4?

10/24/2018 - 4:00pm Also, as pointed out in the…

Also, as pointed out in the comments below, EYM is not actually opponent adjusted as it doesn't take into account your opponents' opponents. This statistic counts a yard against Michigan the same as a yard against Rutger the same as a yard against MSU.

If you run up 600 yards on Rutger and 100 yards on Michigan, the numbers would say you average 350 YPG. This would work out to 350 - (334 - 387.4 +410.9) = O-Margin = 39.5.

If someone else put 350 yards on MSU and 250 yards on Michigan, the numbers would say you average 300 YPG. This would work out to 300 - (287.5 - 387.4 +410.9) = O-Margin = 36

I'm more impressed by the second team, despite the lower O-Margin.

10/23/2018 - 7:04pm Announcement video on…

Announcement video on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/p/BpSwkjhgvJ2/?taken-by=zebjackson1

10/19/2018 - 10:44am Are MSU's linebackers likely…

Are MSU's linebackers likely to fall prey to a play action game? With poor safety play it seems like the game would be ripe for taking advantage of the mis-match with Gentry, both on seam routes and relatively quick-hitting play action passes where you get the linebackers to take an initial step forward and hit him 7-10 yards down field.

10/18/2018 - 3:52pm I think the reason it is…

I think the reason it is important to establish that MSU's win over PSU was luck is because, statistically speaking, it appears that it was. That is not to say that all of Michigan State's wins are luck.

In 2015, when MSU beat Michigan they got lucky on the final play. Looking back at the game, however, Michigan had substantial luck to be in a position to win the game. MSU beat us on 1st downs (20-to-10), beat us on total yards (386-to-230), beat us on passing yard (328-to-168), and both teams had about 60 passing yards. 

The final turnover was the only turnover of the game.

If I show you that box score and nothing else, you'd look at it and tell me that MSU probably won the game. In fact, you'd probably guess that it was more than a 4 point win.

That's what Bill Connelly's argument about "luck" is trying to get at. Based on the underlying statistics -- and how those statistics typically convert into points -- how likely is it that you win that game. In the case of the MSU-PSU game, MSU had everything go their way. That happens sometimes.   

10/15/2018 - 4:24pm Fair, I was actually a…

Fair, I was actually a Michigan fan before the advent of the Conference Championship Game in 2011 -- I just wasn't actually thinking when I wrote that sentence.

10/15/2018 - 4:00pm Ain't nothing wrong with…

Ain't nothing wrong with being a Straw Man.

10/15/2018 - 12:50pm I think the exact quote was,…

I think the exact quote was, "I haven't the foggiest."

10/15/2018 - 12:42pm ... OK. Are you saying that…

... OK. Are you saying that the importance of The Game hasn't suffered in this century? Michigan has had a few good years this century. When "It's Happening" happened, people talked about a new 10 Year War. Obviously, we didn't see that over Harbaugh's first few years, but we're getting there.  

10/15/2018 - 12:32pm Indeed, that is the schedule…

Indeed, that is the schedule.

I'd note, however, that if we beat MSU, we will either have the head-to-head or a two game lead over everyone in the division. Which means we'd have to drop 2 of 3 before the Ohio State game for The Game to not be for the Division. 

10/15/2018 - 12:28pm That is kind of what I'm…

That is kind of what I'm saying. This game is more important than just being a rivalry game. We are playing for The Game to be what The Game used to be: the only game that mattered.

10/12/2018 - 6:20pm This is a bad take. 

This is a bad take. 

10/12/2018 - 5:21pm Can you ask Matt when…

Can you ask Matt when Lantana stopped using Kittens in its hummus?

10/12/2018 - 10:31am It's all in the (Mustelidae)…

It's all in the (Mustelidae) family

10/11/2018 - 11:10am Also, is this a game where…

Also, is this a game where Michigan might see positive results from the holding chart? You said that their linemen set their hands outside the shoulder pads a lot. It seems like, from the Maryland game, some refs might have seen the holding chart. If we get some early holding calls, that might also help a bit to neutralize the big boys. Should Winovich and Gary consider soccer/basketball style theatrics to demonstrate that they have been held?

