Member for

8 years 9 months
Points
288.00

Recent Comments

Date Title Body
06/14/2018 - 11:41am Same exact issue here.  It…

Same exact issue here.  It also will no longer let me create posts.  Additionally, it reverted me back to my old username (used to be BlueSCar, now I'm Rad again).

06/10/2018 - 8:28pm Based on our estimates (game…

Based on our estimates (game creators won't release actual values), a 3 star is worth about 7.5 points vs 12 points for a 4 star, so definitely worth it if you are able.  If not, no big deal.  The most important jump is from 2 star to 3 star.

 

06/09/2018 - 1:59pm Today's maps:



 

Today's maps:

context0609.png

 

map0609.png

06/08/2018 - 10:51am Today's maps:

 



 

Today's maps:

 

ldxOgiU - Imgur.png

 

KDGBxcR - Imgur.png

06/06/2018 - 5:13pm We definitely experienced a…

We definitely experienced a downtick on participation yesterday.

06/05/2018 - 8:12pm Great work on the redesign! …

Great work on the redesign!  I changed my username a few weeks ago and not it's back to the old one.  How do I get my new one back?

06/03/2018 - 6:11pm It's about even right now. Chaos was really

It's about even right now. Chaos was really messing with Florida last week, which affected our alliance disproportionately, hence some of the overall setbacks the alliance experienced. Now that that's behind them, things have started to turn around to a degree.

06/03/2018 - 4:43pm Eh. We've really only had two

Eh. We've really only had two bad days in the last week.  The last couple have been neutral-to-positive.  You have to keep in mind that when we were gaining all that territory, we were basically just overpowering a weaker OSU team.  Now, we have to contend with a triple threat of OSU, Nebraska (who trades off with Florida each night for strongest team in the game), and Wisconsin).  Being able to hold ground while protecting our weaker allies and converging with our strongest ally (Florida), is a pretty big deal.  The last week hasn't been so much about gaining territory as it has been solidifying positioning on the map.

05/28/2018 - 5:43pm That's all been coordinated

That's all been coordinated with Nebraska to get them to the frontlines. The two of them have a deal worked out about how they each want this game to end.

05/28/2018 - 5:38pm Take it up with the mods. LSA gave us his blessing

Take it up with the mods. LSA gave us his blessing in a previous thread and these continue to be some of the most popular posts in OT season. Until that blessing is rescinded and while the majority of users are in favor, we'll keep posting them. In the meantime, you are free to save yourself a mouse-click, as much effort as that may entail.

05/28/2018 - 1:18pm You don't

You get them from contests on r/CFB, usually during the season, and they are basically impossible to get.

05/27/2018 - 11:09pm MVPs don't count as awards. 

MVPs don't count as awards.  Those are contests on r/CFB that are nearly impossible to win.

05/27/2018 - 8:45pm They originally consisted of

They originally consisted of users of FCS and other non-FBS teams and started with Alaska as their home base and any other FBS teams that get eliminated have the option to fight for the team that controls their home territory or become a part of Team Chaos.

05/27/2018 - 12:19pm We already tried to flip Wisky and were rebuffed.

We already tried to flip Wisky and were rebuffed. Turns out their leader is getting bribes from other members of the Red Alliance, specifically free football tickets.

05/25/2018 - 12:26pm We are literally 5 times

We are literally 5 times Clemson's size going by weighted star power.  It would be lunacy for them to turn around on us and, if they did, we could end them in a few turns.  That said, they have been perhaps our most reliable ally up until this point.  I would not be too concerned about them turning on us at this point in time.

05/25/2018 - 10:30am *wink*

*wink*

05/25/2018 - 10:30am Oh look, we've got an

Oh look, we've got an internet tough guy here. So scared.

05/25/2018 - 10:27am To expand on that, the game

To expand on that, the game creators made a rule change around day 12 that greatly strengthened the value of 3/4/5 stars relative to 1/2 stars, so the sum total of raw star power doesn't tell us much anymore.  The creators have also refused to release what the new weightings are, but us and other teams have run analysis to get a good estimation.

05/25/2018 - 10:24am Whichever order you got was

Whichever order you got was correct.  We are highly coordinating things with our allies this turn.

05/24/2018 - 3:23pm Assignment site enhancement

Just wanted to let you all know that we've implemented an enhancement to the website based on peoples' feedback that it was hard to figure out what action to take without always knowing what all of the logos looked like.  Starting now, you should be able to go to the site and it will now render the relevant logo.  Hopefully this makes things easier for people.

 

05/24/2018 - 12:26pm Tell me your preferred

Tell me your preferred verbiage and I'll make it happen (as long as it won't confuse other people that get that assignment).

05/24/2018 - 12:11pm We gave it back to them after

We gave it back to them after accidentally taking it in the first place.

05/24/2018 - 11:54am It's a median of all your

It's a median of all your star rankings.  So, you'll need to get one of your other ratings up to two stars.  r/CFB karma would be the easiest as I think you only need to get to 50.  Or you could just play the game for 10 days to get it on turns played.

05/23/2018 - 12:13pm Metrics

We have metrics on that.  In fact, we have metrics on just about everything.  Chaos' participation rate is very low.  Actually, they are about equal strength with us when going by historical player participation from turn to turn.  It seems like players lose interest quickly once their team is out of it.

05/23/2018 - 10:05am Make sure you're using this

Make sure you're using this url: old.reddit.com/r/cfb

05/22/2018 - 12:50pm My first MGoPost and I

My first MGoPost and I totally butchered it.  I feel great shame for this transgression.

05/22/2018 - 10:52am Would definitely love to have

Would definitely love to have you coordinate with us, but that said, you do you.  Just please refrain from attacking any allies.

05/22/2018 - 10:35am That's just a great

That's just a great philosophy for life in general.

05/21/2018 - 1:25pm Maps

Map of our area:

 

Full map (minus Hawai'i and Alaska):

05/19/2018 - 3:02pm Sorry about that. Made a breaking change that had

Sorry about that. Made a breaking change that had it down for a minute. Should be good now.

05/18/2018 - 3:01pm CFBRisk mods just announced a

CFBRisk mods just announced a rule change locking in the first team you played for.  So going forward, if your team is eliminated you can't switch flairs now.  Your only options are your occupier or Chaos.

05/18/2018 - 11:17am Yeah, that non-agression is

Yeah, that non-agression is still in effect with regards to Clemson. Their actions last night lived up to their word.

05/18/2018 - 11:15am Tennessee fans have been

Tennessee fans have been switching their flairs on r/CFB to GT in order to attack Florida and sow discord within the alliance.

05/17/2018 - 7:16pm I recommend PMing u/bakonydraco directly on

I recommend PMing u/bakonydraco directly on reddit. People were having success with doing that before.

05/17/2018 - 6:49pm Why thank you!

Why thank you!

05/17/2018 - 12:58pm Yeah, we had OSU people try

Yeah, we had OSU people try to use the site to determine what our strategy is for a given day.  They're obsessed with it for whatever reason, so we just like to verify that you've played a turn for Michigan and not any other teams before you get an assignment from the website.

05/16/2018 - 10:09pm The two main alliances are

The two main alliances are the "Blue" Alliance of which we are a part along with Florida, Georgia Tech, and now Texas.  The Red Alliance is our current adversary and includes Nebraska, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Stanford, Texas A&M, Oklahoma, and Alabama.

There's also a little bit of a bromance going on right now between some smaller schools in VT, Auburn, and South Carolina as they are all banding together to flee to the Pacific coast to escape the carnage.

05/16/2018 - 3:35pm Yeah, that's pretty smart. 

Yeah, that's pretty smart.  I've been sucked in since day one.  My productivity has taken a huuuge hit and I'm in the doghouse with the wife over tthis game.  So, good thinking!