10/11/2018 - 11:07am Out of curiosity, are there…

Out of curiosity, are there any particular types of blitzes that seem like they would be particularly likely to work? It sounds like if we just line up and let the big guys mash, we might not come out on top. It sounds like one of the reasons Hornibrook has looked so good is that he is not worried about looking for pressure, he just knows it's not going to come. We need to find a way to put him on his but a couple times early in the game so his clock is running fast and he can't keep his eyes 100% downfield. 

Should we be expecting to see Uche and Hudson dialing up some exotic blitzes early in the game? 

09/21/2018 - 2:04pm Are they a rival? No.

Do…

Are they a rival? No.

Do they have some of the most despicable fans in the conference? Yes. 

09/17/2018 - 5:39pm With the recent history of…

With the recent history of players sitting out for bowl games to protect themselves for the draft, is there a possibility that if OSU did lose a game or two (and wasn't likely to go to the CFP) that he might just decide to sit out and preserve his health for the rest of the schedule?

08/31/2018 - 12:15pm See also:

- Yell with…

See also:

- Yell with excitement.

- Sit sullenly and tell my wife, "I'm fine. No really, I'm fine." (I won't be fine.)

08/31/2018 - 12:12pm You can't ragequit in what…

You can't ragequit in what will be our hour of greatest need!

08/31/2018 - 12:09pm - Receive a bottle of scotch…

- Receive a bottle of scotch from a partner.

- Give a bottle of scotch to a partner. 

08/24/2018 - 12:22pm OSU Locker Room Sign Fixed
OSU Locker Room Sign Fixed
08/23/2018 - 11:45am Game 16 is when we finally…

Game 16 is when we finally prove that a college team CAN beat the Cleveland Browns -- just to give it to the state of Ohio twice.

08/23/2018 - 9:51am Absolutely, I've litigated…

Absolutely, I've litigated spoliation issues several times in the last few years. Certainly there was no preservation letter issued, but the relevant question is whether he could have reasonably anticipated litigation, right? 

I think another interesting twist is whether the text messages were deleted on an OSU provided phone. If they were, could that constitute the destruction of public records?

08/23/2018 - 9:48am In most states, your duty to…

In most states, your duty to preserve evidence begins when litigation is reasonably anticipated. If he believed that his job was potentially at risk, a duty to preserve evidence could have been triggered.

Clearly, I'm not saying that there will be litigation. They came to a decision that prevented litigation. I'm saying that had OSU done the right thing, they would have had a strong case in the wrongful termination suit that would have followed.

08/23/2018 - 9:45am Just to add a little more…

Just to add a little more flavor, when a litigator discovers that there is possible spoliation in a lawsuit, it truly changes the direction of the case. If it was a 50-50 case before, you now feel that you are in the driver's seat. Your settlement demand changes drastically and your willingness to go to trial increases exponentially.

08/22/2018 - 4:18pm Have you never heard of …

Have you never heard of "stand by your man?" It is a big thing in political press events:

https://www.gettyimages.com/event/political-scandal-stand-by-your-man-174820921

08/22/2018 - 4:13pm Probably, but my mind…

Probably, but my mind immediately went to all of the press events where we have seen politicians resign and the Spouse stands next to them (i.e., stands by her man).  

08/22/2018 - 3:55pm I 100% agree. I just thought…

I 100% agree. I just thought of if you give a mouse a cookie. I was going for a punchline, not #analysis.

But, I will also say that if we got in as B1G champions with one loss (thinking Wisconsin, PSU, or MSU), we might not be number 1. Particularly if the team we lose to ends the season either unranked or ranked at the back end of the Top 25.

08/22/2018 - 1:39pm If you give a Michigan fan a…

If you give a Michigan fan a hypothetical playoff berth, he's going to want it to be as the number one seed.

And if it is as the number one seed, he's going to want...

08/16/2018 - 1:49pm We have cut all punters from…

We have cut all punters from the team. Punting is like losing -- we don't plan on doing either this year.

08/03/2018 - 5:35pm No, this was his own…

No, this was his own personal lawyers. OSU's lawyers wouldn't want to throw folks higher up the chain under the bus. Meyer states that he reported the issue. That means that someone else knew and didn't do anything. It also means that Meyer has admitted to knowingly employing a serial abuser. 