05/16/2018 - 2:19pm There's a bot in the discord

There's a bot in the discord channel that does all sorts of things like this, including a few easter eggs.  I'm hesitant to publicly post Michigan data on here because I am wary of giving up our competitive advantage.  While I'm sure most teams have something similar with varying degrees of sophistication, we don't want to make things easy for them.  Hey, all the more reason to join the Discord (even if only to lurk)!

05/16/2018 - 1:22pm I looked this up just because

I looked this up just because your comment had me curious.  By our estimates, Auburn got incredibly lucky.  They had bad odds of winning either territory (ND and Toledo) and only 8% odds of winning both.

 

05/16/2018 - 12:14pm It does

The assignments from the web app are weighted based on how important each territory is.  The idea is that we want as best of a shot as possible to contend for as many territories as possible.  So ideally, we should have people on most territories but just not in the same proportions.

05/16/2018 - 12:09pm It's a median of your five rankings

If you look at the box with all of your sub-rankings, it just takes the median.  So, if you have links up to 5 stars, you need to then raise two other categories.  For example, I'm a 3 star because that is by median ranking below based off of turns played.

 

 

 

05/15/2018 - 10:41am That is false

The game does not reward attacking over defending, otherwise they wouldn't be coinflips in the first place.  They are literally treated the same.  There is no difference.  OSU is winning coinflips for two main reasons:

  1. RNG.  You can't dictate probability.
  2. The rules changed mid-game and severely nerfed most of our army
05/10/2018 - 9:28pm This is BlueSCar here.  Thank

This is BlueSCar here.  Thank you very much!  Our discord team have all been working really hard around the clock to keep this thing moving.  The acknowledgment is certainly appreciated!

05/10/2018 - 3:05pm Yes, great point

Thank you for bring this up.  If your reddit handle is on the below list, then the game flagged you as a bot during your last turn.

akorn525
Benjamin2891
BigOch
carstonmclark
Cletus__Spuckler
cuddihpr
dawggoblue21
DetroitDealers
grmilton
haildan
hjacobson93
IntelligentMetal
MHNRI
Nmerrill454
PinnyKzoo
RedPandaCmmanda
ResolKrod
s1105615
sportSCenter360
Supp_Dood
swolf81
temptemptemp1112
TheMaverick1331
tlow2485
UM2k1
UMLSA2018
WAATY
wildbackdunesman

 

05/09/2018 - 6:35pm It's turn based. You get one move a day that locks

It's turn based. You get one move a day that locks in at midnight. At that time the winners in each territory are chosen at random, but the more stars a team has in a territory the higher that team's odds of capturing or defending it.

05/04/2018 - 11:54am Eh

I've been having a blast. That said, I've also sunk many hours into WebDip back in the day.

05/04/2018 - 11:50am Discord

We should have a plan finalized on Discord later tonight. Just make sure you get in and get vetted

03/21/2018 - 2:06pm No prob, man.  Since you

No prob, man.  Since you mentioned looking for possession-level basketball data, here's an example of using ESPN's API to grab play by play for a basketball game.  I haven't gone too deeply into the basketball stuff and don't know if that's what you'd be looking for.  You can get the "event" parameter by going to a game's boxscore and grabbing the "gameId" from the URL.

03/21/2018 - 1:35pm ESPN does have an

ESPN does have an undocumented API that you can access.  I've created an npm package to access it (npm, github).  It's JavaScript, but should be easy to reverse engineer for use in R.  This is just for college football, but they do have endpoints for all other sports, including college basketball.

I've also built up a rather large relational database in PostgreSQL if you have any interest in that.  There's quite a range and quantity of data included, so I won't list off everything but it does have game, drive, and play data going back to 2001.  Check it out on github here.  Personally, I've been using all this data to build up some neural networks and have had a reasonable level of success.  I plan to build up a public API over the database at some point, just trying to find the time.

Lastly, I highly recomment r/CFBAnalysis if you are on reddit.  It's a great resource for sharing data and discussing ideas for analyzing statistics.