This statement reads as helping make sure he can't get fired for cause, so he collects a big check on the way out the door.

08/03/2018 - 3:03pm I take tests in pen.

I take tests in pen.

07/23/2018 - 2:34pm Three times, before the…

Three times, before the rooster crowed.

07/16/2018 - 10:54am The problem with a…

The problem with a Clearinghouse like this is that the Clearinghouse has too much power to direct lucrative endorsement deals to particular athletes. I think that students should be allowed to choose between the Clearinghouse and getting their own agent -- who would be required to put any deals consummated through the Clearinghouse.

I'm guessing that most agents have a fiduciary duty to their clients. Given the many clients the Clearinghouse would be serving -- and the fact that their salaries are paid by the NCAA -- I cannot imagine that the Clearinghouse would be able to live up to a fiduciary duty of loyalty.

07/05/2018 - 6:26pm I think that really remains…

I think that really remains to be seen. They had a very bad year last year and have a new coach. It could be seen as a game against a high quality opponent. FSU could also already have several losses.

07/05/2018 - 2:48pm I think the game is more…

I think the game is more important to Notre Dame than Michigan for playoff aspirations (and more important for the winner than the loser).

Looking at both teams' schedules, Michigan ends their season with: vs. Wisconsin@MSUvs. PSU; @Rutgers; vs. Indiana; @OSU. If Michigan came out of that part of their schedule 5-1, it is quite probable that they would be heading to the Big Ten Championship Game -- and a chance for a playoff spot. I'm not sure a first week loss to ND really changes that analysis. On the other hand, Notre Dame finishes their schedule: vs. Pitt; vs. Navy; @Northwestern; vs. FSU; vs. Syracuse; @USC. Other than @USC, none of those games really offer Notre Dame the chance at redemption that Michigan has at the back-end of their schedule. As a result, I think this game is much more important for Notre Dame.

I also think that, as a general rule, early season match-ups always matter more for the winner than the loser. You can lose to, for example, a Virginia Tech early in the season, and win your way back into the playoffs. It certainly means you have a narrower road to the playoffs, but an early season loss to a quality opponent is not going to sink the season. On the other hand, an early season victory against a ranked opponent gives you a margin of error later in the season.

07/03/2018 - 2:07pm I wonder what this means for…

I wonder what this means for Cine's recruitment. I have to assume he is still a take. 

07/03/2018 - 2:06pm Me too. The amount of…

Me too. The amount of confusion you could cause when every player is capable of hanging with WRs and every player is capable of cutting into the backfield for a sack or a TFL. It would be a thing of beauty.

We'll take all your twitchy 'tweeners and make a defense out of them.

07/02/2018 - 12:59pm I was in Boston last week…

I was in Boston last week and talked to a friend of Cine who said that Cine absolutely LOVED his visit. I didn't get the impression that a commitment was imminent, but I did get the impression that Michigan is very much in the running for that recruitment.

07/02/2018 - 12:59pm I was in Boston last week…

I was in Boston last week and talked to a friend of Cine who said that Cine absolutely LOVED his visit. I didn't get the impression that a commitment was imminent, but I did get the impression that Michigan is very much in the running for that recruitment.

06/07/2018 - 9:10pm Was MGoBlog just down for…

Was MGoBlog just down for like 20 minutes?

06/07/2018 - 8:37pm Neither team is generating…

Neither team is generating many high quality opportunities. This is a hard fought defensive game.

06/07/2018 - 8:20pm Only after they navigate the…

Only after they navigate the hall of mirrors.

06/07/2018 - 8:18pm I will concede that if Las…

I will concede that if Las Vegas is allowed to use archers and siege weapons, they may well be able to come back from a 3-1 deficit.

06/07/2018 - 8:17pm This pre-game show is…

This pre-game show is... painful.

06/07/2018 - 8:12pm Mr. Putin, while I'm not…

Mr. Putin, while I'm not going to agree with you on many things... I too am #ALLCAPS.

06/07/2018 - 8:11pm Here we are, back in…

Here we are, back in Medieval Times Arena for Game 5 of the Stanley Cup. That concert in the middle of a fountain was a bit odd and very Vegas.